Urgency of the research. Food problem issues take a prominent place in national security concepts of every developed country. In the context of Ukraine’s commitment to integration into the European community, the food problem is of prominent significance.
Target setting. Given the global economy dynamics, the research of this problem is not exhaustive and needs new approaches to scientific research.
Actual scientific researches and issues analysis. The problems of food support of the population reflected in the works of L. Brown (2011), O. Berezin (2011), L. Berezina (2011), V. Vlasov (2009), M. Lysak (2009), R. Maltus (1998), B. Paskhaver (2007), M. Puhachov (2014), A. Sen (1979), Ya. Stoliarchuk (2009), etc.
Uninvestigated parts of general matters defining. Existing mechanisms of formation and distribution of world food resources, international trade therein, and food aid do not create an efficient system to ensure sufficient food support around the world. Therefore, it is important to reason the forecast ratio of deficit and domestic production for certain types of food to satisfy the demand under WHO standards.
The research objective. The purpose of the article is to identify the most and least vulnerable countries in terms of food security through the forecast ratio of deficit (shortage) and domestic production for certain types of food to satisfy the demand under WHO standards in particular parts of the world.
The statement of basic materials. Prospects for tackling the global food issue by using trend, adaptive and integrated autoregressive models (Box-Jenkins and OLYMPUS models) have been analysed. The calculations herein have been provided by different parts of the world: Africa, America, Asia, Europe, and Oceania.
Conclusions. The results show that almost all parts of the world are unable to provide the population with rational norms of major foods through domestic production.
Introduction: A Wicked Solution to the Global Food Problem
