Interest-rate Risk and a Critique of Value-at-Risk

2001 ◽  
pp. 661-665
Author(s):  
Moorad Choudhry
2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 443-465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariya Gubareva ◽  
Maria Rosa Borges

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to study connections between interest rate risk and credit risk and investigate the inter-risk diversification benefit due to the joint consideration of these risks in the banking book containing sovereign debt. Design/methodology/approach The paper develops the historical derivative-based value at risk (VaR) for assessing the downside risk of a sovereign debt portfolio through the integrated treatment of interest rate and credit risks. The credit default swaps spreads and the fixed-leg rates of interest rate swap are used as proxies for credit risk and interest rate risk, respectively. Findings The proposed methodology is applied to the decade-long history of emerging markets sovereign debt. The empirical analysis demonstrates that the diversified VaR benefits from imperfect correlation between the risk factors. Sovereign risks of non-core emu states and oil producing countries are discussed through the prism of VaR metrics. Practical implications The proposed approach offers a clue for improving risk management in regards to banking books containing government bonds. It could be applied to access the riskiness of investment portfolios containing the wider spectrum of assets beyond the sovereign debt. The approach represents a useful tool for investigating interest rate and credit risk interrelation. Originality/value The proposed enhancement of the traditional historical VaR is twofold: usage of derivative instruments’ quotes and simultaneous consideration of the interest rate and credit risk factors to construct the hypothetical liquidity-free bond yield, which allows to distil liquidity premium.


Author(s):  
Jacques Préfontaine ◽  
Jean Desrochers

This paper examines the information content and the usefulness of banks' interest rate risk public disclosures. ALM managers use Earnings at Risk ( EAR ) and Economic Value of Equity at Risk ( EVEAR ) as measures of the dollar amount of potential loss to net interest income and common shareholders' equity as a result of unforeseen interest rate changes. These two interest rate risk management metrics are now recognized benchmarks for measuring interest rate risk exposure, and its potential impact on a bank's financial position. At the explicit request of regulators, financial analysts and competitive pressures, more commercial banks are now reporting EAR and EVEAR numbers in their annual financial reports. To examine preliminary evidence on the information content of such public disclosures, we composed a sample of some of North America's largest commercial banks. The Canadian peer group is based on Canada's seven largest banks, and the U.S. peer group is composed of twelve of its largest banks. In particular, we investigate if "ex ante" EAR and EVEAR numbers help regulators, financial analysts and investors to explain the subsequent variability of commercial banks' net interest income and net income over time.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leslaw Gajek ◽  
Elzbieta Krajewska

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