The risk spillovers from the Chinese stock market to major East Asian stock markets: A MSGARCH-EVT-copula approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 173-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Copula Approach ◽  
East Asian Stock Markets

COMMON FEATURES IN EAST ASIAN STOCK MARKETS: LONG-TERM AND SHORT-TERM COMOVEMENTS BETWEEN CHINA AND KOREA

2013 ◽  
Vol 58 (03) ◽  
pp. 1350018
Author(s):  
HAHN SHIK LEE ◽  
SOO IN KIM
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
East Asian ◽  
International Investment ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
Contemporaneous Correlation ◽  
East Asian Stock Markets

As increasing attention has been given in recent literature to the potential of the Chinese financial market, we investigate the strength of shared dynamics among East Asian stock markets, by examining both the long-term and short-term comovements. In doing so, the cointegration analysis is used to assess the long-term relationship, whereas the notions of cofeature as well as contemporaneous correlation are employed to discuss the short-term relationship. The basic finding is that evidence for short-term comovement between the Korean and Chinese stock markets appears to be strong, while evidence for long-term relationship is rather weak. Empirical results from subsamples suggest that both the long-term and short-term relationships have strengthened since the acquisition of QFII qualification by Korean financial firms. These observations indicate that the international linkage between the two countries has strengthened along with increasing opportunities for international investment in the Chinese stock market.

scholarly journals CONTAGIOUS EFFECTS OF OIL PRICES ON ASIAN STOCK MARKETS’ BEHAVIOUR

2016 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 141
Author(s):  
Jok-Tong Wan ◽  
Evan Lau ◽  
Rayenda Khresna Brahmana
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
East Asian Stock Markets

The main objective of this study is to examine the stock markets’ shock due to the effect of the price of oil in the East Asia Region. Particularly, this study examines if there is stock market interdependence during global oil price shocks (sudden changes) for a sample of five total oil importers (the Philippines, Hong Kong SAR, Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan), four net oil importers (Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, and China), and one net oil exporter (Malaysia) between 1999 and 2014. From the result, an oil price change is collectively found to have a small but significant positive impact on the stock markets, in particular where a sudden decrease in oil prices tends to cause a stock market downturn and volatility. The world economy’s spending, financial investments in oil futures and foreign investment by oil rich nations are some underlying motives for inducing this oil-stock positive relation. The same direction of time-varying conditional correlations is found across East Asian stock markets during negative oil price shocks. The integration among East Asian stock markets is inducing the oil shock contagion to be transmitted from direct oil-affected countries (South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore) to non-direct oil affected countries’ (Japan and Taiwan) stock markets. In spite of a long practiced ASEAN+3 macroeconomics surveillance process and Early Warning System (EWS) which can be customized for stock markets to prevent or detect the oil risk, hedging against initial oil-affected stock markets and a stronger influence by the East Asian countries in the global world of oil and capital investment are strongly suggested.Keywords: oil price; capital market integration; stock market behaviour

scholarly journals Linkages between gold and emerging Asian stock markets: New evidence from the Chinese stock market crash

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Imran Yousaf ◽  
Shoaib Ali
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Stock Market Crash ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Hedge Ratios ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
New Evidence

This study examines the return and volatility transmission between gold and nine emerging Asian Stock Markets during the global financial crisis and the Chinese stock market crash. We use the VAR-AGARCH model to estimate return and volatility spillovers over the period from January 2000 through June 30, 2018. The results reveal the substantial return and volatility spillovers between the gold and emerging Asian stock markets during the global financial crisis and the Chinese stock market crash. However, these return and volatility transmissions vary across the pairs of stock markets and the financial crises. Besides, we analyze the optimal portfolios and hedge ratios between gold and emerging Asian stock markets during all sample periods. Our findings have important implications for effective hedging and diversification strategies, asset pricing and risk management.

scholarly journals Multi-Horizon Dependence between Crude Oil and East Asian Stock Markets and Implications in Risk Management

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojing Cai ◽  
Shigeyuki Hamori ◽  
Lu Yang ◽  
Shuairu Tian
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Dependence Structure ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Risk Hedging ◽  
Long Run ◽  
East Asian Stock Markets

This paper examines the dynamic dependence structure of crude oil and East Asian stock markets at multiple frequencies using wavelet and copulas. We also investigate risk management implications and diversification benefits of oil-stock portfolios by calculating and comparing risk and tail risk hedging performance. Our results provide strong evidence of time-varying dependence and asymmetric tail dependence between crude oil and East Asian stock markets at different frequencies. The level and fluctuation of their dependencies increase as time scale increases. Furthermore, we find the time-varying hedging benefits differ at investment horizons and reduced over the long run. Our results suggest that crude oil could be used as a hedge and safe haven against East Asian stock markets, especially in the short- and mid-term.

The optimal thermal causal path analysis on the relationship between international crude oil price and stock market

Kybernetes ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 1242-1261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Can Zhong Yao ◽  
Peng Cheng Kuang ◽  
Ji Nan Lin
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Causal Path

Purpose The purpose of this study is to reveal the lead–lag structure between international crude oil price and stock markets. Design/methodology/approach The methods used for this study are as follows: empirical mode decomposition; shift-window-based Pearson coefficient and thermal causal path method. Findings The fluctuation characteristic of Chinese stock market before 2010 is very similar to international crude oil prices. After 2010, their fluctuation patterns are significantly different from each other. The two stock markets significantly led international crude oil prices, revealing varying lead–lag orders among stock markets. During 2000 and 2004, the stock markets significantly led international crude oil prices but they are less distinct from the lead–lag orders. After 2004, the effects changed so that the leading effect of Shanghai composite index remains no longer significant, and after 2012, S&P index just significantly lagged behind the international crude oil prices. Originality/value China and the US stock markets develop different pattens to handle the crude oil prices fluctuation after finance crisis in 1998.

Stock prices' long memory in China and the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengxun Tan ◽  
Yao Fu ◽  
Hong Cheng ◽  
Juan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Information Disclosure ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Content Type

PurposeThis study aims to examine the long memory as well as the effect of structural breaks in the US and the Chinese stock markets. More importantly, it further explores possible causes of the differences in long memory between these two stock markets.Design/methodology/approachThe authors employ various methods to estimate the memory parameters, including the modified R/S, averaged periodogram, Lagrange multiplier, local Whittle and exact local Whittle estimations.FindingsChina's two stock markets exhibit long memory, whereas the two US markets do not. Furthermore, long memory is robust in Chinese markets even when we test break-adjusted data. The Chinese stock market does not meet the efficient market hypothesis (EMHs), including the efficiency of information disclosure, regulations and supervision, investors' behavior, and trading mechanisms. Therefore, its stock prices' sluggish response to information leads to momentum effects and long memory.Originality/valueThe authors elaborately illustrate how long memory develops by analyzing not only stock market indices but also typical individual stocks in both the emerging China and the developed US, which diversifies the EMH with wider international stylized facts and findings when compared with previous literature. A couple of tests conducted to analyze structural break effects and spurious long memory demonstrate the reliability of the results. The authors’ findings have significant implications for investors and policymakers worldwide.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document