scholarly journals SONFIS: Structure Identification and Modeling with a Self-Organizing Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

Author(s):  
Héctor Allende-Cid ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Alejandro Veloz ◽  
Claudio Moraga ◽  
Héctor Allende
2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shabia Shabir Khan ◽  
S.M.K. Quadri

Purpose As far as the treatment of most complex issues in the design is concerned, approaches based on classical artificial intelligence are inferior compared to the ones based on computational intelligence, particularly this involves dealing with vagueness, multi-objectivity and good amount of possible solutions. In practical applications, computational techniques have given best results and the research in this field is continuously growing. The purpose of this paper is to search for a general and effective intelligent tool for prediction of patient survival after surgery. The present study involves the construction of such intelligent computational models using different configurations, including data partitioning techniques that have been experimentally evaluated by applying them over realistic medical data set for the prediction of survival in pancreatic cancer patients. Design/methodology/approach On the basis of the experiments and research performed over the data belonging to various fields using different intelligent tools, the authors infer that combining or integrating the qualification aspects of fuzzy inference system and quantification aspects of artificial neural network can prove an efficient and better model for prediction. The authors have constructed three soft computing-based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models with different configurations and data partitioning techniques with an aim to search capable predictive tools that could deal with nonlinear and complex data. After evaluating the models over three shuffles of data (training set, test set and full set), the performances were compared in order to find the best design for prediction of patient survival after surgery. The construction and implementation of models have been performed using MATLAB simulator. Findings On applying the hybrid intelligent neuro-fuzzy models with different configurations, the authors were able to find its advantage in predicting the survival of patients with pancreatic cancer. Experimental results and comparison between the constructed models conclude that ANFIS with Fuzzy C-means (FCM) partitioning model provides better accuracy in predicting the class with lowest mean square error (MSE) value. Apart from MSE value, other evaluation measure values for FCM partitioning prove to be better than the rest of the models. Therefore, the results demonstrate that the model can be applied to other biomedicine and engineering fields dealing with different complex issues related to imprecision and uncertainty. Originality/value The originality of paper includes framework showing two-way flow for fuzzy system construction which is further used by the authors in designing the three simulation models with different configurations, including the partitioning methods for prediction of patient survival after surgery. Several experiments were carried out using different shuffles of data to validate the parameters of the model. The performances of the models were compared using various evaluation measures such as MSE.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 70-80
Author(s):  
M. Kushnir ◽  
K. Tokarieva

The paper investigates methods of artificial intelligence in the prognostication and analysis of financial data time series. It is uncovered that scholars and practitioners face some difficulties in modelling complex system such as the stock market because it is nonlinear, chaotic, multi- dimensional, and spatial in nature, making forecasting a complex process. Models estimating nonstationary financial time series may include noise and errors. The relationship between the input and output parameters of the models is essentially non-linear, where stock prices include higher-level variables, which complicates stock market modeling and forecasting. It is also revealed that financial time series are multidimensional and they are influenced by many factors, such as economics, politics, environment and so on. Analysis and evaluation of multi- dimensional systems and their forecasting should be carried out by machine learning models. The problem of forecasting the stock market and obtaining quality forecasts is an urgent task, and the methods and models of machine learning should be the main mathematical tools in solving the above problems. First, we proposed to use self-organizing map, which is used to visualize multidimensional data by configuring neurons to quantize or cluster the input space in the topological structure. These characteristics of this algorithm make it attractive in solving many problems, including clustering, especially for forecasting stock prices. In addition, the methods discussed, encourage us to apply this cluster approach to present a different data structure for forecasting. Thus, models of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system combine the characteristics of both neural networks and fuzzy logic. Given the fact that the rule of hybrid learning and the theory of logic is a clear advantage of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, which has computational advantages over other methods of parameter identification, we propose a new hybrid algorithm for integrating self-organizing map with adaptive fuzzy inference system to forecast stock index prices. This algorithm is well suited for estimating the relationship between historical prices in stock markets. The proposed hybrid method demonstrated reduced errors and higher overall accuracy.


Author(s):  
Héctor Allende-Cid ◽  
Alejandro Veloz ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Steren Chabert ◽  
Héctor Allende

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-48
Author(s):  
Erwan Ahmad Ardiansyah ◽  
Rina Mardiati ◽  
Afaf Fadhil

Prakiraan atau peramalan beban listrik dibutuhkan dalam menentukan jumlah listrik yang dihasilkan. Ini menentukan  agar tidak terjadi beban berlebih yang menyebabkan pemborosan atau kekurangan beban listrik yang mengakibatkan krisis listrik di konsumen. Oleh karena itu di butuhkan prakiraan atau peramalan yang tepat untuk menghasilkan energi listrik. Teknologi softcomputing dapat digunakan  sebagai metode alternatif untuk prediksi beban litrik jangka pendek salah satunya dengan metode  Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System pada penelitian tugas akhir ini. Data yang di dapat untuk mendukung penelitian ini adalah data dari APD PLN JAWA BARAT yang berisikan laporan data beban puncak bulanan penyulang area gardu induk majalaya dari januari 2011 sampai desember 2014 sebagai data acuan dan data aktual januari-desember 2015. Data kemudian dilatih menggunakan metode ANFIS pada software MATLAB versi b2010. Dari data hasil pelatihan data ANFIS kemudian dilakukan perbandingan dengan data aktual dan data metode regresi meliputi perbandingan anfis-aktual, regresi-aktual dan perbandingan anfis-regresi-aktual. Dari perbandingan disimpulkan bahwa data metode anfis lebih mendekati data aktual dengan rata-rata 1,4%, menunjukan prediksi ANFIS dapat menjadi referensi untuk peramalan beban listrik dimasa depan.


Author(s):  
Angga debby frayudha ◽  
Aris Yulianto ◽  
Fatmawatul Qomariyah

Di era revolusi industry 4.0 terdapat banyak sekali kemudahan yang diberikan teknologi kepada manusia. Tentu ini akan menjadi baik apabila manusia mampu memanfaatkan hal tersebut dengan baik pula. Namun disisi lain juga bisa mengakibatkan dampak negative terhadap manusia, misalnya dengan adanya internet bisa mengakibatkan manusia melakukan penipuan di media social. Selain itu dengan canggihnya teknologi dapat menjadikan manusia menjadi malas yang bisa berimbas menurunnya kualitas sumber daya manusia. Maka dari itu untuk menghadapi hal ini perlu menyiapkan pendidikan yang baik.Pendidikan akan berjalan baik apabila lembaga yang mengurusnya berkompeten dalam melakukan tugasnya .Penulis coba memberikan ide untuk memprediksi kinerja pegawai Dinas Pendidikan Kabupaten Rembang menggunakan mentode ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) guna untuk membantu lembaga tersebut menyeleksi maupun menilai kinerja karyawan demi meningkatkan kualitas dari segi sumber daya manusia. ANFIS merupakan jaringan adaptif yang berbasis pada sistem kesimpulan fuzzy (fuzzy inference system). Model penilaian kinerja pegawai di Dinas Pendidikan Kabupaten Rembang dengan menggunakan Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) menghasilkan penilaian  yang lebih baik dan akurat.  Hasil pengujian metode tersebut memiliki nilai akurasi 65%. Dengan metode ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) dapat memprediksi kinerja karyawan sebagai salah satu pengambilan keputusan terhadap kinerja pegawai. Selain itu nantinya system penlaian kinerja pegawai akan lebih tertata dan efisien.


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