scholarly journals Intercity train dwell time estimation by using robust regression method: a study case on Surabaya-Yogyakarta line

2020 ◽  
Vol 930 ◽  
pp. 012060
Author(s):  
P Dewi ◽  
H Widyastuti
Keyword(s):  
Dwell Time ◽  
Robust Regression ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Study Case

scholarly journals Impact of Carriage Crowding Level on Bus Dwell Time: Modelling and Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yiming Bie ◽  
Yunhao Wang ◽  
Le Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Dwell Time ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Travel Time Estimation ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Bus Schedule ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Estimation Models

This paper develops two types of estimation models to quantify the impacts of carriage crowding level on bus dwell time. The first model (model I) takes the crowding level and the number of alighting and boarding passengers into consideration and estimates the alighting time and boarding time, respectively. The second model (model II) adopts almost the same regression method, except that the impact of crowding on dwell time is neglected. The analysis was conducted along two major bus routes in Harbin, China, by collecting 640 groups of dwell times under crowded condition manually. Compared with model II, the mean absolute error (MAE) of model I is reduced by 137.51%, which indicates that the accuracy of bus dwell time estimation could be highly improved by introducing carriage crowding level into the model. Meanwhile, the MAE of model I is about 3.9 seconds, which is acceptable in travel time estimation and bus schedule.

scholarly journals PEMODELAN REGRESI RIDGE ROBUST-MM DALAM PENANGANAN MULTIKOLINIERITAS DAN PENCILAN (Studi Kasus : Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi AKB di Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017)

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-34
Author(s):  
Eka Destiyani ◽  
Rita Rahmawati ◽  
Suparti Suparti
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares ◽  
Robust Regression ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Predictor Variables ◽  
Healthy Life ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Regression Parameters

The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is one of the most commonly used method to estimate linear regression parameters. If multicollinearity is exist within predictor variables especially coupled with the outliers, then regression analysis with OLS is no longer used. One method that can be used to solve a multicollinearity and outliers problems is Ridge Robust-MM Regression. Ridge Robust-MM  Regression is a modification of the Ridge Regression method based on the MM-estimator of Robust Regression. The case study in this research is AKB in Central Java 2017 influenced by population dencity, the precentage of households behaving in a clean and healthy life, the number of low-weighted baby born, the number of babies who are given exclusive breastfeeding, the number of babies that receiving a neonatal visit once, and the number of babies who get health services. The result of estimation using OLS show that there is violation of multicollinearity and also the presence of outliers. Applied ridge robust-MM regression to case study proves ridge robust regression can improve parameter estimation. Based on t test at 5% significance level most of predictor variables have significant effect to variable AKB. The influence value of predictor variables to AKB is 47.68% and MSE value is 0.01538.Keywords:  Ordinary  Least  Squares  (OLS),  Multicollinearity,  Outliers,  RidgeRegression, Robust Regression, AKB.

scholarly journals Testing the Generality of a Passenger Disregarded Train Dwell Time Estimation Model at Short Stops: Both Comparison and Theoretical Approaches

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dewei Li ◽  
Yonghao Yin ◽  
Hong He
Keyword(s):  
Dwell Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Work Conditions ◽  
Critical Issue ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Railway Stations ◽  
Theoretical Approaches ◽  
Improved Model

Train dwell time estimation is a critical issue in both scheduling and rescheduling phases. In a previous paper, the authors proposed a novel dwell time estimation model at short stops which did not require the passenger data. This model shows promising results when applied to Dutch railway stations. This paper focuses on testing and improving the generality of the model by two steps: first, the model is tested by applying more independent datasets from another city and comparing the estimation accuracy with the previous Dutch case; second, the model’s generality is tested by a theoretical approach through the analysis of individual model parameters, variables, model scenarios, and model structure as well as work conditions. The validation results during peak hours show that the MAPE of the model is 11.4%, which is slightly better than the results for the Dutch railway stations. A more generalized predictor called “dwell time at the associated station” is used to replace the square root term in the original model. The improved model can estimate train dwell time in all the investigated stations during both peak and off-peak periods. We conclude that the proposed train dwell time estimation model is generic in the given condition.

scholarly journals ImprovedEp-TL-LpDiagram and a Robust Regression Method

2011 ◽  
Vol 63 (4) ◽  
pp. 741-753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryo Tsutsui ◽  
Takashi Nakamura ◽  
Daisuke Yonetoku ◽  
Toshio Murakami ◽  
Yoshiyuki Morihara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Robust Regression ◽  
Regression Method

scholarly journals Selection and subsequent analysis of sib pair data for QTL detection

2001 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
DIMITRIOS G. CHATZIPLIS ◽  
HENNING HAMANN ◽  
CHRIS S. HALEY
Keyword(s):  
Robust Regression ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Qtl Detection ◽  
Selection Scheme ◽  
Phenotypic Differences ◽  
Effective Selection ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Trait Locus ◽  
Sib Pairs

Haseman and Elston (1972) developed a robust regression method for the detection of linkage between a marker and a quantitative trait locus (QTL) using sib pair data. The principle underlying this method is that the difference in phenotypes between pairs of sibs becomes larger as they share a decreasing number of alleles at a particular QTL identical by descent (IBD) from their parents. In this case, phenotypically very different sibs will also on average share a proportion of alleles IBD at any marker linked to the QTL that is lower than the expected value of 0·5. Thus, the deviation of the proportion of marker alleles IBD from the expected value in pairs of sibs selected to be phenotypically different (i.e. discordant) can provide a test for the presence of a QTL. A simple regression method for QTL detection in sib pairs selected for high phenotypic differences is presented here. The power of the analytical method was found to be greater than the power obtained using the standard analysis when samples of sib pairs with high phenotypic differences were used. However, the use of discordant sib pairs was found to be less powerful for QTL detection than alternative selective genotyping schemes based on the phenotypic values of the sibs except with intense selection, when its advantage was only marginal. The most effective selection scheme overall was the use of sib pairs from entire families selected on the basis of high within-family variance for the trait in question. There is little effect of selection on QTL position estimates, which are in good agreement with the simulated values. However, QTL variance estimates are biased to a greater or lesser degree, depending on the selection method.

scholarly journals EFEKTIVITAS REGRESI KUANTIL DALAM MENGATASI PENCILAN PONTENSIAL

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 305-312
Author(s):  
Netti Herawati
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Akaike Information Criterion ◽  
Robust Regression ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Quantile Regression Method

Abstrak Regresi kuantil sebagai metode regresi yang robust dapat digunakan untuk mengatasi dampak kasus yang tidak biasa pada estimasi regresi. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengevaluasi efektivitas regresi kuantil untuk menangani pencilan potensial dalam regresi linear berganda dibandingkan dengan metode kuadrat terkecil (MKT). Penelitian ini menggunakan data simulasi dengan p=3; n = 20, 40, 60, 100, 200 and   and  diulang 1000 kali. Efektivitas metode regresi kuantil dan MKT dalam pendugaan parameter β diukur dengan Mean square error (MSE) dan Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa regresi kuantil mampu menangani pencilan potensial dan memberikan penaksir yang lebih baik dibandingkan dengan MKT berdasarkan nilai MSE dan AIC. Kata kunci: AIC, MSE, pencilan, regresi kuantil Abstract Quantitative regression as a robust regression method can be used to overcome the impact of unusual cases on regression estimation. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of quantile regression to deal with potential outliers in multiple linear regression compared to the least squares methodordinary least square (OLS).   This study uses simulation data with p=3; n = 20, 40, 60, 100, 200 and   and  repeated 1000 times. The effectiveness of the quantile regression method and OLS in estimating β   parameters was measured by Mean square error (MSE) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The results showed that quantile regression was able to handle potential outliers and provide better predictors compared to MKT based on MSE and AIC values. Keywords: AIC, MSE, outliers, quantile regression

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