scholarly journals Interest rate, liquidity, and sovereign risk: derivative-based VaR

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 443-465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariya Gubareva ◽  
Maria Rosa Borges
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Integrated Treatment ◽  
Liquidity Premium ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rate Risk

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to study connections between interest rate risk and credit risk and investigate the inter-risk diversification benefit due to the joint consideration of these risks in the banking book containing sovereign debt. Design/methodology/approach The paper develops the historical derivative-based value at risk (VaR) for assessing the downside risk of a sovereign debt portfolio through the integrated treatment of interest rate and credit risks. The credit default swaps spreads and the fixed-leg rates of interest rate swap are used as proxies for credit risk and interest rate risk, respectively. Findings The proposed methodology is applied to the decade-long history of emerging markets sovereign debt. The empirical analysis demonstrates that the diversified VaR benefits from imperfect correlation between the risk factors. Sovereign risks of non-core emu states and oil producing countries are discussed through the prism of VaR metrics. Practical implications The proposed approach offers a clue for improving risk management in regards to banking books containing government bonds. It could be applied to access the riskiness of investment portfolios containing the wider spectrum of assets beyond the sovereign debt. The approach represents a useful tool for investigating interest rate and credit risk interrelation. Originality/value The proposed enhancement of the traditional historical VaR is twofold: usage of derivative instruments’ quotes and simultaneous consideration of the interest rate and credit risk factors to construct the hypothetical liquidity-free bond yield, which allows to distil liquidity premium.

scholarly journals The Effect of Risks on Banking Safety: Applied Study on Jordanian Traditional Banks (2005-2016)

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdel Mohsen Al-Afeef ◽  
Atallah Hassan Al-Ta'ani
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Applied Study ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
The Impact

Banking sector is one of the most important sectors that support the sustainable economic development in Jordan, therefore this study aimed to test the impact of risks; (Liquidity risk, bank credit risk and interest rate risk) on the safety in the banking sector in the Jordanian commercial banks during the period 2005-2016.The results of the study showed that there is a statistically significant impact for each of liquidity risk and interest rate risk on the safety in the banking sector, and there isn't statistically significant impact for credit risk on the safety in the banking sector during the period of this study, and also find that the explanatory of model was 60.5%, which means that 39.5% due to other factors.

Basel I to Basel III: Impact of Credit Risk and Interest Rate Risk of Banks in India

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. S83-S111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noor Ulain Rizvi ◽  
Smita Kashiramka ◽  
Shveta Singh
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
Net Interest Margin

The study explores the theoretical background of Basel III and investigates the drivers of interest rate risk and credit risk of banks in various parlances, namely, pre and post the financial crisis, phases of implementation and ownership on a sample of 36 listed banks in India. The findings indicate that the high capital adequacy requirement (CAR) exhibits a positive relation with gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) and net interest margin (NIM). This is perhaps one of the major drawbacks of Basel implementation, which may become a cause of lower GDP in the future as explained in the findings of the literature. Originality/value: This article is perhaps the first attempt of its kind to empirically examine the bank-specific, macroeconomic variables and link it with the Basel implementation in the Indian banking system for the time period 2002–2015. This study endeavours to enhance the existing empirical research in the field and give insights into the role of various factors on GNPAs and interest rates (with regards to Indian banks).

scholarly journals FINANCIAL RISKS AND STOCK MARKET CRASHES: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE TUNISIAN STOCK MARKET

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 10-23
Author(s):  
Haifa Hammami ◽  
Younes Boujelbene
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
High Interest Rate ◽  
Market Risks ◽  
Market Crashes ◽  
Rate Risk

 This study aims to investigate the effect of financial risks on the stock market crashes occurrence from 1999 to 2020. Using the windows method, we detect two stock market crises in the Tunisian stock market. Based on the probit model, we find evidence that low stock return risk, low EUR/TND exchange rate risk, high interest rate risk, high credit risk and high liquidity risk increase the occurrence probability of stock market crashes. Our results suggest that the decrease in volatility, particularly in equity and exchange market, the increase in volatility in interest rate, the credit rating downgrades issued by Moody’s and the low liquidity market contribute to crashes in the Tunisian stock market. In summary, financial risks, which are the market risks, the credit risk and the liquidity risk could be leading indicators of crashes in the Tunisian stock market. Keywords: Stock market crashes; Liquidity risk; Credit risk; Market risks.

Varying interest rate sensitivity of different property sectors: cross-country evidence from REITs

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Cheng Lin ◽  
Chyi Lin Lee ◽  
Graeme Newell
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Rate Sensitivity ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Pacific Rim ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Interest Rate

PurposeRecognising that different property sectors have distinct risk-return characteristics, this paper assesses whether changes in the level and volatility of short- and long-term interest rates differentially affected excess returns of sector-specific Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the Pacific Rim region between July 2006 and December 2018. The strategic property risk management implications for sector-specific REITs are also identified.Design/methodology/approachDaily excess returns between July 2006 and December 2018 are used to analyse the sensitivity in the level and volatility of interest rates for REITs among office, retail, industrial, residential and specialty REITs across the USA, Japan, Australia and Singapore. The generalised autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic in the mean (GARCH-M) methodology is employed to assess the linkage between interest rates and excess returns of sector-specific REITs.FindingsCompared with diversified REITs, sector-specific REITs were less sensitive to short- and long-term interest rate changes across the USA, Japan, Australia and Singapore between July 2006 and December 2018. Of sector-specific REITs, retail and residential REITs were susceptible to interest rate movements over the full study period. On the other hand, office and specialty REITs were generally less sensitive to changes in the level and volatility of short- and long-term interest rate series across all markets in the Pacific Rim region. However, the interest rate sensitivity of industrial REITs was somewhat mixed. This sector was sensitive to interest rate movements, but no comparable evidence was found since the onset of GFC.Practical implicationsThe insignificant exposure to interest rate risk of sector-specific REITs may imply that they have a stronger interest rate risk aversion and greater hedging benefits than their diversified counterparts, particularly for office and specialty REITs. The results support the existence of REIT specialisation value in the Pacific Rim region from the interest rate risk management perspective. This is particularly valuable to international property investors constructing and managing portfolios with REITs in the region. Property investors are advised to be aware of the disparities in the magnitude and direction of sensitivity to the interest rate level and volatility of REITs across different property sectors and various markets in the Pacific Rim region. This study is expected to enhance property investors' understanding of interest rate risk management for different property types of REITs in local, regional and international investment portfolios.Originality/valueThe study is the first to assess the interest rate sensitivity of REITs across different property sectors and various markets in the Pacific Rim region. More importantly, this is the first paper to offer empirical evidence on the existence of specialisation value in the Pacific Rim REIT markets from the aspect of interest rate sensitivity. This research may enhance property investors' understanding of the varying interest rate sensitivity of different property types of REITs across the USA, Japan, Australia and Singapore.

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