scholarly journals Midterm Power Load Forecasting Model Based on Kernel Principal Component Analysis and Back Propagation Neural Network with Particle Swarm Optimization

Big Data ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 130-138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhao Liu ◽  
Xincheng Sun ◽  
Shuai Wang ◽  
Mengjiao Pan ◽  
Yue Zhang ◽  
...  
2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Li ◽  
Liu Chong-xin

This paper employs chaos theory into power load forecasting. Lyapunov exponents on chaos theory are calculated to judge whether it is a chaotic system. Delay time and embedding dimension are calculated to reconstruct the phase space and determine the structure of artificial neural network (ANN). Improved back propagation (BP) algorithm based on genetic algorithm (GA) is used to train and forecast. Finally, this paper uses the load data of Shaanxi province power grid of China to complete the short-term load forecasting. The results show that the model in this paper is more effective than classical standard BP neural network model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 213 ◽  
pp. 03006
Author(s):  
Guozhen Ma ◽  
Ning Pang ◽  
Zeya Zhang ◽  
Yongli Wang ◽  
Chen Liu ◽  
...  

Due to the limitations of a single power load forecasting model, the power load forecasting cannot be performed well. In order to obtain a greater closeness to predict results with actual data, this paper presents the power load forecasting model based on gray neural network combined return to Guangzhou, 2010 - 2019 on actual data for example, the results show that: As used herein, the combined model method has high accuracy and strong use value.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2737
Author(s):  
Yizhen Wang ◽  
Ningqing Zhang ◽  
Xiong Chen

With economic growth, the demand for power systems is increasingly large. Short-term load forecasting (STLF) becomes an indispensable factor to enhance the application of a smart grid (SG). Other than forecasting aggregated residential loads in a large scale, it is still an urgent problem to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting for individual energy users due to high volatility and uncertainty. However, as an important variable that affects the power consumption pattern, the influence of weather factors on residential load prediction is rarely studied. In this paper, we review the related research of power load forecasting and introduce a short-term residential load forecasting model based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network with weather features as an input.


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