scholarly journals Bounding species distribution models

2011 ◽  
Vol 57 (5) ◽  
pp. 642-647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Stohlgren ◽  
Catherine S. Jarnevich ◽  
Wayne E. Esaias ◽  
Jeffrey T. Morisette
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Honey Bees ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Regression Tree ◽  
Classification And Regression Tree ◽  
Suitable Habitat ◽  
Environmental Predictors ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Africanized Honey Bees

Abstract Species distribution models are increasing in popularity for mapping suitable habitat for species of management concern. Many investigators now recognize that extrapolations of these models with geographic information systems (GIS) might be sensitive to the environmental bounds of the data used in their development, yet there is no recommended best practice for “clamping” model extrapolations. We relied on two commonly used modeling approaches: classification and regression tree (CART) and maximum entropy (Maxent) models, and we tested a simple alteration of the model extrapolations, bounding extrapolations to the maximum and minimum values of primary environmental predictors, to provide a more realistic map of suitable habitat of hybridized Africanized honey bees in the southwestern United States. Findings suggest that multiple models of bounding, and the most conservative bounding of species distribution models, like those presented here, should probably replace the unbounded or loosely bounded techniques currently used.

scholarly journals A Robust Prediction Model for Species Distribution Using Bagging Ensembles with Deep Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1495
Author(s):  
Jehyeok Rew ◽  
Yongjang Cho ◽  
Eenjun Hwang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Species Distribution Model ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Robust Prediction

Species distribution models have been used for various purposes, such as conserving species, discovering potential habitats, and obtaining evolutionary insights by predicting species occurrence. Many statistical and machine-learning-based approaches have been proposed to construct effective species distribution models, but with limited success due to spatial biases in presences and imbalanced presence-absences. We propose a novel species distribution model to address these problems based on bootstrap aggregating (bagging) ensembles of deep neural networks (DNNs). We first generate bootstraps considering presence-absence data on spatial balance to alleviate the bias problem. Then we construct DNNs using environmental data from presence and absence locations, and finally combine these into an ensemble model using three voting methods to improve prediction accuracy. Extensive experiments verified the proposed model’s effectiveness for species in South Korea using crowdsourced observations that have spatial biases. The proposed model achieved more accurate and robust prediction results than the current best practice models.

scholarly journals Combining Deforestation and Species Distribution Models to Improve Measures of Chimpanzee Conservation Impacts of REDD: A Case Study from Ntakata Mountains, Western Tanzania

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1195
Author(s):  
Rebecca Dickson ◽  
Marc Baker ◽  
Noémie Bonnin ◽  
David Shoch ◽  
Benjamin Rifkin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Biodiversity Conservation ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Climate Mitigation ◽  
Suitable Habitat ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Western Tanzania

Projects to reduce emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) are designed to reduce carbon emissions through avoided deforestation and degradation, and in many cases, to produce additional community and biodiversity conservation co-benefits. While these co-benefits can be significant, quantifying conservation impacts has been challenging, and most projects use simple species presence to demonstrate positive biodiversity impact. Some of the same tools applied in the quantification of climate mitigation benefits have relevance and potential application to estimating co-benefits for biodiversity conservation. In western Tanzania, most chimpanzees live outside of national park boundaries, and thus face threats from human activity, including competition for suitable habitat. Through a case study of the Ntakata Mountains REDD project in western Tanzania, we demonstrate a combined application of deforestation modelling with species distribution models to assess forest conservation benefits in terms of avoided carbon emissions and improved chimpanzee habitat. The application of such tools is a novel approach that we argue permits the better design of future REDD projects for biodiversity co-benefits. This approach also enables project developers to produce the more manageable, accurate and cost-effective monitoring, reporting and verification of project impacts that are critical to verification under carbon standards.

Comparing species distribution models constructed with different subsets of environmental predictors

2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
David N. Bucklin ◽  
Mathieu Basille ◽  
Allison M. Benscoter ◽  
Laura A. Brandt ◽  
Frank J. Mazzotti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Environmental Predictors ◽  
Distribution Models

scholarly journals Incorporating movement in species distribution models

2015 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 837-849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer A Miller ◽  
Paul Holloway
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Suitable Habitat ◽  
Age At Maturity ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Migration Rates ◽  
Movement Ability ◽  
Landscape Factors ◽  
Patch Configuration ◽  
Realistic Information

Movement in the context of species distribution models (SDMs) generally refers to a species’ ability to access suitable habitat. Movement ability can be determined by some combination of dispersal constraints or migration rates, landscape factors such as patch configuration, disturbance, and barriers, and demographic factors related to age at maturity, mortality, and fecundity. Including movement ability can result in more precise projections that help to distinguish suitable habitat that is or can be potentially occupied, from suitable habitat that is inaccessible. While most SDM studies have ignored movement or conceptualized it in overly simplistic ways (e.g. no dispersal versus unlimited dispersal), it is increasingly important to incorporate realistic information on movement ability, particularly for studies that aim to project future distributions such as climate change forecasting and invasive species applications. This progress report addresses the increasingly complex ways in which movement has been incorporated in SDM and outlines directions for further study.

scholarly journals On the inadequacy of species distribution models for modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-2: response to Araújo and Naimi

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Daniel Chipperfield ◽  
Blas M. Benito ◽  
Robert O'Hara ◽  
Richard James Telford ◽  
Colin J. Carlson
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Healthcare Services ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Academic Disciplines ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Dissemination Strategy ◽  
Best Practice Guidelines

The ongoing pandemic of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is causing significant damage to public health and economic livelihoods, and is putting significant strains on healthcare services globally. This unfolding emergency has prompted the preparation and dissemination of the article “Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus likely to be constrained by climate” by Araújo and Naimi (2020). The authors present the results of an ensemble forecast made from a suite of species distribution models (SDMs), where they attempt to predict the suitability of the climate for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 over the coming months. They argue that climate is likely to be a primary regulator for the spread of the infection and that people in warm-temperate and cold climates are more vulnerable than those in tropical and arid climates. A central finding of their study is that the possibility of a synchronous global pandemic of SARS-CoV-2 is unlikely. Whilst we understand that the motivations behind producing such work are grounded in trying to be helpful, we demonstrate here that there are clear conceptual and methodological deficiencies with their study that render their results and conclusions invalid.What follows is a response to the Araújo and Naimi article centered around three main criticisms:1) Given the fact that SARS-CoV-2 has a primary infection pathway of direct contact, it is in an active spreading phase, and remains largely underreported in the Global South, it represents an inappropriate system for analysis using the SDM framework.2) Even if we were to accept that an SDM framework would be applicable here, the methodology presented in the article strays far from best-practice guidelines for the application of SDMs.3) The dissemination strategy of the authors failed to respect the frameworks of risks adhered to in other academic disciplines pertaining to public health, resulting in erroneous but well-publicised claims with broad policy implications before any scientific oversight could be applied.

Species Distribution Models (SDM) – A Strategic Tool for Predicting Suitable Habitats for Conserving the Target Species

2017 ◽  
pp. 427-440
Author(s):  
Balaguru Balakrishnan ◽  
Nagamurugan Nandakumar ◽  
Soosairaj Sebastin ◽  
Khaleel Ahamed Abdul Kareem
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Environmental Variables ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Species Distribution Model ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Suitable Habitat ◽  
Target Species ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Suitable Habitats

Conservation of the species in their native landscapes required understanding patterns of spatial distribution of species and their ecological connectivity through Species Distribution Models (SDM) by generation and integration of spatial data from different sources using Geographical Information System (GIS) tools. SDM is an ecological/spatial model which combines datasets and maps of occurrence of target species and their geographical and environmental variables by linking various algorithms together, that has been applied to either identify or predict the regions fulfilling the set conditions. This article is focused on comprehensive review of spatial data requirements, statistical algorithms and softwares used to generate the SDMs. This chapter also includes a case study predicting the suitable habitat distribution of Gnetum ula, an endemic and vulnerable plant species using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) species distribution model for species occurrences with inputs from environmental variables such as bioclimate and elevation.

scholarly journals A Systematic Review of Marine-Based Species Distribution Models (SDMs) with Recommendations for Best Practice

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
Author(s):  
Néstor M. Robinson ◽  
Wendy A. Nelson ◽  
Mark J. Costello ◽  
Judy E. Sutherland ◽  
Carolyn J. Lundquist
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Distribution Models

scholarly journals Evaluating species distribution models with discrimination accuracy is uninformative for many applications

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan L. Warren ◽  
Nicholas J. Matzke ◽  
Teresa L. Iglesias
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Current Approach ◽  
Data Partitioning ◽  
Empirical Modeling ◽  
Environmental Predictors ◽  
Discrimination Accuracy ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Ecological Processes ◽  
Occurrence Data

AbstractAimSpecies distribution models are used across evolution, ecology, conservation, and epidemiology to make critical decisions and study biological phenomena, often in cases where experimental approaches are intractable. Choices regarding optimal models, methods, and data are typically made based on discrimination accuracy: a model’s ability to predict subsets of species occurrence data that were withheld during model construction. However, empirical applications of these models often involve making biological inferences based on continuous estimates of relative habitat suitability as a function of environmental predictor variables. We term the reliability of these biological inferences “functional accuracy.” We explore the link between discrimination accuracy and functional accuracy.MethodsUsing a simulation approach we investigate whether models that make good predictions of species distributions correctly infer the underlying relationship between environmental predictors and the suitability of habitat.ResultsWe demonstrate that discrimination accuracy is only informative when models are simple and similar in structure to the true niche, or when data partitioning is geographically structured. However, the utility of discrimination accuracy for selecting models with high functional accuracy was low in all cases.Main conclusionsThese results suggest that many empirical studies and decisions are based on criteria that are unrelated to models’ usefulness for their intended purpose. We argue that empirical modeling studies need to place significantly more emphasis on biological insight into the plausibility of models, and that the current approach of maximizing discrimination accuracy at the expense of other considerations is detrimental to both the empirical and methodological literature in this active field. Finally, we argue that future development of the field must include an increased emphasis on simulation; methodological studies based on ability to predict withheld occurrence data may be largely uninformative about best practices for applications where interpretation of models relies on estimating ecological processes, and will unduly penalize more biologically informative modeling approaches.

scholarly journals Morphological and molecular evidence support the taxonomic separation of the medically important Neotropical spiders Phoneutria depilata (Strand, 1909) and P. boliviensis (F.O. Pickard-Cambridge, 1897) (Araneae, Ctenidae)

ZooKeys ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1022 ◽  
pp. 13-50
Author(s):  
Nicolas A. Hazzi ◽  
Gustavo Hormiga
Keyword(s):  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Delimitation ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Allopatric Speciation ◽  
Molecular Evidence ◽  
Niche Conservatism ◽  
Suitable Habitat ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Nucleotide Sequence Data ◽  
Occurrence Records

The species of the genus Phoneutria (Ctenidae), also called banana spiders, are considered amongst the most venomous spiders in the world. In this study we revalidate P. depilata (Strand, 1909), which had been synonymized with P. boliviensisis (F.O. Pickard-Cambridge, 1897), using morphological and nucleotide sequence data (COI and ITS-2) together with species delimitation methods. We synonymized Ctenus peregrinoides, Strand, 1910 and Phoneutria colombiana Schmidt, 1956 with P. depilata. Furthermore, we designated Ctenus signativenter Strand, 1910 as a nomen dubium because the exact identity of this species cannot be ascertained with immature specimens, but we note that the type locality suggests that the C. signativenter syntypes belong to P. depilata. We also provide species distribution models for both species of Phoneutria and test hypotheses of niche conservatism under an allopatric speciation model. Our phylogenetic analyses support the monophyly of the genus Phoneutria and recover P. boliviensis and P. depilata as sister species, although with low nodal support. In addition, the tree-based species delimitation methods also supported the separate identities of these two species. Phoneutria boliviensis and P. depilata present allopatric distributions separated by the Andean mountain system. Species distribution models indicate lowland tropical rain forest ecosystems as the most suitable habitat for these two Phoneutria species. In addition, we demonstrate the value of citizen science platforms like iNaturalist in improving species distribution knowledge based on occurrence records. Phoneutria depilata and P. boliviensis present niche conservatism following the expected neutral model of allopatric speciation. The compiled occurrence records and distribution maps for these two species, together with the morphological diagnosis of both species, will help to identify risk areas of accidental bites and assist health professionals to determine the identity of the species involved in bites, especially for P. depilata.

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