Causes of pre-collapse changes of the Larsen B ice shelf: Numerical modelling and assimilation of satellite observations

2007 ◽  
Vol 259 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 297-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Vieli ◽  
A.J. Payne ◽  
A. Shepherd ◽  
Z. Du
Author(s):  
R. Li ◽  
D. Lv ◽  
H. Xiao ◽  
S. Liu ◽  
Y. Cheng ◽  
...  

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> This paper presents a systematic fracturing study of the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf (FRIS) in Antarctica based on multisource data dating back to 1973. Two fracture maps of FRIS were extracted from Landsat-8 OLI images of 2014&amp;ndash;2015 and MODIS mosaic of Antarctica (MOA) 2008&amp;ndash;2009. The evolution pattern and temporal change of two crucial rifts, Rifts T1 and T2 are analysed for their similarities with the Grand Chasm, which directly induced the previous major calving event of Filchner Ice Shelf (FIS) in 1986. The depth temporal change of Rift T2 was also analysed based on ICESat altimetry data and DEMs reconstructed from ZY-3 and WV-2 stereo images. 3D parameters were also extracted and analysed from DEMs, including rift depth, walls, mélange surface roughness, and mélange thickness. In total, 582 new fractures were extracted from 2004 to 2009 and another 752 from 2008 to 2015. Rifts T1 and T2 showed high activeness, which experienced a rapid growth of 82% and reached &amp;sim;50&amp;thinsp;km in length. Based on all the observations of fracture and rift activity, some regions of ice shelf front in RIS and FIS show some important characteristics that can be related back to the previous calving events.</p>


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melanie Rankl ◽  
Johannes Jakob Fürst ◽  
Angelika Humbert ◽  
Matthias Holger Braun

Abstract. Ice shelves serve as important buttresses for upstream areas. Several large ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula have disintegrated or retreated, which implied dynamic consequences for upstream ice. The present study aims to assess dynamic changes on Wilkins Ice Shelf during multi-stage ice-front retreat in the last decade. A total area of 2135 &amp;pm; 75 km2 was lost in the period 2008–2009. The present study uses time-series of SAR satellite observations (1994/96, 2006–2010) in order to derive variations in multi-temporal surface flow from intensity offset tracking methods. Spatial patterns of horizontal strain rate and stress components were inferred during different ice-front retreat stages. These fields are used to explain the different break-up stages and to evaluate the ice-shelf stability. For this purpose, we apply criteria which were forwarded to explain and assess past ice-shelf retreat.


2009 ◽  
Vol 280 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 51-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ted Scambos ◽  
Helen Amanda Fricker ◽  
Cheng-Chien Liu ◽  
Jennifer Bohlander ◽  
James Fastook ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1199-1211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melanie Rankl ◽  
Johannes Jakob Fürst ◽  
Angelika Humbert ◽  
Matthias Holger Braun

Abstract. The vast ice shelves around Antarctica provide significant restraint to the outflow from adjacent tributary glaciers. This important buttressing effect became apparent in the last decades, when outlet glaciers accelerated considerably after several ice shelves were lost around the Antarctic Peninsula (AP). The present study aims to assess dynamic changes on the Wilkins Ice Shelf (WIS) during different stages of ice-front retreat and partial collapse between early 2008 and 2009. The total ice-shelf area lost in these events was 2135 ± 75 km2 ( ∼  15 % of the ice-shelf area relative to 2007). Here, we use time series of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite observations (1994–1996, 2006–2010) in order to derive variations in surface-flow speed from intensity-offset tracking. Spatial patterns of horizontal strain-rate, stress and stress-flow angle distributions are determined during different ice-front retreat stages. Prior to the final break up of an ice bridge in 2008, a strong speed up is observed, which is also discernible from other derived quantities. We identify areas that are important for buttressing and areas prone to fracturing using in-flow and first principal strain rates as well as principal stress components. Further propagation of fractures can be explained as the first principal components of strain rates and stresses exceed documented threshold values. Positive second principal stresses are another scale-free indicator for ice-shelf areas, where fractures preferentially open. Second principal strain rates are found to be insensitive to ice-front retreat or fracturing. Changes in stress-flow angles highlight similar areas as the in-flow strain rates but are difficult to interpret. Our study reveals the large potential of modern SAR satellite time series to better understand dynamic and structural changes during ice-shelf retreat but also points to uncertainties introduced by the methods applied.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. 5447-5471
Author(s):  
Jamey Stutz ◽  
Andrew Mackintosh ◽  
Kevin Norton ◽  
Ross Whitmore ◽  
Carlo Baroni ◽  
...  

Abstract. Quantitative satellite observations only provide an assessment of ice sheet mass loss over the last four decades. To assess long-term drivers of ice sheet change, geological records are needed. Here we present the first millennial-scale reconstruction of David Glacier, the largest East Antarctic outlet glacier in Victoria Land. To reconstruct changes in ice thickness, we use surface exposure ages of glacial erratics deposited on nunataks adjacent to fast-flowing sections of David Glacier. We then use numerical modelling experiments to determine the drivers of glacial thinning. Thinning profiles derived from 45 10Be and 3He surface exposure ages show David Glacier experienced rapid thinning of up to 2 m/yr during the mid-Holocene (∼ 6.5 ka). Thinning slowed at 6 ka, suggesting the initial formation of the Drygalski Ice Tongue at this time. Our work, along with ice thinning records from adjacent glaciers, shows simultaneous glacier thinning in this sector of the Transantarctic Mountains occurred 4–7 kyr after the peak period of ice thinning indicated in a suite of published ice sheet models. The timing and rapidity of the reconstructed thinning at David Glacier is similar to reconstructions in the Amundsen and Weddell embayments. To identify the drivers of glacier thinning along the David Glacier, we use a glacier flowline model designed for calving glaciers and compare modelled results against our geological data. We show that glacier thinning and marine-based grounding-line retreat are controlled by either enhanced sub-ice-shelf melting, reduced lateral buttressing or a combination of the two, leading to marine ice sheet instability. Such rapid glacier thinning events during the mid-Holocene are not fully captured in continental- or catchment-scale numerical modelling reconstructions. Together, our chronology and modelling identify and constrain the drivers of a ∼ 2000-year period of dynamic glacier thinning in the recent geological past.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4583-4601
Author(s):  
Mengzhen Qi ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Jiping Liu ◽  
Xiao Cheng ◽  
Yijing Lin ◽  
...  

Abstract. Iceberg calving is the main process that facilitates the dynamic mass loss of ice sheets into the ocean, which accounts for approximately half of the mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet. Fine-scale calving variability observations can help reveal the calving mechanisms and identify the principal processes that influence how the changing climate affects global sea level through the ice shelf buttressing effect on the Antarctic ice sheet. Iceberg calving from entire ice shelves for short time intervals or from specific ice shelves for long time intervals has been monitored before, but there is still a lack of consistent, long-term, and high-precision records on independent calving events for all of the Antarctic ice shelves. In this study, a 15-year annual iceberg calving product measuring every independent calving event larger than 1 km2 over all of the Antarctic ice shelves that occurred from August 2005 to August 2020 was developed based on 16 years of continuous satellite observations. First, the expansion of the ice shelf frontal coastline was simulated according to ice velocity; following this, the calved areas, which are considered to be the differences between the simulated coastline, were manually delineated, and the actual coastline was derived from the corresponding satellite imagery, based on multisource optical and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images. The product provides detailed information on each calving event, including the associated year of occurrence, area, size, average thickness, mass, recurrence interval, and measurement uncertainties. A total of 1975 annual calving events larger than 1 km2 were detected on the Antarctic ice shelves from August 2005 to August 2020. The average annual calved area was measured as 3549.1 km2 with an uncertainty value of 14.3 km2, and the average calving rate was measured as 770.3 Gt yr−1 with an uncertainty value of 29.5 Gt yr−1. The number of calving events, calved area, and calved mass fluctuated moderately during the first decade, followed by a dramatic increase from 2015/2016 to 2019/2020. During the dataset period, large ice shelves, such as the Ronne–Filchner and Ross ice shelves, advanced with low calving frequency, whereas small- and medium-sized ice shelves retreated and calved more frequently. Iceberg calving of ice shelves is most prevalent in West Antarctica, followed by the Antarctic Peninsula and Wilkes Land in East Antarctica. The annual iceberg calving event dataset of Antarctic ice shelves provides consistent and precise calving observations with the longest time coverage. The dataset provides multidimensional variables for each independent calving event that can be used to study detailed spatial–temporal variations in Antarctic iceberg calving. The dataset can also be used to study ice sheet mass balance, calving mechanisms, and responses of iceberg calving to climate change. The dataset, entitled “Annual iceberg calving dataset of the Antarctic ice shelves (2005–2020)”, is shared via the National Tibetan Plateau Data Center: https://doi.org/10.11888/Glacio.tpdc.271250 (Qi et al., 2021). In addition, the average annual calving rate of 18.4±6.7 Gt yr−1 for calving events smaller than 1 km2 of the Antarctic ice shelves and the calving rate of 166.7±15.2 Gt yr−1 for the marine-terminating glaciers were estimated.


Author(s):  
Andreas Vieli ◽  
Antony J Payne ◽  
Zhijun Du ◽  
Andrew Shepherd

In this study, the flow and rheology of pre-collapse Larsen B ice shelf are investigated by using a combination of flow modelling and data assimilation. Observed shelf velocities from satellite interferometry are used to constrain an ice shelf model by using a data assimilation technique based on the control method. In particular, the ice rheology field and the velocities at the inland shelf boundary are simultaneously optimized to get a modelled flow and stress field that is consistent with the observed flow. The application to the Larsen B ice shelf shows that a strong weakening of the ice in the shear zones, mostly along the margins, is necessary to fit the observed shelf flow. This pattern of bands with weak ice is a very robust feature of the inversion, whereas the ice rheology within the main shelf body is found to be not well constrained. This suggests that these weak zones play a major role in the control of the flow of the Larsen B ice shelf and may be the key to understanding the observed pre-collapse thinning and acceleration of Larsen B. Regarding the sensitivity of the stress field to rheology, the consistency of the model with the observed flow seems crucial for any further analysis such as the application of fracture mechanics or perturbation model experiments.


1988 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 36-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heinrich Hinze ◽  
Günter Seeber

The satellite positioning systems, NNSS or Transit system and NAVSTAR-GPS, are used successfully for the determination of ice motion. The ice motion is derived from the change in the coordinates of a station between at least two measurement epochs. Simultaneous satellite observations on solid-ground-based and on ice stations yield precise relative or local coordinates between the stations. The ice motion can be determined very accurately from the variation in these coordinates. The field observations and post-processing steps, which differ slightly for the two positioning systems, are outlined. Results for several examples are presented. Ice-motion solutions are discussed for data from Anvers Island (NNSS), from Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf (NNSS, GPS), and from Ekström Ice Shelf (NNSS, GPS). Slow velocities of a few dm/d could be estimated in the course of one field season and the velocity values found are confirmed by annual station displacements.


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