Interannual variability of the North Sea primary production: comparison from two model studies

2000 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morten D. Skogen ◽  
Andreas Moll
2013 ◽  
Vol 113 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 153-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liam Fernand ◽  
Keith Weston ◽  
Tom Morris ◽  
Naomi Greenwood ◽  
Juan Brown ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Mackinson

When an ecosystem model of the North Sea is calibrated to data from multiple trophic levels, the model estimated the primary production required to support the food web correlates temporally with observed changes in sea temperature and nutrient levels, supporting evidence from empirical analyses. However, a different result is given from an alternative calibration using fish stock data only. The inference taken from the emergent primary production – temperature relationship and empirical data are that, on balance, there is stronger overall evidence to support the calibration constrained at multiple trophic levels. Two important implications of the findings are (i) that the relative importance of fishing and environmental effects is likely to be interpreted differently depending on the calibration approach and (ii) the contrasting model calibrations would give different responses to fishing policies. It raises questions regarding how to judge the performance (and credibility) of an ecosystem model and the critical importance of conducting empirical and modelling analyses in parallel. Adopting a combined approach to ecosystem modelling is an important step in the pursuit of operational and defensible tools to support the ecosystem approach to management.


Oceanography ◽  
1997 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Moll

1990 ◽  
Vol 25 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 143-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.J.P. Owens ◽  
E.M.S. Woodward ◽  
J. Aiken ◽  
I.E. Bellan ◽  
A.P. Rees

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