A decision support system methodology for forecasting of time series based on soft computing

2006 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 177-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.D. Bermúdez ◽  
J.V. Segura ◽  
E. Vercher
2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1087-1095 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanbin Liu ◽  
Chunguang Zhou ◽  
Dongwei Guo ◽  
Kangping Wang ◽  
Wei Pang ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
R. R. Janghel ◽  
Anupam Shukla ◽  
Ritu Tiwari

In the present work an attempt is made to develop an intelligent Decision support system (IDSS) using the pathological attributes to predict the fetal delivery to be done normal or by surgical procedure. The pathological tests like Blood Sugar (BR), Blood pressure (BP), Resistivity Index (RI) and systolic / Diastolic (S/P) ratio will be recorded at the time of delivery. All attributes lie within a specific range for normal patient. The database consists of the attributes for cases 2 (i.e. normal and surgical delivery). Soft computing technique namely Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are used for simulator. The attributes from dataset are used for training & testing of ANN models. Three models of ANN are trained using Back-Propagation Algorithm (BPA), Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN), Learning Vector Quantization Network (LVQN) and one hybrid approach is Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The designing factors have been changed to get the optimized model, which gives highest recognition score. The optimized models of BPA, RBFN, LVQN and ANFIS gave accuracies of 93.75, 99.00, 87.50 and 99.50% respectively. Hence in our present research the ANFIS is the model whom efficiency and result are best .The ANFIS is the best network for mentioned problem. This system will assist doctor to take decision at the critical time of fetal delivery.


Author(s):  
Dimitris Ntalaperas ◽  
Iosif Angelidis ◽  
Giorgos Vafeiadis ◽  
Danai Vergeti

AbstractAs it has been already explained, it is very important for circular economies to minimize the wasted resources, as well as maximize the utilization value of the existing ones. To that end, experts can evaluate the materials and give an accurate estimation for both aspects. In that case, one might wonder, why is a decision support system employing machine learning necessary? While a fully automated machine learning model rarely surpasses a human’s ability in such tasks, there are several advantages in employing one. For starters, human experts will be more expensive to employ, rather than use an algorithm. One could claim that research towards developing an efficient and fully automated decision support system would end up costing more than employing actual human experts. In this instance, it is paramount to think long-term. Investing in this kind of research will create systems which are reusable, extensible, and scalable. This aspect alone more than remedies the initial costs. It is also important to observe that, if the number of wastes to be processed is more than the human experts can process in a timely fashion, they will not be able to provide their services, even if employment costs were not a concern. On the contrary, a machine learning model is perfectly capable of scaling to humongous amounts of data, conducting fast data processing and decision making. For power plants with particularly fast processing needs, an automated decision support system is an important asset. Moreover, a decision support system can predict the future based on past observations. While not always entirely spot on, it can give a future estimation about aspects such as energy required, amounts of wastes produced etc. in the future. Therefore, processing plants can plan of time and adapt to specific needs. A human expert can provide this as well to some degree, but on a much smaller scale. Especially in time series forecasting, it is interesting to note that, even if a decision support model does not predict exact values, it is highly likely to predict trends of the value increasing or decreasing in certain ranges. In the next sections, we are going to describe the four machine learning models that were developed and which compose the Decision Support System of FENIX. Section 8.1 describes how we predict the quality of the extracted materials based on features such as temperature, extruder speed, etc. Section 8.2 describes the process of extracting heuristic rules based on existing results. Section 8.3 describes how FENIX provides time-series forecasting to predict the future of a variable based on past observations. Finally, Sect. 8.4 describes the process of classifying materials based on images.


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