Estimating the Mean of an Increasing Stochastic Process at a Censored Stopping Time

2000 ◽  
Vol 95 (452) ◽  
pp. 1192-1208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert L. Strawderman
1976 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 455-460
Author(s):  
G. T. Klincsek

AbstractThe use of decreasing rearrangement formulas, and particularly that of the weak N inequality, is illustrated by deriving from Eτ |f-f(τ -)|≤Eτu (where ft is some stochastic process and τ arbitrary stopping time) the estimate ||f||≤Const||u|| in the class of structureless norms with finite dual Hardy bound.The basic estimate is


1988 ◽  
Vol 37 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 47-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Karan Singh ◽  
Ajit Chaturvedi

Sequential procedures are proposed for (a) the minimum risk point estimation and (b) the bounded risk point estimation of the mean vector of a multivariate normal population . Second-order approximations are derived. For the problem (b), a lower bound for the number of additional observations (after stopping time) is obtained which ensures “ exact” boundedness of the risk associated witb the sequential procedure.


2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 5967-5974
Author(s):  
Pei Ze Li

In stock market, the stock prices directly reflects market condition, therefore, the research on stock price process is one of the research contents of mathematical finance. In this paper by using the election model of statistical physics model to study the stock price fluctuation . This paper first applying stochastic process theory to establish election model, then the election model and stopping time theory are applied to establish stock profit process, we get the stock price process.


1973 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. H. Koopmans ◽  
C. Qualls ◽  
J. T. P. Yao

This paper establishes a new upper bound on the failure probability of linear structures excited by an earthquake. From Drenick’s inequality max|y(t)| ≤ MN, where N2 = ∫h2, M2, = ∫x2, x(t) is a nonstationary Gaussian stochastic process representing the excitation of the earthquake, and y(t) is the stochastic response of the structure with impulse response function h(τ), we obtain an exponential bound computable in terms of the mean and variance of the energy M2. A numerical example is given.


2015 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 1187-1194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno Buonaguidi

In an optimal variance stopping problem the goal is to determine the stopping time at which the variance of a sequentially observed stochastic process is maximized. A solution method for such a problem has been recently provided by Pedersen (2011). Using the methodology developed by Pedersen and Peskir (2012), our aim is to show that the solution to the initial problem can be equivalently obtained by constraining the variance stopping problem to the expected size of the stopped process and then by maximizing the solution to the latter problem over all the admissible constraints. An application to a diffusion process used for modeling the dynamics of interest rates illustrates the proposed technique.


2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (01) ◽  
pp. 152-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leandro P. R. Pimentel

In this short article we will provide a sufficient and necessary condition to have uniqueness of the location of the maximum of a stochastic process over an interval. The result will also express the mean value of the location in terms of the derivative of the expectation of the maximum of a linear perturbation of the underlying process. As an application, we will consider a Brownian motion with variable drift. The ideas behind the method of proof will also be useful to study the location of the maximum, over the real line, of a two-sided Brownian motion minus a parabola and of a stationary process minus a parabola.


Author(s):  
FRANCIS KIT-NAM LEUNG

For k=1,…, K, a stochastic process {An,k, n =1, 2,…} is an arithmetic process (AP) if there exists some real number, d, so that {An,k +(n-1)d, n =1, 2,…} is a renewal process (RP). AP is a stochastically monotonic process and can be used to model a point process, i.e., point events occurring in a haphazard way in time (or space), especially with a trend. For example, the events may be failures arising from a deteriorating machine; and such a series of failures is distributed haphazardly along a time continuum. In this paper, we discuss estimation procedures for K independent, homogeneous APs. Two statistics are suggested for testing whether K given processes come from a common AP. If this is so, we can estimate the parameters d, [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] of the AP based on the techniques of simple linear regression, where [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are the mean and variance of the first average random variable [Formula: see text], respectively. In this paper, the procedures are, for the most part, discussed in reliability terminology. Of course, the methods are valid in any area of application, in which case they should be interpreted accordingly.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Navarro-Quiles ◽  
J.-V. Romero ◽  
M.-D. Roselló ◽  
M. A. Sohaly

This paper deals with the numerical solution of the random Cauchy one-dimensional heat model. We propose a random finite difference numerical scheme to construct numerical approximations to the solution stochastic process. We establish sufficient conditions in order to guarantee the consistency and stability of the proposed random numerical scheme. The theoretical results are illustrated by means of an example where reliable approximations of the mean and standard deviation to the solution stochastic process are given.


Automatica ◽  
1975 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 525-527
Author(s):  
Janusz Łaski ◽  
Aleksander Bzowy
Keyword(s):  

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