A Robust Changepoint Detection Method

2010 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 146-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moshe Pollak
Author(s):  
Maria Laura Manca ◽  
Francesco Russo ◽  
Vladimir Georgiev ◽  
Stefano Taddei

Background: Based on data from the Ministry of Health, which highlighted the earlier onset of Covid-19 epidemic in Italy, compared with the Europe, we would like to present a statistical elaboration on the impact of measures taken by the Government, during the phase 1 and the start of phase 2. Methods: After the implementation of a Bayesian changepoint detection method, we looked for a best fit model, based on the first part of time series data, in order to observe the progress of the data in the presence and absence of the restriction measures introduced. Results: Both the implementation of changepoint detection method and the analysis of the curves showed that the decree that marked the start of lockdown has had the effect of slowing down the epidemic by allowing thestart of a plateau between 21 and 25 March. Moreover, the decree that decided the beginning of phase 2 on 4 May did not have a negative impact. Conclusion: This statistical analysis supports the hypothesis that stringent measures decreased hospitalization, thanks to a slowing down in the evolution of the epidemic compared with what was expected.  


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-161
Author(s):  
S. O. Tickle ◽  
I. A. Eckley ◽  
P. Fearnhead ◽  
K. Haynes

Author(s):  
K. Pegg-Feige ◽  
F. W. Doane

Immunoelectron microscopy (IEM) applied to rapid virus diagnosis offers a more sensitive detection method than direct electron microscopy (DEM), and can also be used to serotype viruses. One of several IEM techniques is that introduced by Derrick in 1972, in which antiviral antibody is attached to the support film of an EM specimen grid. Originally developed for plant viruses, it has recently been applied to several animal viruses, especially rotaviruses. We have investigated the use of this solid phase IEM technique (SPIEM) in detecting and identifying enteroviruses (in the form of crude cell culture isolates), and have compared it with a modified “SPIEM-SPA” method in which grids are coated with protein A from Staphylococcus aureus prior to exposure to antiserum.


Author(s):  
Weihai Sun ◽  
Lemei Han

Machine fault detection has great practical significance. Compared with the detection method that requires external sensors, the detection of machine fault by sound signal does not need to destroy its structure. The current popular audio-based fault detection often needs a lot of learning data and complex learning process, and needs the support of known fault database. The fault detection method based on audio proposed in this paper only needs to ensure that the machine works normally in the first second. Through the correlation coefficient calculation, energy analysis, EMD and other methods to carry out time-frequency analysis of the subsequent collected sound signals, we can detect whether the machine has fault.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tong Wang

The compaction quality of the subgrade is directly related to the service life of the road. Effective control of the subgrade construction process is the key to ensuring the compaction quality of the subgrade. Therefore, real-time, comprehensive, rapid and accurate prediction of construction compaction quality through informatization detection method is an important guarantee for speeding up construction progress and ensuring subgrade compaction quality. Based on the function of the system, this paper puts forward the principle of system development and the development mode used in system development, and displays the development system in real-time to achieve the whole process control of subgrade construction quality.


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