Time-varying failure rate simulation model of transmission lines and its application in power system risk assessment considering seasonal alternating meteorological disasters

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1582-1588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Wang ◽  
Zhe Li ◽  
Xiaofu Xiong ◽  
Shijie Weng ◽  
Ning Zhou
Author(s):  
Siti Rohani Kasim ◽  
Muhammad Murtadha Othman ◽  
Nor Fadhilawati Abd Ghani ◽  
Ismail Musirin

2014 ◽  
Vol 1070-1072 ◽  
pp. 1050-1055 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi Jun Xie ◽  
Jian Ming Li ◽  
Yu Han Jiang ◽  
Yu Zhang

The double-circuit transmission lines have already been the significant component of power system. Because of the symmetric insulation of the two circuits, the case that both circuits trip out often happens when the tower suffer lightning strike. And it harms the stability of power system and causes serious impacts to power equipments. In this paper, an electric-magnetic transient simulation model was established. Using this model, combining the analysis of physical mechanism of back striking trip-out, the influences of earth resistance, height of tower and length of insulator on the lightning withstand level of back striking (LWLBS) were clarified. The LWLBS of high tower is much low, therefore the relative high tower should be paid more attention to defense the back striking. Reducing the earth resistance and increasing the length of insulator can both upgrade the LWLBS observably. Especially, reducing the earth resistance can enhance the effect of upgrading the LWLBS by increasing the length of insulator.


2013 ◽  
Vol 732-733 ◽  
pp. 993-998
Author(s):  
Ke Tian ◽  
Da Hai You ◽  
Yi Long Li ◽  
Kai Pan ◽  
Ke Wang

Firstly, the operating mechanism in developing process of transformer internal latent fault and external accessory fault is analyzed. Then, dissolved gas analysis (DGA) outcome and average degree of polymerization (DP) are used as an indicator to classify transformers operating condition, the multi-state Markov process model based transformers operating condition is proposed to estimate the internal failure rate. According to the method of weather condition classification, the external accessory failure rate model is proposed by considering the influence of weather change. A time-varying transformer outage model for operational risk assessment is proposed by using the multi-state Markov process to estimate the time-varying failure probability. Finally, a numerical is presented.


2017 ◽  
Vol 09 (04) ◽  
pp. 352-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingshun Liu ◽  
Lijin Zhao ◽  
Liang Huang ◽  
Wenhao Han ◽  
Changhong Deng ◽  
...  

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