IS THE UK PRODUCTIVITY SLOWDOWN UNPRECEDENTED?
2020 ◽
Vol 251
◽
pp. R47-R53
◽
Keyword(s):
The Past
◽
We estimate trend UK labour productivity growth using a Hodrick-Prescott filter method. We use the results to compare downturns where the economy fell below its pre-existing trend. We find that the current productivity slowdown has resulted in productivity being 19.7 per cent below the pre-2008 trend path in 2018. This is nearly double the previous worst productivity shortfall ten years after the start of a downturn. On this criterion the slowdown is unprecedented in the past 250 years. We conjecture that this reflects a combination of adverse circumstances, namely, a financial crisis, a weakening impact of ICT and impending Brexit.
2018 ◽
Vol 246
◽
pp. R24-R35
◽
2017 ◽
Vol 25
(19)
◽
pp. 1376-1382
◽
Keyword(s):
2017 ◽
Vol 2
(3(11))
◽
pp. 13-17
Keyword(s):
Keyword(s):