Sensitivity assessment of the impacts of climate change on streamflow using climate elasticity in Tigris River Basin, Iraq

Abstract. In the Beiluohe River basin (BRB) runoff has been experiencing a significant reduction induced by climate change and human activities. This paper considers the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff reduction. An improved empirical method for climate factors and runoff was developed to study the impacts quantitatively. Meanwhile climate elasticity of runoff, based on the Budyko hypothesis, was also adopted to study the impacts. Using runoff change points, series were divided into natural period (1960–1969) and impacted periods (1970–1994, 1995–2010). Results show that the methods used to quantify the contributions obtained different but close conclusions to one another. For 1970–1994, climate was the primary factor impacting runoff, compared with that for 1960–1969, with the contribution reaching around 70.84–83.42%, which was greater than human activities (16.58–29.16%). For 1995–2010, the role of human activities strengthened with the contribution around 62.58–65.07%, greater than climate changes, around 34.93–37.42%.

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Impacts of climate change and LULC change on runoff in the Jinsha River Basin

Journal of Geographical Sciences ◽

10.1007/s11442-020-1716-9 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 30 (1) ◽

pp. 85-102 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Qihui Chen ◽

Hua Chen ◽

Jun Zhang ◽

Yukun Hou ◽

Mingxi Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

River Basin ◽

Jinsha River ◽

Lulc Change ◽

Impacts Of Climate Change

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Sensitivity Analysis of the Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow Using Climate Elasticity in the Luan River Basin, China

Polish Journal of Environmental Studies ◽

10.15244/pjoes/66715 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 26 (2) ◽

pp. 837-845 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Hui Wang ◽

Kangning He

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Sensitivity Analysis ◽

River Basin ◽

Climate Elasticity

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Integrating Strategic Environmental Assessment to Climate Change Adaption in the Chao Phraya River Basin: Case Study Flood Management Plans in Ayutthaya

Sustainability in Environment ◽

10.22158/se.v6n2p55 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 6 (2) ◽

pp. p55

Author(s):

Wilawan Boonsri Prathaithep ◽

Vilas Nitivattananon

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

River Basin ◽

Environmental Assessment ◽

Flood Risk ◽

Assessment Tool ◽

Flood Management ◽

Integrated System ◽

Strategic Environmental Assessment ◽

Human Environment ◽

Impacts Of Climate Change

Traditionally, flood management has concentrated on providing protection against floods using technical measures, but there is currently an international shift towards a more integrated system of flood risk management, whereby flood risk is defined as the probability of flooding multiplied by the potential consequences. Climate change is a great challenge to sustainable development and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in Thailand. The main purpose of this paper is to highlight the challenges associated with the current situation and projected impacts of climate change on the disasters and the human environment in Thailand, to review and explore the potential of Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA), and to propose SEA in making informed decisions relevant to the implementation of the new adaptation framework in a flood management plan. Thus, current measures on how Thailand is responding to the recent impacts of climate change in river basin planning are presented. It is imperative that an appropriate environmental assessment tool, such as SEA be employed in making rational decisions regarding adaptation frameworks. SEA offers a structured and proactive environmental tool for integrating of climate change adaption into formulating Policies, Plans, and Programs (PPPs) among relevant sectors.

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