Target ratcheting and effort reduction

2011 ◽  
Vol 51 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 171-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Bouwens ◽  
Peter Kroos
Keyword(s):  
1981 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 381-399
Author(s):  
Gary Burtless ◽  
David Greenberg

ABSTRACTThis paper examines the problem of inappropriate comparisons in evaluating social programs and the erroneous policy conclusions which can be derived from such comparisons. The paper examines two cases from the United States of America which fail to meet the criterion that comparison groups (if necessary after statistical adjustment) should be identical in all essential respects except in their exposure to the program. In the first of the two cases, involving the measurement of work-effort reduction in negative income tax (NIT) experiments, the inappropriate comparison was made in conducting a statistical analysis of program effects. In the second case, involving the analysis of changes in housing consumption in a housing allowance experiment, the statistical analysis of program effects appears valid, but the correctly measured program outcomes were themselves inappropriately used by policy-makers in drawing policy inferences. The conclusion draws out major lessons for policy analysis and policy-making.


2019 ◽  
Vol 52 (15) ◽  
pp. 519-524
Author(s):  
Roberto Belotti ◽  
Karl D. von Ellenrieder ◽  
Helen C. Henninger

2018 ◽  
Vol 90 (3) ◽  
pp. 532-541 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Danzi ◽  
Giacomo Frulla ◽  
Giulio Romeo

Purpose This paper aims to present a systematic performance-oriented procedure to predict structural responses of composite layered structures. The procedure has a direct application in the preliminary design of aerospace composite structures evaluating the right and most effective material. Design/methodology/approach The aforementioned procedure is based upon the definition of stiffness invariants. In the paper, the authors briefly recall the definition and the physical explanation of the invariants, i.e. the trace; then they present the scaling procedure for the selection of the best material for a fixed geometrical shape. Findings The authors report the basic principles of the scaling procedure and several examples pertaining typical responses sought in the preliminary design of aeronautic structures Research limitations/implications Typically, during early stages, engineers had to perform the daunting task of balancing among functional requirements and constraints and give the optimum solution in terms of structural concept and material selection. Moreover, preliminary design activities require evaluating different responses as a function of as less as possible parameters, ensuring medium to high fidelity. The importance of incorporating as much physics and understanding of the problem as early as possible in the preliminary design stages is therefore fundamental. A robust and systematic procedure is necessary. Practical implications The time/effort reduction in the preliminary design of composite structures can increase the overall quality of the configuration chosen. Social implications Reduction in design costs and time. Originality/value In spite of the well-known invariant properties of composites, the application and extension to the preliminary design of composite structures by means of a scaling rule is new and original.


2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (5) ◽  
pp. 822-830 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.G. Hiddink ◽  
T. Hutton ◽  
S. Jennings ◽  
M.J. Kaiser

AbstractTo effectively implement an Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries (EAF), managers need to consider the effects of management actions on the fishery and the ecosystem. Methods for assessing the effects on target stocks are generally well developed, but methods for assessing the effects on other components and attributes of the ecosystem are not. Area closures and effort controls are widely used fishery management tools that affect the distribution of fishing effort and may therefore have consequences for a range of species and habitats. An approach is developed to predict the effects of area closures and effort control on the biomass, production, and species richness of benthic communities in the North Sea. The redistribution of beam trawling effort as a result of management action was modelled with a random utility model, assuming that fishers selected fishing grounds on the basis of their knowledge of past catch rates. The effects of trawling on benthic invertebrates were predicted using a size-based model that accounted for differences in habitat among fishing grounds. Our simulations demonstrated that closures of different sizes and in different locations could have positive or negative effects on benthic communities. These predicted effects resulted from the trade-off between recovery in the closed areas and additional trawling effects in the open areas that arose from displaced fishing activity. In the absence of effort controls, closure of lightly fished areas had the strongest positive effect on benthic communities. Effort reduction also had a positive effect. Therefore, area closures in lightly fished areas, coupled with effort reduction, are expected to minimize the effects of fishing on benthic communities. As it was not possible to access full international data for the North Sea beam trawl fleet, the results of the analyses are illustrative rather than complete. Nevertheless, what is demonstrated is an effective approach for assessing the environmental consequences of fishery management action that can be used to inform management decision-making as part of an EAF.


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