scholarly journals Monetary Policy, Inflation and the Causal Relation between the Inflation Rate and Some of the Macroeconomic Variables

2014 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 391-401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zîna Cioran
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables

scholarly journals Causative Alliance between Monetary Policy, Inflation and Inflation Rate at Economic System in Pakistan

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 ◽  
pp. 110-114
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ibrar
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
National Level ◽  
Significant Relation ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Effective Instrument ◽  
The Interest Rate

Purpose: This study examine both the monetary policy and inflation are the issues of high interest and importance, and how thus the studying them and their impact on the extension of the macroeconomic variables is a which are concerned for our culture/society.The purpose of this proposal is focusing to identifying the existing connections between the inflation rate and some important macroeconomic indicators /variables and also on the dynamics of inflation at a national level. The main objective of this study is to reveal the causal relation between the inflation rate and the interest rate of the monetary policy and also between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate,Conclusion: There is an inverse statistically significant relation between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate. This indicates that the inflation rate is an effective instrument in preventing the increase of in unemployment. Monetary policy has demonstrated.

scholarly journals Brexit’s Protectionist Policy and Implications for the British Pound

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 7
Author(s):  
Lara Joy Dixon ◽  
Hoje Jo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Purchase Power Parity ◽  
Spot Rate ◽  
Fisher Effect ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Inflation Rates

In this paper, we examine the association among the macroeconomic variables - interest rate, inflation rate, unemployment, and the expected spot rate of the British pound with respect to the Euro around the announcement of “Brexit”, June 2016, using the two international parity relationships, Purchase Power Parity (PPP) and International Fisher effect (IFE). We use the two international parity relationships to examine the significance of change in daily interest rates and monthly inflation rates on the change in actual daily spot rates. In addition, we postulate that the protectionist nature of Brexit policy has contributed to lowering U.K. unemployment and prompted wage growth, resulting in higher inflation rates. Our analysis, examining both the magnitude and directional deviation of the actual spot rate compared to the spot rate using the two parity relations, indicate that spot rates predicted based on the PPP and the IFE relations suggest the weakening of the British pound after the Brexit announcement. Furthermore, we find that U.K. unemployment has reduced due to the expanded monetary policy, consistent with the prediction of the Phillip’s curve.

scholarly journals Determinants of Commercial Banks Credit to the Domestic Economy in Nigeria: Examinations of Dynamics Principles

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 26-41
Author(s):  
Akani, Henry Waleru ◽  
Oparaordu, Beauty
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables

This study examined determinants of commercial banks credit to the domestic economy in Nigeria. The objective was to examine the extent to which banks variables, macroeconomic and monetary policy variables affects credit allocation of Nigerian Commercial Banks. Time series data was sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulletin and financial statement of commercial banks. Percentage of total commercial banks loans to gross domestic product was proxy for dependent variable while the banks specific variables are peroxide by operational efficiency, liquidity, number of commercial banks branches, Commercial Banks Deposit Liabilities and deposit rate. The independent variables in macroeconomic model comprises of real gross domestic product, public expenditure, openness of the economy, inflation rate and exchange rate while monetary policy variables comprises of treasury bills rate, real interest rate, monetary policy rate, growth of money supply and financial sector development. The study employed ordinary least square properties of augmented Dickey Fuller test, co-integration test, and granger causality test and vector error correction model. Findings from the study revealed that; banks specific variables shows that deposit liabilities and liquidity ratio have positive impact on total loans and advances while deposit rate, number of commercial banks branches and openness of the economy have negative impact. Model II found that; exchange rate, inflation rate and Real Gross Domestic Product have positive impact while public expenditure and openness of the economy have negative impact on total commercial bank loans and advances. Model III found that; financial sector development and monetary policy rate have negative impact while growth of money supply, real interest rate and Treasury bills rate have positive impact on total loans and advances of commercial banks. We conclude that monetary policy, bank specific variables or internal variables and macroeconomic variables are strong determinants of Nigerian commercial banks loans and advances. We therefore, recommend for the interplay and the strengthening of macroeconomic variables, monetary policy variables and banks specific variables (internal policies) in order to enhance commercial banks credit in Nigeria.  

The Impact of the Credit Channel on Macroeconomic Variables and Bank Characteristics in the Brazilian Economy from 2009 to 2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Farajnezhad
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Credit Channel ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Brics Countries ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This article uses commercial bank-level data to examine a credit channel of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in the Brazilian economy from BRICS countries.  Static panel data with a fixed-effect model are used for data analysis. Using a sample of 212 commercial banks from 2009 to 2018. According to the findings of this study, there is a significant and positive relationship between macroeconomic variables that affect the interest rate and GDP with the loan amount, but not with the inflation rate. Also, it is reasonable to conclude that banks in Brazil react to monetary policy in a variety of ways.

Macroeconomic Variables and Private Investment: A Two Dimensional Study from Nigeria Economy

2019 ◽  
pp. 20-37
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Private Equity ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Equity Investment ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Real Investment

The study investigated the impact of macroeconomic variables on private investment in Nigeria for the period 1990 to 2016. To achieve these objectives, the study tests for the study modeled private equity and private real investment as the function exchange rate, financial sector development, and interest rate, openness of the economy, real gross domestic product, inflation rate and broad money supply. Ordinary least square method of data analysis was used. From model one, the study found that real gross domestic product have positive but insignificant effect, openness of the economy have positive and insignificant effect, interest rate have positive and significant effect, financial deepening have positive and insignificant effect while interest rate, inflation rate and exchange rate have negative effect on private real investment. The coefficient of determination (R2) proved that the independent variables can explain 62 percent variation on private real investment; the f- statistics found that the model is significant while the Durbin Watson statistics proved the presence of serial autocorrelation. The effect of macroeconomic variables on private equity investment was presented in model two. The study found that openness of the economy; real gross domestic products, broad money supply, and interest rate have negative and insignificant effect on private equity investment except openness of the economy with significant effect. Inflation rate, financial sector deepening and exchange rate have positive and insignificant effect on private equity investment except financial deepening with significant effect. The R2 proved that the independent variables can predict 66.9 percent variation on private equity investment. The f- statistics found that the model is significant while the Durbin Watson statistics proved the presence of serial autocorrelation. We conclude that macroeconomic variable have significant effect on private investment in Nigeria. We recommend that interest rate must be able to encourage higher private investment by increasing the real interstate on private savings or household savings so that larger amount of income would be saved to accumulate more capital and hence private investment. Policies should be formulated by investors and government to discourage factors that affect negatively private investment.

scholarly journals Regular Econometric Model of Taylor for Albania

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 123
Author(s):  
Ergys Misha
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Financial Assets

The Taylor’s Rule Central Banks is applying widely today from Central Banks for design the monetary policy and for determination of interest rates. The purpose of this paper is to assess monetary policy rule in Albania, in view of an inflation targeting regime. In the first version of the Model, the Taylor’s Rule assumes that base interest rate of the monetary policy varies depending on the change of (1) the inflation rate and (2) economic growth (Output Gap).Through this paper it is proposed changing the objective of the Bank of Albania by adding a new objective, that of "financial stability", along with the “price stability”. This means that it is necessary to reassess the Taylor’s Rule by modifying it with incorporation of indicators of financial stability. In the case of Albania, we consider that there is no regular market of financial assets in the absence of the Stock Exchange. For this reason, we will rely on the credit developmet - as a way to measure the financial cycle in the economy. In this case, the base rate of monetary policy will be changed throught: (1) Targeting Inflation Rate, (2) Nominal Targeting of Economic Growth, and (3) Targeting the Gap of the Ratio Credit/GDP (mitigating the boom cycle, if the gap is positive, and the contractiocycle if the gap is negative).The research data show that, it is necessary that the Bank of Albania should also include in its objective maintaining the financial stability. In this way, the contribution expected from the inclusion of credit gap indicators in Taylor’s Rule, will be higher and sustainable in time.

scholarly journals Monetary Transmission Channel, Oil Price Shock and the Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-113
Author(s):  
Adeleke Omolade ◽  
Philip Nwosa ◽  
Harold Ngalawa
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Oil Price Shock ◽  
Price Shock ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Abstract Research background: The need for diversification of the Nigerian economy has been emphasized and the manufacturing sector has a major role in this. Being an oil producing country, monetary policy is an important macroeconomic policy that has always been used to manage the influence of oil price shock on the manufacturing sector. Purpose: The study examines the relationship between oil price shock, the monetary transmission mechanism and manufacturing output growth in Nigeria. Research methodology: The study applied the structural vector auto regression (SVAR) modelling technique and a descriptive analysis. Results: The results of the study show that the exchange rate is mostly affected by the oil price shock, while the monetary policy instruments and inflation rate are also very responsive to the exchange rate shock. The manufacturing sector output growth has also been shown to be strongly affected by the inflation rate and monetary policy shocks. Novelty: The study has revealed the most effective channel via which oil price shocks affect manufacturing output. The exchange rate channel of the monetary policy transmission mechanism is the most significant channel through which oil price shock affects manufacturing output growth in Nigeria. This shows that effective management of the exchange rate policy via the appropriate monetary policy approach can be used to minimize the adverse effect of oil price shocks on Nigerian manufacturing output.

scholarly journals Analysis on German Monetary Policy from 1974 to 1990

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 02007
Author(s):  
Minxu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Policy Tools ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
German Monetary Policy

This article analyzes German monetary policy from 1974 to 1990. During this period, Germany experienced rapid economic growth and maintained the inflation rate at an average low level. This article would like to analyze German monetary policy to find the reasons why Germany could have rapid economic growth and maintain inflation rate at an average low level. Then specific main goal, right choices of monetary policy tools and intermediary indicators, and timely adjustment of the policy were found as the reasons. We also learn some successful experience about monetary policy from Germany and apply them in China.

scholarly journals The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Sectoral Indices in Indonesia

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bambang Sutrisno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables on sectoral indices in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The difference in sensitiveness among sectors is an interesting issue to investigate this relationship in an emerging market, such as Indonesia. This study employs ordinary least square (OLS) as an estimation method with monthly time-series data from January 2005 to December 2014. The results document that the interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate simultaneously have a significant effect on sectoral indices in Indonesia. The interest rate partially shows a significant negative influence on all sectors except basic industry and chemical, finance, infrastructure, utilities, and transportation, and miscellaneous industry sectors. The inflation rate partially has no significant effect on all sectors. The exchange rate partially has a significant negative impact on all industries.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v16i1.4323

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