Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA): A case study of Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 196-209
Author(s):  
Christian N. Madu ◽  
Benjamin C. Ozumba ◽  
Chuhua Kuei ◽  
Ifeanyi E. Madu ◽  
Valentine E. Nnadi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Disaster Preparedness ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Hyogo Framework For Action ◽  
Hierarchy Process

Objective: This paper uses the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to rank main actions and their associated task areas outlined in the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) in the case of Nigeria. The focus is on three major challenges namely (1) stakeholder inclusiveness, (2) capacity building and communication and (3) local adaptation. Methods: The perceptions of a sample of 26 field disaster management experts on the HFA were studied and analyzed using AHP. The study found that "Disaster Preparedness" is the most important expected goal followed by "Risk Assessment and Early Warning." Results: Their priority indices are 0.258 and 0.219, respectively. "Local/City Governance" however, shows poor performance with a priority index of 0.085. Monte Carlo simulation was further applied to examine the robustness of the AHP assessments. Conclusion: The results are indicative of the perceptions of the performance levels attained and the areas that need improvement.

Management of Risks in Sustainable Supply Chain Using AHP and Monte Carlo Simulation

2018 ◽  
pp. 1633-1652
Author(s):  
Sunil Luthra ◽  
Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽  
V. G. Venkatesh ◽  
Suresh Kumar Jakhar
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Evaluation Procedure ◽  
Sustainable Supply Chain ◽  
Business Organizations ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Supply Chain Strategy ◽  
Methodical Approach ◽  
Hierarchy Process

Business organizations are facing increasingly pressure from stakeholders to incorporate sustainable initiatives in the supply chains. In supply chain management, risk deals with the ‘disturbance and disruption' in a variety of operations that consequences to undesired consequences. Sustainable supply chain (SSC) risk management is a supply chain strategy that aligns economic goals with a supply chain's ecological course of actions. In this chapter, an attempt is made to prioritize and manage the risks linked to SSC. The analysis has been done by combined Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach, which helps in distinguishing the priority of risks and revealing of the impacts of risk. Initially, the recognized risks are analyzed to know their priority using AHP technique. Next, the uncertainties related to the risks are explored. This is followed by a risk evaluation procedure to access the disruption impacts of these risks using MCS approach. This methodical approach helps in understanding of the probable risks and consequences to emerge in SSC.

scholarly journals ERGONOMIC RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE PRESS MACHINE FOR CASAVA CHIPS IN SMES-KARYA LESTARI JAYA : A CASE STUDY

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Silviana Hakim ◽  
Andy Hardianto ◽  
N. Fuhaid ◽  
Dadang Hermawan
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
The Press ◽  
Hierarchy Process ◽  
Ergonomic Risk Factors ◽  
Ergonomic Risk Assessment ◽  
Ergonomic Risk

This article investigates the effectiveness of the posture movement of a pressing machine to mold the cassava crackers. This study is undertaken at Karya Lestari Jaya, which is one of SMEs in Tulungagung, East Java Indonesia. This industry has a problem with the new manual pressing machine which is too stiff and heavy to be handled. The operators complain about feeling sore at upper and lower arms. It means that this activity has a poor posture when the operators are working. This research aims to identify the ergonomic risk factors for the pressing machine and to determine the best recommendation suggested by the operators and the owner of SMEs-Karya Lestari Jaya. We undertake a case study by collecting data from the observation. We analyze the observation data by RULA (Rapid Upper Limb Assessment). Then, we interview eight interviewees to attain the attribute requires in improving the machine. Also, we analyze the best recommendation by using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process).  This study yields the score of RULA is 6 which means the posture in pressing the dough or the working facilities needs to be improved immediately. The results from AHP shows the best recommendation is adding the pneumatic system to the pressing machine to lighten the lever. Ultimately, this finding can be beneficial for the company by figuring the posture and evaluating improvement for the machine.

scholarly journals Combination of SWOT Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process, and Monte Carlo Simulation to Identify the Strategic Positioning of Crisis Management at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran

2020 ◽  
pp. 93-101
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Crisis Management ◽  
External Factors ◽  
University Campus ◽  
Strategic Positioning ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Internal And External Factors ◽  
The University ◽  
Hierarchy Process

INTRODUCTION: Iran has long been recognized as one of the most accident-prone areas in the world due to its special geographical location. Therefore, it is of utmost importance to devote special attention to crisis management in organizations and the identification of related strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. METHODS: The present study aimed to identify the strategic positioning of crisis management after natural disasters at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad as the center of excellence in the east of the country. To this end, the internal and external factors which militate against university crisis management were identified. Thereafter, the strategic positioning of this university was determined among four positions, namely offensive, defensive, adaptive, and contingency, using a combination of SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and Monte Carlo simulation, and strategies were presented. The statistical population were university facility experts and managers among whom 10 cases were selected by purposive sampling. FINDINGS: Based on the obtained results, the highest weights in different sub-criteria were as follows: compliance with the required technical and safety standards in new constructions of the university campus (strength), the absence of any specific plan for dealing with various types of crises in different buildings (weakness), the proximity of the fire station to the university campus (opportunity), and indecisiveness of organizations supervising building retrofitting, including provincial government and Roads and Urban Development Office (threat). CONCLUSION: The results of the present study demonstrated that strategic positioning can be identified by analyzing internal and external factors. Moreover, among the four strategic positions, it was found that the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad adopted an offensive crisis management strategy in 45.4% of the cases.

scholarly journals Environmental Risk Assessment of Subway Station Construction to Achieve Sustainability Using the Intuitionistic Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Set Pair Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Junwu Wang ◽  
Sen Liu ◽  
Yinghui Song ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Han Wu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy Process ◽  
Environmental Risk ◽  
Environmental Risk Assessment ◽  
Set Pair Analysis ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Hierarchy Process ◽  
Pair Analysis

Environmental risks have a significant impact on the sustainability of subway station construction projects. This paper proposes an environmental risk assessment model based on the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IFAHP) and set pair analysis (SPA) to deal with the ambiguity and uncertainty in the assessment. An index system for environmental risk assessment is established based on a literature review and the rough set method. Subsequently, the IFAHP is used to calculate the indicator weights to describe the certainty, uncertainty, and hesitation degree of expert decisions in the weighting calculation by means of affiliation, nonaffiliation, and hesitation. Finally, SPA, which can deal with the randomness, uncertainty, and ambiguity of the indicators, is used to assess environmental risk. A case study of two typical stations (Lushan Avenue Station and Huilong Road West Station) of Metro Line 11 in Chengdu, China, is conducted. The case study results are consistent with field surveys. The evaluation results of the proposed model are more objective and reasonable than those of the traditional analytic hierarchy process, the entropy weight method, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, grey correlation analysis, and technique for order of preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS). The research results prove the scientific validity and superiority of the proposed model.

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