Whether natural gas consumption bring double dividends of economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions reduction in China?

2021 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 110635
Author(s):  
Dong Wu ◽  
Yong Geng ◽  
Hengyu Pan
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 569-587
Author(s):  
Chunzi Wang ◽  
◽  
Mingxiong Zhu ◽  

Based on Johansen Cointegration Test, this paper sheds light on the long-run equilibrium relationship between natural gas consumption, gas production, and GDP in China. Three different natural gas demand scenarios of low, medium and high rates in the next ten years are considered, and a Neural Network Autoregression Model is used to predict the future carbon dioxide emission. We conclude: (1) In all three scenarios, the growth rates of natural gas consumption are all higher than those of natural gas production, while the gap between demand and domestic supply will gradually turn broader and China will largely rely on imports ; (2) In the scenario of low-rate economic growth, natural gas consumption will grow slowly, and it will be difficult to realize the carbon emission reduction targets by 2030 due to low-rate substitution of natural gas for coal; (3) If medium-rate to high-rate economic growth sustains, coupled with rapid increase in natural gas consumption and production, China’s Carbon Emission Reduction Targets for 2030 can be achieved with high-rate substitution of natural gas for coal.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 484-492
Author(s):  
Mukhtar Danladi Galadima ◽  
Abubakar Wambai Aminu

This paper examines the Presence of Nonlinear Relationship between Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2015. The Ramsey Reset test,Incremental F-test, and Wald test have been employed to test for non-linearity in the relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Nigeria. The nonlinearity test results revealed that the relationship is nonlinear. However, the results are suggestive of the fact that linear models might not be the appropriate statistical tools for estimating the relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Nigeria. Therefore, the paper recommends that the Nigeria’s policymakers consider taking into cognizance nonlinear modeling techniques as alternative tools for modeling, estimating and forecasting the relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth in the country.


2005 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 34-40
Author(s):  
S Moodley ◽  
RM Mabugu ◽  
R Hassan

Global environmental pressure dictates that South Africa reduces its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while national objectives focus on economic development. South Africa is faced with the dilemma of simultaneously alleviating poverty, reducing unemployment, growing the economy and responding to international pressure to reduce GHG emissions. As a result, policies that promote energy emissions reduction without being harmful to economic growth and national developmental priorities are needed. Environmental fiscal reform presents one such option. The impact of this is still unclear for South Africa, and this paper explores this issue. Energy balance data on energy consumption, energy emissions and input-output data for South Africa are used to assess the economic and environmental effects of environmental reform in the energy sector. Despite the high reduction in energy emissions, a tax on coal is not selected as the best alternative given the high negative impact on the economy. A tax on oil results in a low reduction in energy emissions, which limits its use as an environmental policy. The scenario using a petroleum products tax results in small decreases in economic growth but it has low energy emissions reduction, hence, this alternative is not selected as an option. Energy subsidy reform offers the second highest reduction in real energy emissions and a low decrease in economic growth, and this scenario is therefore recognised as the best option for carbon dioxide reduction in South Africa. The electricity tax offers moderate reductions in real energy emissions and a moderate decrease in economic growth, and therefore, it is deduced that the electricity tax option could be another option for carbon dioxide emissions reduction in South Africa.


Energy Policy ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 63 ◽  
pp. 638-645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Heidari ◽  
Salih Turan Katircioglu ◽  
Lesyan Saeidpour

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document