Influence of sudden stratospheric warming and quasi biennial oscillation on western disturbance over north India

2017 ◽  
Vol 160 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
R. Remya ◽  
Ajil Kottayil ◽  
K. Mohanakumar
Keyword(s):  
North India ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Western Disturbance ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

scholarly journals Does the coupling of the mesospheric semiannual oscillation with the quasi-biennial oscillation provide predictability of Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktoria J. Nordström ◽  
Annika Seppälä
Keyword(s):  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Early Winter ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Semiannual Oscillation

Abstract. During September 2019 there was a sudden stratospheric warming over Antarctica, which brought disruption to the usually stable winter vortex. The mesospheric winds reversed and temperatures in the stratosphere rose by over 50 K. Whilst this was only the second SSW in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), the other having occurred in 2002, its Northern counterpart experiences about six per decade. Currently, an amplification of atmospheric waves during winter is thought to trigger SSWs. However, our understanding remains incomplete, especially in regards to its occurrence in the SH. Here, we investigate the interaction of two equatorial atmospheric modes, the Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Semiannual Oscillation (SAO) during the SH winters of 2019 and 2002. Using MERRA-2 reanalysis data we find that the two modes interact at low latitudes during their easterly phases in the early winter, forming a zero wind line that stretches from the lower stratosphere into the mesosphere. This influences the meridional wave guide, resulting in easterly momentum being deposited in the mesosphere throughout the polar winter, reducing the magnitude of the westerly winds. As the winter progresses these features descend into the stratosphere, until SSW conditions are reached. We find similar behaviour in two other years leading to delayed dynamical disruptions later in the spring. The timing and magnitude of the SAO and the extent of the upper stratospheric easterly QBO signal, that results in the SAO-QBO interaction, was found to be unique in these years, when compared to the years with a similar QBO phase. We propose that this early winter behaviour may be a key physical process in decelerating the mesospheric winds which may precondition the Southern atmosphere for a SSW. Thus the early winter equatorial upper stratosphere-mesosphere together with the polar mesosphere may provide critical early clues to an imminent SH SSW.

SAO-QBO Coupling before the 2019 and 2002 Southern Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktoria Nordström ◽  
Annika Seppälä
Keyword(s):  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Early Winter ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Semiannual Oscillation

<p>During September 2019 there was a sudden stratospheric warming over Antarctica, which brought disruption to the usually stable winter vortex. The mesospheric winds reversed and temperatures in the stratosphere rose by over 50~K. Whilst this was only the second SSW in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), the other having occurred in 2002, its Northern counterpart experiences about six per decade. Currently, an amplification of atmospheric waves during winter is thought to trigger SSWs. Our understanding, however, remains incomplete, especially with regards to its occurrence in the SH. Here, we investigate the interaction of two equatorial atmospheric modes, the Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Semiannual Oscillation (SAO) during the SH winters of 2019 and 2002. Using MERRA-2 reanalysis data we find that the two modes interact at low latitudes during their easterly phases in the early winter, forming a zero wind line that stretches from the lower stratosphere into the mesosphere. This influences the meridional wave guide, resulting in easterly momentum being deposited in the mesosphere throughout the polar winter, reducing the magnitude of the westerly winds. As the winter progresses these features descend into the stratosphere, until SSW conditions are reached. We find similar behaviour in two other years leading to delayed dynamical disruptions later in the spring. The timing and magnitude of the SAO and the extent of the upper stratospheric easterly QBO signal, that results in the SAO-QBO interaction, was found to be unique in these years, when compared to the years with a similar QBO phase. We propose that this early winter behaviour may be a key physical process in decelerating the mesospheric winds which may precondition the Southern atmosphere for a SSW. Thus the early winter equatorial upper stratosphere-mesosphere together with the polar mesosphere may provide critical early clues to an imminent SH SSW.</p>

Dynamical-Chemical Feedbacks in General Circulation Models and Their Influence on Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Dimdore-Miles ◽  
Lesley Gray ◽  
Scott Osprey
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Feedback Mechanisms ◽  
Surface Climate ◽  
The Impact

<p>Sudden Stratospheric Warming events (SSWs) are rapid disruptions of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter stratospheric polar vortex and represent the largest source of inter-annual variability in the NH winter stratosphere. They have been linked to winter surface climate anomalies such as cold snaps over North America and Eurasia. Representing these events accurately in large scale GCMs as well as developing a greater understanding of them is key to improving predictability of winter surface climate. A key component of a GCM is its representation of atmospheric chemistry. Chemical distributions are either prescribed or calculated interactively by coupling an atmospheric chemistry model to radiation and dynamical components, thus capturing any chemical dynamical feedback mechanisms but incurring significant running cost.</p><p>This work evaluates the impact of interactive chemistry when modelling SSW events and explores the feedback mechanisms between chemical distributions and stratospheric dynamical variability. Pre-industrial control runs from the MetOffice HadGEMGC3.1 model which prescribes chemical fields and UKESM1 which calculates trace gas concentration interactively are utilised. Over the whole season - The Earth System Model appears to suppress warmings while the model with prescribed physics overestimates their occurrence compared to reanalysis. The differing representation of the equatorial stratosphere appears to be partially responsible for this difference. Additionally we find that middle stratosphere equatorial ozone concentration in late NH summer is closely associated with SSW probability in the ensuing winter in UKESM1. Anomalously low ozone is generally associated with an elevated SSW rate. This implies a chemical-dynamical coupling between the equator and the vortex in this model which preliminary results suggest could be driven by chemical feedbacks influencing the state of the early winter Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and Semi-Annual Oscillation (SAO) in zonal winds which can alter the distribution of planetary wave propagation and breaking (the primary cause of SSWs). Further work will assess whether this phenomenon is observed in other GCMs and further explore the physical mechanisms responsible.</p>

scholarly journals Identification of the mechanisms responsible for anomalies in the tropical lower thermosphere/ionosphere caused by the January 2009 sudden stratospheric warming

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. A39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxim V. Klimenko ◽  
Vladimir V. Klimenko ◽  
Fedor S. Bessarab ◽  
Timofei V. Sukhodolov ◽  
Pavel A. Vasilev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Electric Field ◽  
Phase Change ◽  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Upper Atmosphere ◽  
Electron Content ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Low Latitude ◽  
Plasma Drift ◽  
Solar Tide

We apply the Entire Atmosphere GLobal (EAGLE) model to investigate the upper atmosphere response to the January 2009 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event. The model successfully reproduces neutral temperature and total electron content (TEC) observations. Using both model and observational data, we identify a cooling in the tropical lower thermosphere caused by the SSW. This cooling affects the zonal electric field close to the equator, leading to an enhanced vertical plasma drift. We demonstrate that along with a SSW-related wind disturbance, which is the main source to form a dynamo electric field in the ionosphere, perturbations of the ionospheric conductivity also make a significant contribution to the formation of the electric field response to SSW. The post-sunset TEC enhancement and pre-sunrise electron content reduction are revealed as a response to the 2009 SSW. We show that at post-sunset hours the SSW affects low-latitude TEC via a disturbance of the meridional electric field. We also show that the phase change of the semidiurnal migrating solar tide (SW2) in the neutral wind caused by the 2009 SSW at the altitude of the dynamo electric field generation has a crucial importance for the SW2 phase change in the zonal electric field. Such changes lead to the appearance of anomalous diurnal variability of the equatorial electromagnetic plasma drift and subsequent low-latitudinal TEC disturbances in agreement with available observations. Plain Language Summary – Entire Atmosphere GLobal model (EAGLE) interactively calculates the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere, and plasmasphere–ionosphere system states and their response to various natural and anthropogenic forcing. In this paper, we study the upper atmosphere response to the major sudden stratospheric warming that occurred in January 2009. Our results agree well with the observed evolution of the neutral temperature in the upper atmosphere and with low-latitude ionospheric disturbances over America. For the first time, we identify an SSW-related cooling in the tropical lower thermosphere that, in turn, could provide additional information for understanding the mechanisms for the generation of electric field disturbances observed at low latitudes. We show that the SSW-related vertical electromagnetic drift due to electric field disturbances is a key mechanism for interpretation of an observed anomalous diurnal development of the equatorial ionization anomaly during the 2009 SSW event. We demonstrate that the link between thermospheric winds and the ionospheric dynamo electric field during the SSW is attained through the modulation of the semidiurnal migrating solar tide.

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