scholarly journals Combination of SWOT Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process, and Monte Carlo Simulation to Identify the Strategic Positioning of Crisis Management at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran

2020 ◽  
pp. 93-101

INTRODUCTION: Iran has long been recognized as one of the most accident-prone areas in the world due to its special geographical location. Therefore, it is of utmost importance to devote special attention to crisis management in organizations and the identification of related strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. METHODS: The present study aimed to identify the strategic positioning of crisis management after natural disasters at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad as the center of excellence in the east of the country. To this end, the internal and external factors which militate against university crisis management were identified. Thereafter, the strategic positioning of this university was determined among four positions, namely offensive, defensive, adaptive, and contingency, using a combination of SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and Monte Carlo simulation, and strategies were presented. The statistical population were university facility experts and managers among whom 10 cases were selected by purposive sampling. FINDINGS: Based on the obtained results, the highest weights in different sub-criteria were as follows: compliance with the required technical and safety standards in new constructions of the university campus (strength), the absence of any specific plan for dealing with various types of crises in different buildings (weakness), the proximity of the fire station to the university campus (opportunity), and indecisiveness of organizations supervising building retrofitting, including provincial government and Roads and Urban Development Office (threat). CONCLUSION: The results of the present study demonstrated that strategic positioning can be identified by analyzing internal and external factors. Moreover, among the four strategic positions, it was found that the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad adopted an offensive crisis management strategy in 45.4% of the cases.

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 196-209
Author(s):  
Christian N. Madu ◽  
Benjamin C. Ozumba ◽  
Chuhua Kuei ◽  
Ifeanyi E. Madu ◽  
Valentine E. Nnadi ◽  
...  

Objective: This paper uses the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to rank main actions and their associated task areas outlined in the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) in the case of Nigeria. The focus is on three major challenges namely (1) stakeholder inclusiveness, (2) capacity building and communication and (3) local adaptation. Methods: The perceptions of a sample of 26 field disaster management experts on the HFA were studied and analyzed using AHP. The study found that "Disaster Preparedness" is the most important expected goal followed by "Risk Assessment and Early Warning." Results: Their priority indices are 0.258 and 0.219, respectively. "Local/City Governance" however, shows poor performance with a priority index of 0.085. Monte Carlo simulation was further applied to examine the robustness of the AHP assessments. Conclusion: The results are indicative of the perceptions of the performance levels attained and the areas that need improvement.


2018 ◽  
pp. 1633-1652
Author(s):  
Sunil Luthra ◽  
Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽  
V. G. Venkatesh ◽  
Suresh Kumar Jakhar

Business organizations are facing increasingly pressure from stakeholders to incorporate sustainable initiatives in the supply chains. In supply chain management, risk deals with the ‘disturbance and disruption' in a variety of operations that consequences to undesired consequences. Sustainable supply chain (SSC) risk management is a supply chain strategy that aligns economic goals with a supply chain's ecological course of actions. In this chapter, an attempt is made to prioritize and manage the risks linked to SSC. The analysis has been done by combined Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach, which helps in distinguishing the priority of risks and revealing of the impacts of risk. Initially, the recognized risks are analyzed to know their priority using AHP technique. Next, the uncertainties related to the risks are explored. This is followed by a risk evaluation procedure to access the disruption impacts of these risks using MCS approach. This methodical approach helps in understanding of the probable risks and consequences to emerge in SSC.


Author(s):  
Sunil Luthra ◽  
Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽  
V. G. Venkatesh ◽  
Suresh Kumar Jakhar

Business organizations are facing increasingly pressure from stakeholders to incorporate sustainable initiatives in the supply chains. In supply chain management, risk deals with the ‘disturbance and disruption' in a variety of operations that consequences to undesired consequences. Sustainable supply chain (SSC) risk management is a supply chain strategy that aligns economic goals with a supply chain's ecological course of actions. In this chapter, an attempt is made to prioritize and manage the risks linked to SSC. The analysis has been done by combined Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach, which helps in distinguishing the priority of risks and revealing of the impacts of risk. Initially, the recognized risks are analyzed to know their priority using AHP technique. Next, the uncertainties related to the risks are explored. This is followed by a risk evaluation procedure to access the disruption impacts of these risks using MCS approach. This methodical approach helps in understanding of the probable risks and consequences to emerge in SSC.


2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (4) ◽  
pp. 465-482
Author(s):  
Helena Brožová ◽  
Jana Horáková ◽  
Jiří Fiedler

This research identifies the lecturers’ competencies which are the most important from the students’ perspective at the Czech University of Life Sciences Prague and compares students’ opinion and their change over the whole study period. It does not deal with the knowledge competencies of lecturers that students cannot objectively evaluate, but with lecturers’ managerial competencies that affect the organization, forms and ways of teaching. The examined competencies are hierarchically organized into three groups of particular competencies comprising of bipolar characteristics. Based on survey of students at the University, the evaluation of importance of managerial competencies using the Analytic Hierarchy Process was performed. The findings show that Innovative education, Good communication skills, Ability of improvisation, and Democratic way of teaching are the most important lecturers’ competencies from students’ point of view. Surprisingly, Oral based presentation is preferred to IT based one. Knowledge of the most important managerial competencies can help lecturers and universities to increase quality of educational process and attractiveness of the university for students. Keywords. Analytic Hierarchy Process, higher educational institutions, lecturer’s managerial competencies, students’ perception.


Author(s):  
Miftakhurrizal Kurniawan ◽  
Imam Santoso ◽  
Harry Mangatur Silaban

The purpose of this study is to analyze the internal and external factors that influence development and provide proposals for competitive strategies which are the priority of developing CV Angkasa Jaya. This study uses Strength, Waekness, Opportunity and Threat (SWOT) methods to identify internal and external factors of the company as well as alternative strategic planning and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) for determining strategic priorities. The results showed that internal and external factors that affected were products, marketing, production processes, the existence of government support, fruit beverage trends, market potential, technology, competition, shifting market tastes, economy and substitute products. Alternative strategies that become priority development strategies that can be applied by CV Angkasa Jaya are to increase the use of production technology and the internet, improve and maintain product quality in order to be able to compete with other products, develop business potential by making product innovations, carry out continuous production processes, improve and maintain market share, increase production capacity and the last priority is to increase promotion.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 37-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna K. Becker ◽  
Brandon E. Ross ◽  
Dustin Albright

ABSTRACT As urban populations increase worldwide and more demands are placed on infrastructure and buildings, the topic of adaptable building design has experienced increased interest as a way to embed adaptability into the urban building stock and avoid unnecessary demolition and waste. Evaluation tools for judging building adaptability based on physical characteristics have recently been proposed. The most common approach for these tools is to use a weighted-sum of scores for different criteria. The primary purpose of this paper was to compare a weighted-sum measurement approach against a more rigorous, less abstract measurement that involved judgements about simulated adaptation projects (called an example-based approach). These measurements were performed through expert elicitation and an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) survey, where participants evaluated the relative adaptability of four case study buildings from the Clemson University campus. The results showed significant correlation between the weighted-sum approach and the example-based approach, supporting the reasonableness of using weighted-sum approaches to evaluate the adaptive potential of building designs. In addition, a separate group of experts rated adaptability of the case study buildings by providing qualitative reasons for their rankings. Unlike the other approaches, this group was not given a specific tool to guide their ratings. The qualitative data provided additional context for understanding results from the quantitative approaches.


Author(s):  
Samaneh Khazraeian ◽  
Mohammed Hadi

Decisions to invest in alternative intelligent transportation system (ITS) technologies are expected to increase in complexity, particularly with the introduction of connected vehicles (CV) and automated vehicles (AV) in the coming years. Traditional alternative analyses based on deterministic return on investment analysis are unable to capture the risks and uncertainties associated with the investment problem. In addition, these methods cannot account for agency preferences and constraints that cannot be converted to dollar values. This study utilizes a combination of a stochastic return on investment and a multi-criteria decision analysis method referred to as the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to select between ITS deployment alternatives considering emerging technologies. The approach is applied in a case study of the selection between using CV data and point detector data to support the freeway traffic data collection and monitoring service. The four objectives specified in the AHP analysis are providing the required functions, providing the required performance, minimizing the risks and constraints, and maximizing the return on investment. A stochastic return-on-investment analysis using a Monte Carlo simulation was used to calculate the return on investment values for input to the AHP method.


2013 ◽  
Vol 787 ◽  
pp. 1002-1005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Yu Zhao ◽  
Yi Zhou ◽  
Xiao Yang Cai

With the growing development of the society nowadays, the economic growth in China is also increasing fast, which deeply influences the decisions and options that university students make to plan for their future and to seek for the opportunities of the internship. This paper analyzes the attitude and the aims towards to internship for the university students, especially for those who major in engineering management, combining the actual cases analysis, this paper introduces the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to build the combination model named Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP). It is applied to better selection of the internship for whom majoring in engineering management. The actual results show that it can solve such multi-factor, multi-level and uncertain decision making problems, which is of practical significance to the university students who are searching for the internship of engineering management.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 40
Author(s):  
Putri Dewi Ambarwati ◽  
Sambodo Sriadi Pinilih ◽  
Retna Tri Astuti

masalah yang banyak dialami oleh usia dewasa awal yaitu harus membuat keputusan mengenai karir, pernikahan, stres pekerjaan & keluarga, ansietas, dan depresi. Faktor-faktor yang menyebabkan terjadinya stres yaitu faktor internal dan eksternal, faktor eksternal terdiri dari keadaan fisik, konfik, emosional, dan perilaku. Sedangkan faktor eksternal terdiri dari lingkungan fisik, lingkungan pekerjaan, lingkungan masyarakat, lingkungan keluarga, masalah ekonomi, dan masalah hukum. Beban stres yang dirasa berat dapat memicu seseorang untuk berperilaku negatif, seperti merokok, alkohol, tawuran, seks bebas bahkan penyalahgunaan napza. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui karakteristik mahasiswa tingkat akhir dan mengetahui tingkat stres pada mahasiswa tingkat akhir di Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain deskritif kualitatif dengan pendekatan cross sectional dengan teknik pengambilan sampel menggunakan purposive sampling, sampel sebanyak 101 mahasiswa. Instrument yang digunakan adalah kuesioner. Hasil penelitan menunjukkan bahwa rata-rata usia mahasiswa 22,01 tahun. Rata-rata masa studi untuk program Diploma III (D3) adalah 6,00 semester, untuk program Sarjana (S1) rata-ratanya adalah 8,05 semester. Tingkat stres pada mahasiswa menunjukkan stres ringan sebanyak 35,6%, stres sedang 57.4 %, dan stres berat sebanyak 6,9 %. Tingkat stres tertinggi dialami oleh jenis kelamin perempuan dengan hasil stres sedang 33,6 %, dan tingkat stres berat 4,0%. Gambaran tingkat stres pada mahasiswa di Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang menunjukkan stres sedang sebanyak 33,6 %. Kata Kunci: Mahasiswa, Stres THE DESCRIPTION OF STRES LEVELS INCOLLEGE STUDENT ATMUHAMMADIYAH UNIVERSITY MAGELANG ABSTRACTThe problem that many experienced by the early adult age is having to make decisions about career, marriage, job & family stres, anxiety, and depression. Factors that because stres are internal and external factors, external factors consist of physical condition, conflicts, emotional, and behavior. While external factors consist of physical environment, work environment, community environment, family environment, economic problems, and legal issues. Heavily burdened stres can trigger a person to behave negatively, such as smoking, alcohol, brawl, free sex and even drug abuse. This study aims to determine the characteristics of college student and know the level of stres in the college student at the university of muhammadiyah magelang. This research used descriptive qualitative design with cross sectional approach with sampling technique using purposive sampling, 101 college student samples. Instrument used is a questionnaire. Indicated that the average age of college student was 22.01 years. The average duration of program for Diploma III (D3) was 6,00 semesters. For the undergraduate program (S1) the average was 8.05 semesters. The college student stres level showed a mild stres of 35.6 %, moderate stres 57.4 %, and severe stres as many as 6.9 %. The highest level of stres experienced by female with moderate stres 33.6 %, and Severe stres 4.0 %. Description of stres level in college student at Muhammadiyah University of Magelang shows moderate stres as much as 33.6%. Keywords: College student, stres


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