An Empirical Investigation of Factors Affecting Stock Prices in Vietnam

2014 ◽  
pp. 74-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinh Vo Xuan

This paper investigates factors affecting Vietnam’s stock prices including US stock prices, foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices. Using the daily data from 2005 to 2012, the results indicate that Vietnam’s stock prices are influenced by crude oil prices. In addition, Vietnam’s stock prices are also affected significantly by US stock prices, and foreign exchange rates over the period before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. There is evidence that Vietnam’s stock prices are highly correlated with US stock prices, foreign exchange rates and gold prices for the same period. Furthermore, Vietnam’s stock prices were cointegrated with US stock prices both before and after the crisis, and with foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices only during and after the crisis.

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 31-44
Author(s):  
Nenubari Ikue John ◽  
Emeka Nkoro ◽  
Jeremiah Anietie

There is a pool of techniques and methods in addressing dynamics behaviors in higher frequency data, prominent among them is the ARCH/GARCH techniques. In this paper, the various types and assumptions of the ARCH/GARCH models were tried in examining the dynamism of exchange rate and international crude oil prices in Nigeria. And it was observed that the Nigerian foreign exchange rates behaviors did not conform with the assumptions of the ARCH/GARCH models, hence this paper adopted Lag Variables Autoregressive (LVAR) techniques originally developed by Agung and Heij multiplier to examine the dynamic response of the Nigerian foreign exchange rates to crude oil prices. The Heij coefficient was used to calculate the dynamic multipliers while the Engel & Granger two-step technique was used for cointegration analysis.  The results revealed an insignificant dynamic long-term response of the exchange rate to crude oil prices within the periods under review. The coefficient of dynamism was insignificantly in most cases of the sub-periods. The paper equally revealed that the significance of the dynamic multipliers depends greatly on external information about both market indicators which are two-way interactions. Thus, the paper recommends periodic intervention in the foreign exchange market by the monetary authorities to stabilize the market against any shocks in the international crude oil market, since crude oil is the main source of foreign exchange in Nigeria.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 01-14
Author(s):  
Nenubari Ikue-John ◽  
Emeka Nkoro ◽  
Jeremiah Anietie

There is a pool of techniques and methods in addressing dynamics behaviors in higher frequency data, prominent among them is the ARCH/GARCH techniques. In this paper, the various types and assumptions of the ARCH/GARCH models were tried in examining the dynamism of exchange rate and international crude oil prices in Nigeria. And it was observed that the Nigerian foreign exchange rates behaviors did not conform with the assumptions of the ARCH/GARCH models, hence this paper adopted Lag Variables Autoregressive (LVAR) techniques originally developed by Agung and Heij multiplier to examine the dynamic response of the Nigerian foreign exchange rates to crude oil prices. The Heij coefficient was used to calculate the dynamic multipliers while the Engel & Granger two-step technique was used for cointegration analysis.  The results revealed an insignificant dynamic long term response of exchange rate to crude oil prices within the periods under review. The coefficient of dynamism was insignificantly in most cases of the sub-periods. The paper equally revealed that the significance of the dynamic multipliers depends greatly on external information about both market indicators which are two-way interactions. Thus, the paper recommends periodic intervention in the foreign exchange market by the monetary authorities to stabilize the market against any shocks in the international crude oil market, since crude oil is the main source of foreign exchange in Nigeria.


GIS Business ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 96-104
Author(s):  
P. Sakthivel ◽  
S. Rajaswaminathan ◽  
R. Renuka ◽  
N. R.Vembu

This paper empirically discovered the inter-linkages between stock and crude oil prices before and after the subprime financial crisis 2008 by using Johansan co-integration and Granger causality techniques to explore both long and short- run relationships.  The whole data set of Nifty index, Nifty energy index, BSE Sensex, BSE energy index and oil prices are divided into two periods; before crisis (from February 15, 2005 to December31, 2007) and after crisis (from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2018) are collected and analyzed. The results discovered that there is one-way causal relationship from crude oil prices to Nifty index, Nifty energy index, BSE Sensex and BSE energy index but not other way around in both periods. However, a bidirectional causality relationship between BSE Energy index and crude oil prices during post subprime financial crisis 2008. The co-integration results suggested that the absence of long run relationship between crude oil prices and market indices of BSE Sensex, BSE energy index, Nifty index and Nifty energy index before and after subprime financial crisis 2008.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Jessica Prania Suradi ◽  
Selly Eriska Marisa

This study aims to look at the effect of world crude oil prices, interest rates, and foreign exchange rates on the mining sector stock price index for the 2014-2016 period. The research method used is descriptive statistical methods with quantitative research types. This study also uses analytical methods such as multiple regression analysis through t test and F test. Based on the F test (simultaneous) shows that world oil prices, interest rates, and foreign exchange rates affect simultaneously on the mining sector stock price index for the period 2014-2016 , while the t test (partial) shows that world crude oil prices a positive but not significant effect on the mining stock price index for the period 2014-2016, the interest rate has a negative effect and significant to the mining sector stock price index for the period 2014-2016, and the foreign exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on the price index mining sector shares in the 2014-2016 period.


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Arif Fadlilah ◽  
Sri Hermuningsih

This research is meant to find out the influence of exchange rates and crude oil price either simultaneous or partial to the stock return at PT. Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk. and PT Astra Internasional Tbk. The data which is applied in this research is the automotive companies’ stock prices, Rupiah exchange rates, and crude oil price from 2006 to 2016. The multiple linear regressions are applied as the analysis technique by carrying out F test and t test. Based on the F test it is found that simultaneously the rupiah exchange rates and crude oil prices have influence to the stock return. Based on the t test it is found that partially the rupiah exchange rates have no influence to PT. Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk stock return but have influence to PT. Astra Internasional Tbk stock return and crude oils prices have influence to stock return. t test indicates the dominant influence to the stock return PT. Indomobil Sukses International Tbk is crude oils variable and stock return PT. Astra International Tbk is exchange rates variable


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