Systemic risk and macro-financial interconnectedness using an FSAM framework

This paper seeks to advance our understanding of global financial interconnectedness by (i) mapping aspects of the architecture of global finance and (ii) investigating critical fault lines related to interconnectedness along which systemic risks were built up and shocks transmitted in the crisis. It thus takes initial steps toward operationalizing enhanced financial sector and macro-financial surveillance called for by the IMF’s Executive Board and by experts such as de Larosiere et al. (2009). Getting a better handle on interconnectedness would strengthen the Fund‘s ability, together with the Financial Stability Board, to track systemic risk concentrations. It would also inform spillover and vulnerability analyses, and sharpen bilateral and multilateral surveillance.

Download Full-text

Systemic risk and interconnectedness in Gulf Cooperation Council banking systems

Banks and Bank Systems ◽

10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.15 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 15 (1) ◽

pp. 158-166

Author(s):

Ramzi Nekhili

Keyword(s):

Systemic Risk ◽

Banking System ◽

Gulf Cooperation Council ◽

Policy Implications ◽

Ripple Effect ◽

Model Framework ◽

Historical Simulation ◽

Banking Systems ◽

Main Driver ◽

Financial Interconnectedness

Nowadays, financial interconnectedness is the main driver of systemic risk. Thus, there is a constant need for tools to assess and manage systemic risk. This paper offers an alternative model framework to measure systemic risk and examine interconnectedness between direct exposures across banking systems in the emerging markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). To ensure consistency and efficiency of systemic risk estimates and to capture its multifaceted nature, the methodology measures systemic risk using a combination of Filtered Historical Simulation and nonparametric regression and then examines the interconnectedness using a network analysis. The results reveal that shocks originating in the banking systems in Saudi Arabia may potentially cause a cascade of failures in the banking systems of most GCC countries. The banking system in Oman, however, is robust enough to withstand any ripple effect from adverse shocks affecting GCC’s major banking systems. Such results present some policy implications for regulators and supervisors and may benefit asset managers and investors in making portfolio allocation decisions.

Download Full-text

Macroprudential Policy Instruments of Central Banks

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2012-8-32-47 ◽

2012 ◽

pp. 32-47

Author(s):

S. Andryushin ◽

V. Kuznetsova

Keyword(s):

Systemic Risk ◽

Financial Stability ◽

Financial System ◽

Policy Instruments ◽

Central Banks ◽

Macroprudential Policy ◽

Policy Studies ◽

The Future ◽

Financial Cycles

The paper analyzes central banks macroprudencial policy and its instruments. The issues of their classification, option, design and adjustment are connected with financial stability of overall financial system and its specific institutions. The macroprudencial instruments effectiveness is evaluated from the two points: how they mitigate temporal and intersectoral systemic risk development (market, credit, and operational). The future macroprudentional policy studies directions are noted to identify the instruments, which can be used to limit the financial systemdevelopment procyclicality, mitigate the credit and financial cycles volatility.

Download Full-text

Risk Factors of Collateralized Loan Obligations and Corporate Bonds

Zeitschrift für Bankrecht und Bankwirtschaft ◽

10.15375/zbb-2020-0604 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 32 (6) ◽

pp. 347-355

Author(s):

Mark Wahrenburg ◽

Andreas Barth ◽

Mohammad Izadi ◽

Anas Rahhal

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Asset Pricing ◽

Systemic Risk ◽

Corporate Bonds ◽

Risk Exposure ◽

Expected Returns ◽

Yield Spreads ◽

Pricing Factors ◽

Return Difference

AbstractStructured products like collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) tend to offer significantly higher yield spreads than corporate bonds (CBs) with the same rating. At the same time, empirical evidence does not indicate that this higher yield is reduced by higher default losses of CLOs. The evidence thus suggests that CLOs offer higher expected returns compared to CB with similar credit risk. This study aims to analyze whether this return difference is captured by asset pricing factors. We show that market risk is the predominant risk factor for both CBs and CLOs. CLO investors, however, additionally demand a premium for their risk exposure towards systemic risk. This premium is inversely related to the rating class of the CLO.

Download Full-text