Testing for epidemic changes in the mean of a multiparameter stochastic process

2014 ◽  
Vol 150 ◽  
pp. 124-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Béatrice Bucchia
Keyword(s):  
1973 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. H. Koopmans ◽  
C. Qualls ◽  
J. T. P. Yao

This paper establishes a new upper bound on the failure probability of linear structures excited by an earthquake. From Drenick’s inequality max|y(t)| ≤ MN, where N2 = ∫h2, M2, = ∫x2, x(t) is a nonstationary Gaussian stochastic process representing the excitation of the earthquake, and y(t) is the stochastic response of the structure with impulse response function h(τ), we obtain an exponential bound computable in terms of the mean and variance of the energy M2. A numerical example is given.


2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (01) ◽  
pp. 152-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leandro P. R. Pimentel

In this short article we will provide a sufficient and necessary condition to have uniqueness of the location of the maximum of a stochastic process over an interval. The result will also express the mean value of the location in terms of the derivative of the expectation of the maximum of a linear perturbation of the underlying process. As an application, we will consider a Brownian motion with variable drift. The ideas behind the method of proof will also be useful to study the location of the maximum, over the real line, of a two-sided Brownian motion minus a parabola and of a stationary process minus a parabola.


Author(s):  
FRANCIS KIT-NAM LEUNG

For k=1,…, K, a stochastic process {An,k, n =1, 2,…} is an arithmetic process (AP) if there exists some real number, d, so that {An,k +(n-1)d, n =1, 2,…} is a renewal process (RP). AP is a stochastically monotonic process and can be used to model a point process, i.e., point events occurring in a haphazard way in time (or space), especially with a trend. For example, the events may be failures arising from a deteriorating machine; and such a series of failures is distributed haphazardly along a time continuum. In this paper, we discuss estimation procedures for K independent, homogeneous APs. Two statistics are suggested for testing whether K given processes come from a common AP. If this is so, we can estimate the parameters d, [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] of the AP based on the techniques of simple linear regression, where [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are the mean and variance of the first average random variable [Formula: see text], respectively. In this paper, the procedures are, for the most part, discussed in reliability terminology. Of course, the methods are valid in any area of application, in which case they should be interpreted accordingly.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Navarro-Quiles ◽  
J.-V. Romero ◽  
M.-D. Roselló ◽  
M. A. Sohaly

This paper deals with the numerical solution of the random Cauchy one-dimensional heat model. We propose a random finite difference numerical scheme to construct numerical approximations to the solution stochastic process. We establish sufficient conditions in order to guarantee the consistency and stability of the proposed random numerical scheme. The theoretical results are illustrated by means of an example where reliable approximations of the mean and standard deviation to the solution stochastic process are given.


Automatica ◽  
1975 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 525-527
Author(s):  
Janusz Łaski ◽  
Aleksander Bzowy
Keyword(s):  

1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 276-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Adler

For an n-dimensional random field X(t) we define the excursion set A of X(t) by A = [t ∊ S: X(t) ≧ u] for real u and compact S ⊂ Rn. We obtain a generalisation of the number of upcrossings of a one-dimensional stochastic process to random fields via a characteristic of the set A related to the Euler characteristic of differential topology. When X(t) is a homogeneous Gaussian field satisfying certain regularity conditions we obtain an explicit formula for the mean value of this characteristic.


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