scholarly journals Investigating the “Complementarity Hypothesis” in Greek Agriculture: An Empirical Analysis

2001 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 189-198
Author(s):  
Constantinos P. Katrakilidis ◽  
Nikolaos M. Tabakis

AbstractThis study investigates determinants of private capital formation in Greek agriculture and tests the “complementarity” against the “crowding out” hypothesis using multivariate cointegration techniques and ECVAR modeling in conjunction with variance decomposition and impulse response analysis. The results provide evidence of a significant positive causal effect of government spending on private capital formation, thus supporting the “complementarity” hypothesis for Greek agriculture.

1994 ◽  
Vol 33 (4II) ◽  
pp. 1055-1071
Author(s):  
Aqdas Ali Kazami

The debt neutrality hypothesis, in its quintessential form, postulates that debt/tax mix for fmancing deficit is irrelevant. More precisely, the debt-neutrality deals with the two fundamental questions: (i) Given the volume and composition of government expenditures, does it matter whether they are fmanced by taxes or debt issue? (ii) Do public deficits absorb private savings that otherwise fmance private capital formation? Juxtaposed to the traditional Keynesian theory which answers these questions positively, the exponents of debt-neutrality make the counter-claim that debt is neutral and public deficits have no "crowding out" effects on private saving or investment. The debt-neutrality is popularly termed as the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis because the fundamental logic underlying this hypothesis was originally presented by David Ricardo in Chapter XVII entitled "Taxes on Other Commodities than Raw Produce" of his celebrated "The Principles of Political Economy and Taxation". Although Ricardo explained why government borrowing and taxes could be equivalent, he never sponsored the case for unlimited issue of government bonds. In fact, he warned against the consequences of continuous fiscal deficits in the following words: "Form what I have said, it must not be inferred that I consider the system of borrowing as the best calculated to defray the extraordinary expenses.....................


2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Issoufou Oumarou

Abstract In the quest for quick economic development, many Sub Saharan African (SSA) countries borrow money to finance their budget deficits and vital infrastructure. Niger has seen its external debt increase year after year without really reaching economic development. This study uses a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to investigate the relation linking external debt and economic growth in Niger and variance decomposition forecast to verify if there is any significant impact from shocks for a period of 5 years in the future. The study utilises time series yearly data provided by the World Bank for the period covering 1970–2019. The empirical results reveal no long-run relationship between economic growth, external debt and government spending in Niger. The results also indicated that, on average ceteris paribus, the past realisation of economic growth is related to an increase of 97.75 % in economic growth, while the past realisation of external debt and government spending is associated with an increase of 83.77 % and 79.70 % in external debt and government spending, respectively. The results furthermore show that economic growth has a statistically significant causal effect on government spending in the short term. One percentage increase in economic growth accounts for an increase of 35.28 % in government spending on average ceteris paribus. The variance decomposition forecast reveals that economic growth has a significant influence on predicting government spending in the future.


2013 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-72
Author(s):  
Jan-Erik Wesselhöft

Abstract Based on new estimates of public and private capital stocks for 22 OECD countries we study the dynamic effect of public capital on the real gross domestic product using a vector autoregression approach. Whereas most former studies put effort on examining the effects of public capital in a single country, this paper covers a large set of OECD countries. The results show that public capital has a positive effect on output in the short-, medium- and long-run in most countries. In countries where the effect is negative, possible explanations as the different productivities of investments, crowding out or high growth rates of government debt are analyzed.


The empirical analysis of this chapter provides insights into the functioning of the economies of three selected countries. Later in the chapter, the dynamic responses of the model to shocks in indicators of financial development are investigated. To obtain credible impulse response analysis, economic theory is used to set the required identifying restrictions instead of using an “unrestricted” vector autoregressive model. The structural form of the model then is summarised in the chapter by the variance decomposition and impulse response functions. The general results from impulse response functions advocate the theory of financial intermediation arguing that the development of the financial market helps to promote economic growth. Furthermore, the results of variance decomposition shows that different measures of financial development influence the variation of growth variables, particularly investment, savings, and productivity growth.


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