scholarly journals Comparative assessment of environmental variables and machine learning algorithms for maize yield prediction in the US Midwest

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 064005
Author(s):  
Yanghui Kang ◽  
Mutlu Ozdogan ◽  
Xiaojin Zhu ◽  
Zhiwei Ye ◽  
Christopher Hain ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 3609
Author(s):  
Xinchuan Li ◽  
Juhua Luo ◽  
Xiuliang Jin ◽  
Qiaoning He ◽  
Yun Niu

Spatially continuous soil thickness data at large scales are usually not readily available and are often difficult and expensive to acquire. Various machine learning algorithms have become very popular in digital soil mapping to predict and map the spatial distribution of soil properties. Identifying the controlling environmental variables of soil thickness and selecting suitable machine learning algorithms are vitally important in modeling. In this study, 11 quantitative and four qualitative environmental variables were selected to explore the main variables that affect soil thickness. Four commonly used machine learning algorithms (multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were evaluated as individual models to separately predict and obtain a soil thickness distribution map in Henan Province, China. In addition, the two stacking ensemble models using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and generalized boosted regression model (GBM) were tested and applied to build the most reliable and accurate estimation model. The results showed that variable selection was a very important part of soil thickness modeling. Topographic wetness index (TWI), slope, elevation, land use and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) were the most influential environmental variables in soil thickness modeling. Comparative results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed the MLR, RF and SVR models. Importantly, the two stacking models achieved higher performance than the single model, especially when using GBM. In terms of accuracy, the proposed stacking method explained 64.0% of the variation for soil thickness. The results of our study provide useful alternative approaches for mapping soil thickness, with potential for use with other soil properties.


Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2344
Author(s):  
Mansoor Maitah ◽  
Karel Malec ◽  
Ying Ge ◽  
Zdeňka Gebeltová ◽  
Luboš Smutka ◽  
...  

Machine learning algorithms have been applied in the agriculture field to forecast crop productivity. Previous studies mainly focused on the whole crop growth period while different time windows on yield prediction were still unknown. The entire growth period was separated into each month to assess their corresponding predictive ability by taking maize production (silage and grain) in Czechia. We present a thorough assessment of county-level maize yield prediction in Czechia using a machine learning algorithm (extreme learning machine (ELM)) and an extensive set of weather data and maize yields from 2002 to 2018. Results show that sunshine in June and water deficit in July were vastly influential factors for silage maize yield. The two primary climate parameters for grain maize yield are minimum temperature in September and water deficit in May. The average absolute relative deviation (AARD), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient (R2) of the proposed models are 6.565–32.148%, 1.006–1.071%, 0.641–0.716, respectively. Based on the results, silage yield will decrease by 1.367 t/ha (3.826% loss), and grain yield will increase by 0.337 t/ha (5.394% increase) when the max temperature in May increases by 2 °C. In conclusion, ELM models show a great potential application for predicting maize yield.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 124026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Shahhosseini ◽  
Rafael A Martinez-Feria ◽  
Guiping Hu ◽  
Sotirios V Archontoulis

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