Integration of Hidden Markov Modelling and Bayesian Network for Fault Detection and Prediction of Complex Engineered Systems

Author(s):  
Morteza Soleimani ◽  
Felician Campean ◽  
Daniel Neagu
Author(s):  
Seyedmohsen Hosseini ◽  
Nita Yodo ◽  
Pingfeng Wang

The concept of engineering resilience has received prevalent attention from academia as well as industry because it contributes a new means of thinking about how to withstand against disruptions and recover properly from them. Although the concept of resilience was scholarly explored in diverse disciplines, there are only few which focus on how to quantitatively measure the engineering resilience. This paper is dedicated to explore the gap between quantitative and qualitative assessment of engineering resilience in the domain of design of complex engineered systems. A conceptual framework is first proposed for the modeling of engineering resilience, and then Bayesian network is employed as a quantitative tool for the assessment and analysis of engineering resilience for complex systems. A case study related to electric motor supply chain is employed to demonstrate the proposed approach. The proposed resilience quantification and analysis approach using Bayesian networks would empower system designers to have a better grasp of the weakness and strength of their own systems against system disruptions induced by adverse failure events.


Author(s):  
Nita Yodo ◽  
Pingfeng Wang

The concept of resilience has been explored in diverse disciplines. However, there are only a few which focus on how to quantitatively measure engineering resilience and allocate resilience in engineering system design. This paper is dedicated to exploring the gap between quantitative and qualitative assessments of engineering resilience in the domain of designing complex engineered systems, thus optimally allocating resilience into subsystems and components level in industrial applications. A conceptual framework is first proposed for modeling engineering resilience, and then Bayesian Network is employed as a quantitative tool for the assessment and analysis of engineering resilience for complex systems. One industrial-based case study, a supply chain system, is employed to demonstrate the proposed approach. The proposed resilience quantification and allocation approach using Bayesian Networks would empower system designers to have a better grasp of the weakness and strength of their own systems against system disruptions induced by adverse failure events.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (19) ◽  
pp. 3175-3195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayan Sadhu ◽  
Guru Prakash ◽  
Sriram Narasimhan

A robust hybrid hidden Markov model-based fault detection method is proposed to perform multi-state fault classification of rotating components. The approach presented in this paper enhances the performance of the standard hidden Markov model (HMM) for fault detection by performing a series of pre-processing steps. First, the de-noised time-scale signatures are extracted using wavelet packet decomposition of the vibration data. Subsequently, the Teager Kaiser energy operator is employed to demodulate the time-scale components of the raw vibration signatures, following which the condition indicators are calculated. Out of several possible condition indicators, only relevant features are selected using a decision tree. This pre-processing improves the sensitivity of condition indicators under multiple faults. A Gaussian mixing model-based hidden Markov model (HMM) is then employed for fault detection. The proposed hybrid HMM is an improvement over traditional HMM in that it achieves better separation of the feature space leading to more robust state estimation under multiple fault states and measurement noise scenarios. A simulation employing modulated signals and two experimental validation studies are presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.


2012 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 506-514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nagaraju Devarakonda ◽  
Srinivasulu Pamidi ◽  
V. Valli Kumari ◽  
A. Govardhan

2013 ◽  
Vol 470 ◽  
pp. 683-688
Author(s):  
Hai Yang Jiang ◽  
Hua Qing Wang ◽  
Peng Chen

This paper proposes a novel fault diagnosis method for rotating machinery based on symptom parameters and Bayesian Network. Non-dimensional symptom parameters in frequency domain calculated from vibration signals are defined for reflecting the features of vibration signals. In addition, sensitive evaluation method for selecting good non-dimensional symptom parameters using the method of discrimination index is also proposed for detecting and distinguishing faults in rotating machinery. Finally, the application example of diagnosis for a roller bearing by Bayesian Network is given. Diagnosis results show the methods proposed in this paper are effective.


Author(s):  
Frank H. Johnson ◽  
DeWitt William E.

Analytical Tools, Like Fault Tree Analysis, Have A Proven Track Record In The Aviation And Nuclear Industries. A Positive Tree Is Used To Insure That A Complex Engineered System Operates Correctly. A Negative Tree (Or Fault Tree) Is Used To Investigate Failures Of Complex Engineered Systems. Boeings Use Of Fault Tree Analysis To Investigate The Apollo Launch Pad Fire In 1967 Brought National Attention To The Technique. The 2002 Edition Of Nfpa 921, Guide For Fire And Explosion Investigations, Contains A New Chapter Entitled Failure Analysis And Analytical Tools. That Chapter Addresses Fault Tree Analysis With Respect To Fire And Explosion Investigation. This Paper Will Review The Fundamentals Of Fault Tree Analysis, List Recent Peer Reviewed Papers About The Forensic Engineering Use Of Fault Tree Analysis, Present A Relevant Forensic Engineering Case Study, And Conclude With The Results Of A Recent University Study On The Subject.


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