runoff change
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2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenxian Guo ◽  
Haotong Zhou ◽  
Xuyang Jiao ◽  
Yongwei Zhu ◽  
Hongxiang Wang

Abstract The construction of water conservancy projects has changed the hydrological situation of rivers and has an essential impact on the river ecosystem. The influence modes of different factors on runoff alteration are discussed to improve the development and utilization of water resources and promote ecological benefits. The ecological, hydrological index change range method (IHA-RVA) and hydrological alteration degree method were comprehensively used to evaluate Min River's hydrological situation. Based on six budyko hypothesis formulas, the contribution rates of climate change and human activities to runoff change are quantitatively analyzed. The study showed that the runoff of Min River basin showed a significant decreasing trend from 1960 to 2019 and a sudden alteration around 1993; The overall alteration in runoff conditions was 45% moderate, and the overall alteration in precipitation was 37% moderate; Precipitation and potential evapotranspiration also showed a decreasing trend within the same period, but the overall trend was not significant; The contribution of climate alteration to runoff alteration is 30.2%, and the contribution of human activities to runoff alteration is 69.8%, human activities are the dominant factor affecting the alteration of runoff situation in Min River basin.



2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Yiyi Hu ◽  
Yi He

In recent decades, global climate change, especially human activities, has led to profound changes in the hydrological cycle and hydrological processes in watersheds. Taking the Yue River watershed in the Qinling Mountains in China as the study area, the Mann–Kendall test and Pettitt mutation test method were used to analyze the various characteristics of hydrological and climatic elements from 1960 to 2018. Then, the elastic coefficient method based on the Budyko framework was used to estimate the elastic coefficient of runoff change on each influencing factor. The results showed that the annual runoff decreased at a rate of 0.038 × 108 m3/a ( P > 0.05 ), and a significant abrupt change occurred in 1990. The annual precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (ET0) increased and decreased, with change rates of 0.614 mm/a and −0.811 mm/a ( P > 0.05 ), respectively. The elasticity coefficients of precipitation, ET0, and the underlying surface were 1.95, −0.95, and −0.85, respectively, indicating that annual runoff was most sensitive to the change in precipitation, followed by the change in ET0, and had the lowest sensitivity to the change in the underlying surface. Underlying surface change is the main factor of runoff decrease; the contribution is 89.07%. The total contribution of climate change to runoff change is 10.93%, in which the contributions of precipitation and ET0 are 17.59% and −6.66%, respectively. The NDVI reflecting underlying surface change has been increasing since 1990, which is an important reason for the runoff decrease.



2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Ting Guo ◽  
Huiying Yu

Starting from the main eco-environmental problems faced by water environment, taking Yanhe River Basin as an example, this paper discusses the theoretical connotation and evaluation calculation method of eco-environmental water consumption. In order to study the eco-environmental water consumption of Yanhe River Basin, a runoff driving factor mining method based on big data analysis is established in this paper. Aiming at the problem that the statistical law and genetic law of runoff change frequently in changing environment, the mining technology method of runoff key driving factors is proposed by combining traditional methods with big data analysis. The characteristic factors that have no significant impact on runoff change are removed, the implicit characteristic factors affecting runoff change are extracted, the driving relationship of hydrological, meteorological, and vegetation characteristic factors on ecological water consumption change is identified, and the key driving factors of ecological water consumption change are extracted, which lays a data foundation for ecological water consumption prediction based on machine learning. The economic water consumption based on eco-environmental water consumption in Yanhe River Basin in the future is predicted (including water demand in three aspects of industry, agriculture, and life); that is, the prediction is to meet the economic water demand on the basis of ensuring that the water consumption of ecological environment will not be occupied, which can effectively ensure the improvement of ecological environment function in Yanhe River Basin and is conducive to the sustainable utilization of water resources in Yanhe River Basin. The research is only based on a small watershed such as Yanhe River Basin, and the purpose of the research is to provide a reference for ecological environment protection and sustainable utilization of water resources in the Loess Plateau, even in the arid, semiarid, and semihumid areas of North China.



Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 3298
Author(s):  
Mingda Yang ◽  
Huan Liu ◽  
Yuping Han ◽  
Qinghui Zeng ◽  
Jianhua Wang ◽  
...  

The Yellow River is one of the major rivers with severe runoff declines in China, but there are significant differences in runoff changes in the upper and lower reaches of the basin and among different tributaries. However, the characteristic of runoff change and its spatial heterogeneity are not well understood in the whole basin. In this paper, 48 hydrological stations located in the mainstream and major tributaries were selected, and the meteorological and runoff data from 1956 to 2017 were collected. The multi-year and intra-year changes in runoff were analyzed, and then the attribution of climate change and human activity to runoff change was quantified by the climate elasticity coefficients. The results showed that: (1) in the past 60 years, the runoff of the Yellow River showed a serious decrease trend of −8.25 mm/10a. Moreover, most tributaries decreased significantly in runoff with a rate of −1.42 mm/10a to −28.99 mm/10a; (2) for the whole basin, the contribution of climate change and human activity to runoff changes was 13% and 87%, respectively. Moreover, the contribution of the two factors varied considerably in different tributaries. Finally, focusing on different runoff regime and socioeconomic characteristics, this study provided corresponding water resources adaptive management suggestions.



Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 3282
Author(s):  
Ji He ◽  
Yu-Rong Wan ◽  
Hai-Tao Chen ◽  
Wen-Chuan Wang

To reveal the influence process of land use changes on runoff variation trends, this paper takes the Luojiang River of China as the study area, and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was constructed to quantitatively analyze the impact of different land uses on runoff formation in the watershed, and used the Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model to predict future land use scenarios and runoff change trends. The results show that: (1) the SWAT model can simulate the runoff in the Luojiang River basin; (2) the runoff in the Luojiang River basin has a decreasing trend in recent 10 years, caused by the decrease of rainfall and runoff due to changes in land use; (3) the forecast shows that the land-use changes in the basin will lead to an increase in runoff coefficient in 2025. The increase of the runoff coefficient will bring some adverse effects, and relevant measures should be taken to increase the water storage capacity of urban areas. This study can help plan future management strategies for the study area land coverage and put forward a preventive plan for the possible adverse situation of runoff variation.





Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 2642
Author(s):  
Luyan Gong ◽  
Liliang Ren ◽  
Shanshui Yuan ◽  
Shanhu Jiang

The Laohahe basin is one of the typical semi-arid regions in Northeast China. Quantitatively estimating the contributions of human intervention and climatic variability on runoff changes in this region will help enhance the understanding of local hydrological mechanisms and provide an effective reference for water resources planning and management in other semi-arid regions of the world. The non-parametric Mann–Kendall test was used to analyze the temporal trends of annual precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and runoff in the whole Laohahe basin and its three sub-basins from 1964 to 2015. The annual runoff showed a decreasing trend in each sub-basin. The change-points of annual runoff detected by Pettitt’s test and residual analysis based on double mass curves (RA-DMC) are 1979 and 1998, and the baseline period and change period of each basin are 1964–1979 and 1980–2015. The RA-DMC method and the VIC model were used to quantitatively evaluate the contributions of human intervention and climatic variability to runoff change, which vary in time and space over the past 52 years. The contributions of human intervention to runoff reduction during 1980–2015 was more than 80%. On a multi-decadal temporal scale, human intervention had a stronger impact on runoff during 1980–1989, 2000–2009, and 2010–2015. The influence of human intervention on runoff reduction is gradually increasing in the 21st century. Besides, human intervention has a greater impact in dry years than in wet years. The increase of cropland area leads to a significant increase in irrigation area, which further leads to an increase in the demand for agricultural water, which is also the main reason for the sharp reduction of runoff in the Laohahe basin.



Author(s):  
Xiaolu Zhang ◽  
Linglei Zhang ◽  
Min Chen ◽  
Dian Li ◽  
Min Peng ◽  
...  

Abstract Runoff processes are the basis for maintaining the safety of river ecosystems. The Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) faces changes in flow regimes due to the impacts of human activities and climate change#which may threaten its fragile ecosystem. In this study#a new comprehensive system for evaluating runoff variation was constructed to investigate the degree of runoff alternation in the YZR. Based on the data from the primary hydrological stations in the YZR from 1956 to 2000#the assessment indicators of runoff variation were selected by considering the flow#sediment#and water temperature processes. Furthermore#a comprehensive evaluation system for runoff variation was constructed via multiple hydrological analysis methods and vague sets. The results showed that the variation index of the YZR from 2010 to 2013 was 0.15–0.20 compared with the flow regimes of the YZR before 2000#which were within a reasonable range#indicating that the comprehensive runoff conditions of the YZR were not greatly disturbed by human activities such as reservoir construction and river regulation during this period. These results provide a tool for evaluating the runoff change in the YZR and new references for researching runoff variation in other similar watersheds.



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