scholarly journals Advancing Climate Forecasting

Eos ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Merryfield ◽  
Francisco Doblas-Reyes ◽  
Laura Ferranti ◽  
Jee-Hoon Jeong ◽  
Yvan Orsolini ◽  
...  

Better forecasts, new products: The World Climate Research Programme coordinates research aimed at improving and extending global climate forecasting capabilities.

The study of climate embraces a broad range of timescales, from weeks to millions of years. This paper concentrates on the narrow spectral band ‘several weeks to several decades’ chosen for study in the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). The programme is divided into three streams, concerned with climate variation on timescales of several weeks, several years and several decades, respectively. The aim is to discover how far it is possible to predict natural climate variation and man’s influence on climate in each of these spectral bands. It is believed that an improved understanding of, and an ability to monitor and model, the World Ocean will be critical to the success of the WCRP in each stream. International experiments are now being planned to achieve these improvements. Satellite monitoring of the ocean offers a number of advantages for these experiments, including the following: global coverage, accuracy and consistency, novel products, tracking and communication. The paper reviews specifications for monitoring the ocean in the context of the WCRP and assesses the extent to which satellite monitoring will help towards meeting these requirements. The special needs of two major projects, the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) and the Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere (TOGA), are described. The prospects seem good for a new generation of ocean-observing satellites suitable for climate research in the next decade. They will be crucial to the success of the World Climate Research Programme.


E. D. R. Shearman (Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Birmingham, U.K.). We have had comments from a number of speakers on three planned remote-sensing satellites designed for ocean studies, the European ERS-1, the Canadian Radarsat and the Japanese satellite ERTS-1, all scheduled for 1988-90. If the orbits were coordinated, one suggested revisit interval, namely 3 days, for high-resolution observations could be reduced to a 1-day revisit interval. Could anyone tell us whether an attempt is being made internationally to agree on a single revisit cycle and to coordinate the launches so that the maximum benefit is obtained from the overall effort? J. T. Houghton, F.R.S. The various space agencies involved are discussing questions of coordination. Further, the Joint Scientific Committee of the World Climate Research Programme is organizing meetings to try to ensure the best possible scientific return from the various ocean observation satellites that will be flying at the time mentioned.


Eos ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy Brasseur ◽  
David Carlson

The worldwide climate research community has talent, dedication, and a clear sense of knowledge gaps. It needs to close those gaps and convey its messages effectively to user communities.


1995 ◽  
Vol 76 (6) ◽  
pp. 951-957 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald A. Meehl

Major conclusions and recommendations regarding the status of global coupled general circulation models are presented here from a workshop convened by the World Climate Research Programme Steering Group on Global Coupled Modelling that was held from 10 to 12 October 1994 at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California. The purpose of the workshop was to assess the current state of the art of global coupled modeling on the decadal and longer timescales in terms of methodology and results to identify the major issues and problems facing this activity and to discuss possible alternatives for making progress in light of these problems. This workshop brought together representatives from nearly every group in the world actively involved in formulating and running such models. After presentations by workshop participants, four working groups identified key issues involving 1) initialization and model spinup, 2) strategies and techniques for coupling of model components, 3) flux correction/adjustment, and 4) secular drift and systematic errors. The participants concluded that improved communication between those engaged in this activity will be important to enhance further progress. Consequently, the World Climate Research Programme intends to continue the support of internationally coordinated activities in global coupled modeling.


1983 ◽  
Vol 64 (7) ◽  
pp. 779-784 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Schiffer ◽  
W. B. Rossow

The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) has been approved as the first project of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) and will begin its operational phase in July 1983. Its basic objective is to collect and analyze satellite radiance data to infer the global distribution of cloud radiative properties in order to improve the modeling of cloud effects on climate. ISCCP has two components, operational and research. The operational component takes advantage of the global coverage provided by the current and planned international array of geostationary and polar-orbiting meteorological satellites during the 1980s to produce a five-year global satellite radiance and cloud data set. The main and most important characteristic of these data will be their globally uniform coverage of various indices of cloud cover. The research component of ISCCP will coordinate studies to validate the climatology, to improve cloud analysis algorithms, to improve modeling of cloud effects in climate models, and to investigate the role of clouds in the atmosphere's radiation budget and hydrologic cycle. Validation will involve comparative measurements at a number of test areas selected as representative of major (or difficult) cloud types and meteorological conditions. Complimentary efforts within the framework of WCRP will promote the use of the resulting ISCCP data sets in climate research.


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