Modelling the nonlinear relationship between oil prices, stock markets, and exchange rates in oil-exporting and oil-importing countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 ◽  
pp. 101274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imed Chkir ◽  
Khaled Guesmi ◽  
Angham Ben Brayek ◽  
Kamel Naoui
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadia Kurnianti ◽  
Idris Idris

The aim of this research is to analyze the relationship of causality between oil prices, stocks market, and exchange rates in Indonesia using VAR model. The data used in this study is time series data from January 2014 until December 2018 that was obtained from the relevant institutions. The variables use are oil prices (X1), stocks market (X2), and exchange rates (X3). The method used in this study is Vector Auto Reggression (VAR). The finding has shown that there are no causality relationship between the oil prices, stock markets, and exchanger rates. The finding also shown that there is only directional relationship between exchange rates with stocks market.


2012 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 227-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Abul Basher ◽  
Alfred A. Haug ◽  
Perry Sadorsky

2014 ◽  
pp. 74-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinh Vo Xuan

This paper investigates factors affecting Vietnam’s stock prices including US stock prices, foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices. Using the daily data from 2005 to 2012, the results indicate that Vietnam’s stock prices are influenced by crude oil prices. In addition, Vietnam’s stock prices are also affected significantly by US stock prices, and foreign exchange rates over the period before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. There is evidence that Vietnam’s stock prices are highly correlated with US stock prices, foreign exchange rates and gold prices for the same period. Furthermore, Vietnam’s stock prices were cointegrated with US stock prices both before and after the crisis, and with foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices only during and after the crisis.


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