Enhancing quantitative intra-day stock return prediction by integrating both market news and stock prices information

2014 ◽  
Vol 142 ◽  
pp. 228-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Li ◽  
Xiaodi Huang ◽  
Xiaotie Deng ◽  
Shanfeng Zhu
2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1519-1544 ◽  
Author(s):  
George J. Jiang ◽  
Tong Yao

AbstractWe identify large discontinuous changes, known as jumps, in daily stock prices and explore the role of jumps in cross-sectional stock return predictability. Our results show that small and illiquid stocks have higher jump returns to the extent that cross-sectional differences in jumps fully account for the size and illiquidity effects. Based on value-weighted portfolios, jumps also account for the value premium. On the other hand, jumps are not the cause of momentum or net share issue effects. The findings of our study shed new light on stock return dynamics and present challenges to conventional explanations of stock return predictability.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Rowland Bismark Fernando Pasaribu

AbstractThis research aim to calculate influence from some financial performance (B/M ratio, market capitalization, earning position, investment, accrual value, company strength measurement, dividend policy, and profitability) to stock return. Multiregression model follow Fama and French procedure. Result of first hypothesis confirmed statistically, that the difference of stock of return pursuant to finance performance not automatically own significant influence in stock return prediction itself. Other result confirmed that all the predictor used has no significant influence to stock return both simultaneously and partial.Keyword: Profitability, Investment, Cashflow, Accrual value, Stock return


Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Arif Fadlilah ◽  
Sri Hermuningsih

This research is meant to find out the influence of exchange rates and crude oil price either simultaneous or partial to the stock return at PT. Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk. and PT Astra Internasional Tbk. The data which is applied in this research is the automotive companies’ stock prices, Rupiah exchange rates, and crude oil price from 2006 to 2016. The multiple linear regressions are applied as the analysis technique by carrying out F test and t test. Based on the F test it is found that simultaneously the rupiah exchange rates and crude oil prices have influence to the stock return. Based on the t test it is found that partially the rupiah exchange rates have no influence to PT. Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk stock return but have influence to PT. Astra Internasional Tbk stock return and crude oils prices have influence to stock return. t test indicates the dominant influence to the stock return PT. Indomobil Sukses International Tbk is crude oils variable and stock return PT. Astra International Tbk is exchange rates variable


Author(s):  
Firmansyah Firmansyah ◽  
Shanty Oktavilia

The composite price index and return of stocks are the important indicators, both as a measure of the company's portfolio performance, as well as an indicator of macroeconomic health and the aggregate investment. In addition, the stock prices are also influenced by macroeconomic variables and one of the most important is the exchange rates. The objective of this study is to determine the behavior of exchange rate affects the stock returns in Southeast Asia, pre and post of the 2008 world financial crisis. By employing the daily stock market return in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore more than seventeen years from 1 September 1999 to 31 March 2017, this study utilizes Engle-Granger error correction model and cointegration approach to investigate and compare the long and short run of the structural effect of the exchange rates on stock returns. To differentiate the behavior of variables between pre and post occurrence of 2008 world financial crisis, the estimation of the model is divided into two periods. This study finds that the exchange rate growth influence the stock returns in the long and short run, and proves that the cointegration between the two variables exist in all countries. The study has the implication that the exchange rate, which the one of the fundamental measures of a country's macroeconomic health, is an important determinant of influencing stock return, even its effects are responded by the stock return in one day.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 234-245
Author(s):  
Farhan Maulana ◽  
Ahmad Mulyadi Kosim ◽  
Abrista Devi

For companies that collect funds from the public through capital from capital market, it can be used to meet capital needs and finance the company’s operation. So that company is expected not to rely on commercial debt financing both from within the country and abroad. With stock split, it is hoped that it will increase investors’ interest in buying affordable shares. This study aims to determine whether the stock split has an effect on stock prices, trading volume, and stock return. The method used by the researcher uses quantitative secondary data methods by using descriptive statistical data test, then use the kolgomorov smirnov normality test, and using theaverage paired sample test. The results of this research is that: 1) stock price have a significant effect after the stock split occurs, 2) while the trading volume has no significant effect after the stock split occours, 3)  then stock return has a siginificant impact before and after the stock split because it is expected to have a positive impact for issuers and investors.


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