Multi-criterion Evaluation of Cultivation Systems for Sustainable Algal Biofuel Production Using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Monte Carlo Simulation

Objective: This paper uses the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to rank main actions and their associated task areas outlined in the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) in the case of Nigeria. The focus is on three major challenges namely (1) stakeholder inclusiveness, (2) capacity building and communication and (3) local adaptation. Methods: The perceptions of a sample of 26 field disaster management experts on the HFA were studied and analyzed using AHP. The study found that "Disaster Preparedness" is the most important expected goal followed by "Risk Assessment and Early Warning." Results: Their priority indices are 0.258 and 0.219, respectively. "Local/City Governance" however, shows poor performance with a priority index of 0.085. Monte Carlo simulation was further applied to examine the robustness of the AHP assessments. Conclusion: The results are indicative of the perceptions of the performance levels attained and the areas that need improvement.

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Priority Evaluation of Life Cycle Impact Factors for Algal Biofuel Production in the Philippines Using Analytic Hierarchy Process

Applied Mechanics and Materials ◽

10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.842.355 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 842 ◽

pp. 355-364

Author(s):

Aristotle T. Ubando ◽

Charles B. Felix ◽

Ivan Henderson V. Gue ◽

Andres Philip Mayol ◽

Nieves A. Toledo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Life Cycle ◽

Impact Assessment ◽

The Philippines ◽

Biofuel Production ◽

Impact Factors ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Algal Biofuel ◽

Algal Biofuels ◽

The Impact ◽

Hierarchy Process

Algal biofuel is considered as an advanced generation bioenergy fuel which addresses the concerns of the preceding generations of biofuels on crop land competition and water consumption. Microalgae are considered as the only biomass feedstock capable of displacing fossil-fuel based on very high-oil yield per land area and other benefits. The production of biofuels in the Philippines is mandated by its Biofuel Act of 2006 which aims to introduce low-carbon fuels to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and reduce the dependence on oil imports. The Philippines’ biodiesel production uses solely coconut as biomass feedstock to produce coconut methyl ester (CME). With the mandate to increase the biodiesel blend to 5% by 2015, this adds pressure to the production of CME while battling for the fluctuating price of coconut. Due to the archipelagic geography and tropical climate of the country, abundance of thriving endemic species of microalgae can be found in the country. Hence, algal biofuel presents a viable option to alternatively produce biodiesel in the Philippines. Thus, policies in sustainable production of algal biofuel based on its environmental impact and natural resource consumption must initially be developed and drafted. A life-cycle assessment (LCA) approach was recommended to evaluate the sustainability of algal biofuel production in the country leading to policy development. Prior finalizing the impact assessment of an LCA study, prioritization of impact factors must initially be established and evaluated based on the programs and goals of the government and other stakeholders. LCA studies on algal biofuels were previously conducted overseas. However, the impact assessment of such studies is not applicable for the Philippines. Furthermore, there has been limited LCA study on algal biofuel production in the Philippines. Hence, this study proposes to establish a multi-criteria decision structure of the life-cycle impact factors of algal biofuels specifically for the Philippines and quantifying its priority levels using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP is a multi-criteria decision analysis which quantifies the prioritization weights of the considered impact factors via pairwise comparison method. Survey shall be conducted to various government agencies, the industry, and other research institutions to establish an initial impact assessment of algal biofuels in the country. The initial results revealed priority are given to global warming potential, eco-toxicity, and photochemical ozone depletion, respectively. The results of this work shall aid the policy and decision makers of the country to develop and draft environmental policies and strategic plans for the proliferation of algal biofuels in the Philippines.

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Management of Risks in Sustainable Supply Chain Using AHP and Monte Carlo Simulation

Global Business Expansion ◽

10.4018/978-1-5225-5481-3.ch075 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 1633-1652

Author(s):

Sunil Luthra ◽

Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽

V. G. Venkatesh ◽

Suresh Kumar Jakhar

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo Simulation ◽

Monte Carlo ◽

Supply Chain ◽

Evaluation Procedure ◽

Sustainable Supply Chain ◽

Business Organizations ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Supply Chain Strategy ◽

Methodical Approach ◽

Hierarchy Process

Business organizations are facing increasingly pressure from stakeholders to incorporate sustainable initiatives in the supply chains. In supply chain management, risk deals with the ‘disturbance and disruption' in a variety of operations that consequences to undesired consequences. Sustainable supply chain (SSC) risk management is a supply chain strategy that aligns economic goals with a supply chain's ecological course of actions. In this chapter, an attempt is made to prioritize and manage the risks linked to SSC. The analysis has been done by combined Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach, which helps in distinguishing the priority of risks and revealing of the impacts of risk. Initially, the recognized risks are analyzed to know their priority using AHP technique. Next, the uncertainties related to the risks are explored. This is followed by a risk evaluation procedure to access the disruption impacts of these risks using MCS approach. This methodical approach helps in understanding of the probable risks and consequences to emerge in SSC.

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Monte Carlo Analytic Hierarchy Process (MAHP) approach to selection of optimum mining method

International Journal of Mining Science and Technology ◽

10.1016/j.ijmst.2013.07.017 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 23 (4) ◽

pp. 573-578 ◽

Cited By ~ 26

Author(s):

Mohammad Ataei ◽

Hashem Shahsavany ◽

Reza Mikaeil

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo ◽

Analytic Hierarchy Process ◽

Mining Method ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Hierarchy Process ◽

Selection Of

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Combination of SWOT Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process, and Monte Carlo Simulation to Identify the Strategic Positioning of Crisis Management at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran

Journal of Rescue and Relief ◽

10.32592/jorar.2020.12.2.2 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 93-101

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo Simulation ◽

Monte Carlo ◽

Crisis Management ◽

External Factors ◽

University Campus ◽

Strategic Positioning ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Internal And External Factors ◽

The University ◽

Hierarchy Process

INTRODUCTION: Iran has long been recognized as one of the most accident-prone areas in the world due to its special geographical location. Therefore, it is of utmost importance to devote special attention to crisis management in organizations and the identification of related strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. METHODS: The present study aimed to identify the strategic positioning of crisis management after natural disasters at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad as the center of excellence in the east of the country. To this end, the internal and external factors which militate against university crisis management were identified. Thereafter, the strategic positioning of this university was determined among four positions, namely offensive, defensive, adaptive, and contingency, using a combination of SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and Monte Carlo simulation, and strategies were presented. The statistical population were university facility experts and managers among whom 10 cases were selected by purposive sampling. FINDINGS: Based on the obtained results, the highest weights in different sub-criteria were as follows: compliance with the required technical and safety standards in new constructions of the university campus (strength), the absence of any specific plan for dealing with various types of crises in different buildings (weakness), the proximity of the fire station to the university campus (opportunity), and indecisiveness of organizations supervising building retrofitting, including provincial government and Roads and Urban Development Office (threat). CONCLUSION: The results of the present study demonstrated that strategic positioning can be identified by analyzing internal and external factors. Moreover, among the four strategic positions, it was found that the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad adopted an offensive crisis management strategy in 45.4% of the cases.

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Optimizing consistency improvement of positive reciprocal matrices with implications for Monte Carlo Analytic Hierarchy Process

Computers & Industrial Engineering ◽

10.1016/j.cie.2018.07.018 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 124 ◽

pp. 113-124 ◽

Cited By ~ 9

Author(s):

Ashkan Negahban

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo ◽

Analytic Hierarchy Process ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Hierarchy Process

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Norm-dist Monte-Carlo integrative method for the improvement of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process

Heliyon ◽

10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03607 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 6 (4) ◽

pp. e03607 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Fermi Dwi Wicaksono ◽

Yusri Bin Arshad ◽

Haeryip Sihombing

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo ◽

Analytic Hierarchy Process ◽

Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Integrative Method ◽

Hierarchy Process

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Management of Risks in Sustainable Supply Chain Using AHP and Monte Carlo Simulation

Managerial Strategies for Business Sustainability During Turbulent Times - Advances in Business Strategy and Competitive Advantage ◽

10.4018/978-1-5225-2716-9.ch004 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 58-76

Author(s):

Sunil Luthra ◽

Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽

V. G. Venkatesh ◽

Suresh Kumar Jakhar

Keyword(s):

Monte Carlo Simulation ◽

Monte Carlo ◽

Supply Chain ◽

Evaluation Procedure ◽

Sustainable Supply Chain ◽

Business Organizations ◽

Analytic Hierarchy ◽

Supply Chain Strategy ◽

Methodical Approach ◽

Hierarchy Process

Business organizations are facing increasingly pressure from stakeholders to incorporate sustainable initiatives in the supply chains. In supply chain management, risk deals with the ‘disturbance and disruption' in a variety of operations that consequences to undesired consequences. Sustainable supply chain (SSC) risk management is a supply chain strategy that aligns economic goals with a supply chain's ecological course of actions. In this chapter, an attempt is made to prioritize and manage the risks linked to SSC. The analysis has been done by combined Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach, which helps in distinguishing the priority of risks and revealing of the impacts of risk. Initially, the recognized risks are analyzed to know their priority using AHP technique. Next, the uncertainties related to the risks are explored. This is followed by a risk evaluation procedure to access the disruption impacts of these risks using MCS approach. This methodical approach helps in understanding of the probable risks and consequences to emerge in SSC.

Download Full-text