Forecast for sunspot cycle 25 activity

Author(s):  
H.S. Ahluwalia
Keyword(s):  
1994 ◽  
Vol 144 ◽  
pp. 279-282
Author(s):  
A. Antalová

AbstractThe occurrence of LDE-type flares in the last three cycles has been investigated. The Fourier analysis spectrum was calculated for the time series of the LDE-type flare occurrence during the 20-th, the 21-st and the rising part of the 22-nd cycle. LDE-type flares (Long Duration Events in SXR) are associated with the interplanetary protons (SEP and STIP as well), energized coronal archs and radio type IV emission. Generally, in all the cycles considered, LDE-type flares mainly originated during a 6-year interval of the respective cycle (2 years before and 4 years after the sunspot cycle maximum). The following significant periodicities were found:• in the 20-th cycle: 1.4, 2.1, 2.9, 4.0, 10.7 and 54.2 of month,• in the 21-st cycle: 1.2, 1.6, 2.8, 4.9, 7.8 and 44.5 of month,• in the 22-nd cycle, till March 1992: 1.4, 1.8, 2.4, 7.2, 8.7, 11.8 and 29.1 of month,• in all interval (1969-1992):a)the longer periodicities: 232.1, 121.1 (the dominant at 10.1 of year), 80.7, 61.9 and 25.6 of month,b)the shorter periodicities: 4.7, 5.0, 6.8, 7.9, 9.1, 15.8 and 20.4 of month.Fourier analysis of the LDE-type flare index (FI) yields significant peaks at 2.3 - 2.9 months and 4.2 - 4.9 months. These short periodicities correspond remarkably in the all three last solar cycles. The larger periodicities are different in respective cycles.


2000 ◽  
Vol 179 ◽  
pp. 163-165
Author(s):  
S. K. Solanki ◽  
M. Fligge ◽  
P. Pulkkinen ◽  
P. Hoyng

AbstractThe records of sunspot number, sunspot areas and sunspot locations gathered over the centuries by various observatories are reanalysed with the aim of finding as yet undiscovered connections between the different parameters of the sunspot cycle and the butterfly diagram. Preliminary results of such interrelationships are presented.


1959 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 334-342 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Begemann

The terrestrial decay rate of “natural” tritium has been re-determined from measurements of the tritium content of old snow samples from Greenland. The finding by CRAIG and BEGEMANN and LIBBY has been confirmed that the tritium decay rate is about 10 times higher than was anticipated previously.Two mechanisms to explain the discrepancy are discussed,a) production by the low energy component of the cosmic radiation andb) the accretion of solar tritium by the earth, as suggested by FELD and ARNOLD.It is shown that in case all the tritium is produced by cosmic radiation the tropospheric production rate may be expected to vary in antiphase with the sunspot cycle, whereas in case of accretion of solar tritium by the earth the variation should be in phase with the sunspot cycle. In both cases a phase shift between the stratospheric production rate and the amount of tropospheric tritium is to be expected because of the residence time of tritium in the stratosphere. A measurement of the phase shift should allow to determine this residence time.The data obtained on the Greenland samples appear to show such a variation of the production rate. The results can be explained best by assuming that all the tritium is produced by cosmic radiation. This result, however, is only preliminary. More systematic measurements are required to decide between the two possibilities.


1961 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Williams
Keyword(s):  

Solar Physics ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 290 (2) ◽  
pp. 635-643 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. S. Ahluwalia ◽  
R. C. Ygbuhay
Keyword(s):  

Solar Physics ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 124 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. -M. Wang ◽  
N. R. Sheeley
Keyword(s):  

2017 ◽  
Vol 05 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wickramasinghe NC ◽  
Edward J Steele ◽  
Wainwright M ◽  
Gensuke Tokoro ◽  
Manju Fernando ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

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