P4791Performance of the HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and PRECISE-DAPT Bleeding Risk Scores in Atrial Fibrillation Patients Using Antiplatelet Agents or Oral Anticoagulants

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Y Choi ◽  
M H Kim ◽  
K M Lee ◽  
C H Jang ◽  
J Y Choi

Abstract Background Various bleeding risk scores have been proposed to assess the risk of bleeding in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergoing anticoagulation. PRECISE DAPT score has been developed to assess the out-of hospital bleeding risk in patients receiving dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). Our objective was to compare the predictive performance between the HAS-BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding History or Predisposition, Labile International Normalized Ratio, Elderly, Drugs/Alcohol), ATRIA (Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation), and PRECISE-DAPT (Predicting Bleeding Complication in Patients Undergoing Stent Implantation and Subsequent Dual Antiplatelet therapy) score in AF patients using antiplatelet agents or anticoagulants Methods We recruited 1,114 consecutive AF patients (51% male; median age, 71 years) receiving antiplatelet agents or oral anticoagulants from January 2014 through December 2018. Major bleeding was defined as according to the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) criteria (type 3 or 5: hemodynamic instability, need for transfusion, drop in hemoglobin ≥3 g, and intracranial, intraocular or fatal bleeding). The performance of risk scores were assessed by C-statistic. Results Bleeding events occurred in 135 patients (12.1%) during 30 days, and 72 patients (6.5%) from 30 days till 1-year follow-up. Based on the C-statistic, PRECISE-DAPT score (AUC: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.69–0.75) had a good performance, significantly better than HAS-BLED (AUC: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.61–0.67) (p=0.008) or ATRIA scores (AUC: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.54–0.60) (p<0.001) for 30-days bleeding prediction. Also, PRECISE-DAPT score had a good C-statistic (AUC: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.69–0.75) for 1-year bleeding events compared with HAS-BLED (AUC: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.60–0.67) (p=0.02) or ATRIA (AUC: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.58–0.65) (p=0.01). ROC curve for bleeding Conclusions The PRECISE-DAPT score has been used for assessing bleeding events during DAPT. Also, the PRECISE-DAPT score predicted bleedings better than HAS-BLED or ATRIA scores in AF patients. So, the PRECISE-DAPT score may be considered as bleeding risk score during DAPT or oral anticoagulation in clinical practice.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinxing Gao ◽  
Xingming Cai ◽  
Yunyao Yang ◽  
Yue Zhou ◽  
Wengen Zhu

Background: Several bleeding risk assessment models have been developed in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with oral anticoagulants, but the most appropriate tool for predicting bleeding remains uncertain. Therefore, we aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the Hypertension, Abnormal liver/renal function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile international normalized ratio, Elderly, Drugs/alcohol concomitantly (HAS-BLED) score compared with other risk scores in anticoagulated patients with AF.Methods: We comprehensively searched the PubMed and Embase databases until July 2021 to identify relevant pieces of literature. The predictive abilities of risk scores were fully assessed by the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) values, calibration data, and decision curve analyses.Results: A total of 39 studies met the inclusion criteria. The C-statistic of the HAS-BLED score for predicting major bleeding was 0.63 (0.61–0.65) in anticoagulated patients regardless of vitamin k antagonists [0.63 (0.61–0.65)] and direct oral anticoagulants [0.63 (0.59–0.67)]. The HAS-BLED had the similar C-statistic to the Hepatic or renal disease, Ethanol abuse, Malignancy, Older, Reduced platelet count or function, Re-bleeding risk, Hypertension (uncontrolled), Anemia, Genetic factors, Excessive fall risk, Stroke (HEMORR2HAGES), the Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA), the Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation (ORBIT), the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF), or the Age, Biomarkers, Clinical History (ABC) scores, but significantly higher C-statistic than the Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke/transient ischemic attack history (CHADS2) or the Congestive heart failure/left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40%, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism history, Vascular disease, Age 65–74 years, Sex (female) (CHA2DS2-VASc) scores. NRI and IDI values suggested that the HAS-BLED score performed better than the CHADS2 or the CHA2DS2-VASc scores and had similar or superior predictive ability compared with the HEMORR2HAGES, the ATRIA, the ORBIT, or the GARFIELD-AF scores. Calibration and decision curve analyses of the HAS-BLED score compared with other scores required further assessment due to the limited evidence.Conclusion: The HAS-BLED score has moderate predictive abilities for bleeding risks in patients with AF regardless of type of oral anticoagulants. Current evidence support that the HAS-BLED score is at least non-inferior to the HEMORR2HAGES, the ATRIA, the ORBIT, the GARFIELD-AF, the CHADS2, the CHA2DS2-VASc, or the ABC scores.


2017 ◽  
Vol 117 (10) ◽  
pp. 1848-1858 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vanessa Roldán ◽  
Vicente Vicente ◽  
Mariano Valdés ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip ◽  
María Asunción Esteve-Pastor ◽  
...  

SummaryRisk scores in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) based on clinical factors alone generally have only modest predictive value for predicting high risk patients that sustain events. Biomarkers might be an attractive prognostic tool to improve bleeding risk prediction. The new ABCBleeding score performed better than HAS-BLED score in a clinical trial cohort but has not been externally validated. The aim of this study was to analyze the predictive performance of the ABC-Bleeding score compared to HAS-BLED score in an independent “real-world” anticoagulated AF patients with long-term follow-up. We enrolled 1,120 patients stable on vitamin K antagonist treatment. The HAS-BLED and ABC-Bleeding scores were quantified. Predictive values were compared by c-indexes, IDI, NRI, as well as decision curve analysis (DCA). Median HAS-BLED score was 2 (IQR 2–3) and median ABC-Bleeding was 16.5 (IQR 14.3–18.6). After 6.5 years of follow-up, 207 (2.84%/year) patients had major bleeding events, of which 65 (0.89%/year) had intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) and 85 (1.17%/year) had gastrointestinal bleeding events (GIB). The c-index of HAS-BLED was significantly higher than ABC-Bleeding for major bleeding (0.583 vs 0.518; p=0.025), GIB (0.596 vs 0.519; p=0.017) and for the composite of ICH-GIB (0.593 vs 0.527; p=0.030). NRI showed a significant negative reclassification for major bleeding and for the composite of ICH-GIB with the ABC-Bleeding score compared to HAS-BLED. Using DCAs, the use of HAS-BLED score gave an approximate net benefit of 4% over the ABC-Bleeding score. In conclusion, in the first “real-world” validation of the ABC-Bleeding score, HAS-BLED performed significantly better than the ABC-Bleeding score in predicting major bleeding, GIB and the composite of GIB and ICH.Note: The review process for this manuscript was fully handled by Christian Weber, Editor in Chief.Supplementary Material to this article is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T.F Chao ◽  
J.N Liao ◽  
G.Y.H Lip ◽  
S.A Chen

Abstract Background The bleeding risk profile of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) may change over time and the increment of HAS-BLED score (a validated bleeding risk score) is perceived to result in discontinuations of oral anticoagulants (OACs). The goal of the present study was to investigate the changes of HAS-BLED scores of AF patients initially with a low bleeding risk (HAS-BLED 0–2). Second, the impact of continuation or discontinuation of OACs on clinical outcomes after patients' bleeding risk profile worsened (ie HAS-BLED increased) were also studied. Methods The present study used the Taiwan nationwide health insurance research (NHIRD) database. From year 2000 to 2015, a total of 24,990 AF patients aged &gt;20 years with a CHA2DS2-VASc score &gt;1 (males) or &gt;2 (females) having a HAS-BLED score of 0–2 who were treated with OACs (warfarin or NOACs) were identified and followed up for changes of the HAS-BLED scores. The risks of clinical outcomes were compared between patients who continued or stopped OAC's once their HAS-BLED score increased to ≥3. Results Mean HAS-BLED score of study population continuously increased from 1.54 (SD 1.63) at baseline, to 3.33 (SD 1.36) at the end of follow up with increasing age and incident comorbidities (Figure A). At end of 1 year, 5,229 (20.9%) patients had an increment of their HAS-BLED score to ≥3, mainly due to newly diagnosed impaired renal function, occurrences of bleeding events and concurrent use of antiplatelet agents or NSAIDs. Among 4,777 patients who consistently had a HAS-BLED score &gt; =3, 1,062 (22.2%) stopped their use of OACs. Patients who kept on OACs (n=3,715; 77.8%) even after their HAS-BLED score increased to ≥3 were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke (aHR 0.601), major bleeding (aHR 0.780), all-cause mortality (aHR 0.876) and any adverse events (aHR 0.748) (Figure B). Conclusions For patients whose HAS-BLED scores increased to ≥3, the continuation of OACs (which occurred in the majority of patients) was associated with better clinical outcomes. An increased HAS-BLED score in AF patients is not a reason to withhold OACs, but reminds physicians to correct modifiable bleeding risk factors and follow up patients more closely. The low risk of bleeding despite continuing OAC in high HAS-BLED score patients may reflect the early reviews and careful follow-up of these “high risk” patients (as recommended in guidelines). Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y R Kim ◽  
D G Shin ◽  
S Kim

Abstract Background The combined use of antiplatelet agents (APT) and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patient with atrial fibrillation (AF) is commonly encountered in clinical practice. The purpose of this study was to compare the clinical outcomes between combination therapy (NOAC and APT) and monotherapy (NOAC only). Methods and results We analyzed patients who were prescribed NOACs between January 2012 and December 2016. The primary outcome was major or any bleeding events and the secondary outcomes were stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Of 1,068 participants, there were 264 (24.7%) patients in the combination group. The prevalence of diabetes (p=0.017) and history of stroke and transient ischemic attacks (p&lt;0.001) was higher in the combination group than in the monotherapy group. During the mean 14.6±9.8 months of follow-up, the incidence of any bleeding was significantly higher in the combination group than in the monotherapy group (p&lt;0.001). Major bleeding, stroke/SE, and MACE between the two groups were similar. The rate of under-dosage NOACs prescriptions was higher in the combination group than in the monotherapy group (p=0.024). Conclusions The combination therapy had higher incidences of any bleeding events compared to the monotherapy. However, there was no difference in stroke/SE and MACE. The bleeding risk in patients taking the combination of NOACs and APT should be carefully evaluated. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1. Primary and secondary outcomes


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Aspberg ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Daniel Singer

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Anticoagulation therapy (OAC) effectively prevents AIS, but increases bleeding risk. There is a need for better AIS risk prediction to optimize the anticoagulation decision in AF. The ATRIA stroke risk score (ATRIA) (table) was superior to CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc in two large California community AF cohorts. We now report the performance of the 3 scores in a very large Swedish AF cohort. Methods: The cohort consisted of all Swedish patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of AF from July 1, 2005 to December 31, 2008. Predictor variables and the outcome, AIS, were obtained from inpatient ICD-10 codes. Warfarin use was determined from National Pharmacy Database. Risk scores were assessed via c-index (C) and net reclassification index (NRI). Results: The cohort included 158,370 AF patients off warfarin who contributed 340,332 person-years of follow-up, and 11,823 incident AIS, for an overall AIS rate of 3.47%/yr, higher than the 2%/yr seen in the California cohorts. Using the entire point score, ATRIA had a good C of 0.712 (0.708-0.716), significantly better than CHADS2, 0.694 (0.689-0.698), or CHA2DS2-VASc, 0.697 (0.693-0.702). Using published cut-points for Low/Moderate/High AIS risk, C deteriorated for all scores but ATRIA and CHADS2 were superior to CHA2DS2-VASc. NRI favored ATRIA; 0.16 (0.15-0.18) versus CHADS2; 0.22 (0.21-0.24) versus CHA2DS2-VASc. However, NRI decreased to near-zero when cut-points were altered to better fit the cohort’s stroke rates. Conclusion: Findings in this large Swedish AF cohort validate those in the California AF cohorts, with the ATRIA score predicting stroke risk better than CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc. However, relative performance of the categorical scores varied by population stroke risk. Knowledge about this population risk may be needed to optimize cut-points on the multipoint scores to achieve better net clinical benefit from OAC.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. e033283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frederik Dalgaard ◽  
Karen Pieper ◽  
Freek Verheugt ◽  
A John Camm ◽  
Keith AA Fox ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo externally validate the accuracy of the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) model against existing risk scores for stroke and major bleeding risk in patients with non-valvular AF in a population-based cohort.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingDanish nationwide registries.Participants90 693 patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF were included between 2010 and 2016, with follow-up censored at 1 year.Primary and secondary outcome measuresExternal validation was performed using discrimination and calibration plots. C-statistics were compared with CHA2DS2VASc score for ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and HAS-BLED score for major bleeding/haemorrhagic stroke outcomes.ResultsOf the 90 693 included, 51 180 patients received oral anticoagulants (OAC). Overall median age (Q1, Q3) were 75 (66–83) years and 48 486 (53.5%) were male. At 1-year follow-up, a total of 2094 (2.3%) strokes/SE, 2642 (2.9%) major bleedings and 10 915 (12.0%) deaths occurred. The GARFIELD-AF model was well calibrated with the predicted risk for stroke/SE and major bleeding. The discriminatory value of GARFIELD-AF risk model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc for predicting stroke in the overall cohort (C-index: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.72 vs C-index: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.66 to 0.68, p<0.001) as well as in low-risk patients (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.69 vs C-index: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.61, p=0.007). The GARFIELD-AF model was comparable to HAS-BLED in predicting the risk of major bleeding in patients on OAC therapy (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.66 vs C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.65, p=0.60).ConclusionIn a nationwide Danish cohort with non-valvular AF, the GARFIELD-AF model adequately predicted the risk of ischaemic stroke/SE and major bleeding. Our external validation confirms that the GARFIELD-AF model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc in predicting stroke/SE and comparable with HAS-BLED for predicting major bleeding.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 749-752
Author(s):  
Alexandru Burlacu ◽  
Adrian Covic

Abstract In this issue of Clinical Kidney Journal, Park et al. presents the results of a nationwide population-based trial that included &gt;5000 dialysis patients receiving a drug-eluting stent (DES). The main objective was to evaluate the effectiveness and the safety of prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). The primary outcome was a composite of mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization and stroke, significantly lowered by a longer DAPT regimen at 12, 15 and 18 months, respectively. Longer DAPT tended to be correlated with higher bleeding events at all landmarks, with no statistical significance. An important element was that almost 75% of the index events were acute coronary syndromes. This study presents the first solid evidence for a significant benefit of prolonged DAPT in dialysis patients receiving a DES. We believe that end-stage renal disease is still in the middle of a rope game, being pulled to one side or another by other features, inclining towards a higher bleeding risk or towards higher ischaemic risk. The acute versus elective presentation seems to weigh in choosing the antiplatelet regimen. The ‘one-size-fits-all strategy’ is not suitable for this particular group. Probably in the future, practitioners will be provided with decision pathways generated by artificial intelligence algorithms yielding ‘truly individualized’ DAPT protocols for every single patient.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Bergamaschi ◽  
A Stefanizzi ◽  
M Coriano ◽  
P Paolisso ◽  
I Magnani ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Several risk scores have been proposed to assess the bleeding risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation. Purpose To compare the efficacy of HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores to predict major bleedings in newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NV-AF) treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or new oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods We analyzed all consecutive patients with AF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2017. Only those with new diagnosed NV-AF starting new anticoagulant therapy were enrolled. Major hemorrhagic events were defined according to the ISTH definition in non-surgical patients. Results Out of the 820 patients admitted with AF, 305 were newly diagnosed with NV-AF starting oral anticoagulation. Overall, 51.3% were male with a mean age of 72.6±13.7 years. Thirty-six patients (11.8%) started VKAs whereas 269 (88.2%) patients were treated with NOACs. The median follow-up time was 10.4±3.4 months. During follow-up, 123 (32.2%) bleeding events were recorded, 21 (17,1%) in the VKA group and 102 (82,9%) in the NOAC group. Eleven (2.9%) major bleeding events occurred: 5 (45.5%) in the VKA group and 6 (54.5%) in the NOAC group. Overall, patients with major hemorrhagic events showed a mean value of the scores significantly higher when compared to patients without such bleeding complications (HASBLED 3.4 vs 2.4 p=0.007; ATRIA 5.6 vs 2.4 p<0.001; ORBIT 3.6 vs 1.8 p<0,001). Conversely, when analyzing the VKA subgroup, only the ATRIA score was significantly higher in patients with major adverse events (7.4 vs 3.5 p<0.001; HAS-BLED: 4.4 vs 3.6 p=0.27; ORBIT 4.4 vs 2.9 p=0.13). An ATRIA score ≥4 identified patients at high risk of bleeding (29.4% vs. 0% events. respectively, p=0.04). In the NOAC group, patients with major bleeding events had higher mean values of ATRIA (4.0 vs 2.3 p=0.02) and ORBIT (2.8 vs 1.6 p=0,04) but not the HAS-BLED (2.5 vs 2.3 p=0.57) scores. Similarly, patients on NOACs with an ATRIA score ≥4 had higher rates of major bleedings (8.1% vs. 1.6% p=0,02). Comparing the single elements of the ATRIA score, only glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 mq was associated with major bleedings in the VKA group (p<0.001) whereas, in the NOAC group, anemia was strongly associated with bleeding events (p=0,02). In fact, multivariate analysis in the NOAC group showed that hemoglobin level at admission was an independent predictor for major bleeding events (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.23–0.75, P=0.003). Conversely, in the VKA group, baseline creatinine level was an independent predictor for these events (OR 12.76, 95% CI 1.6–101.7, P=0.016). Conclusions The ATRIA score showed the best efficacy in predicting major bleeding events. Hemoglobin and creatinine levels at admission were independent predictors for major hemorrhagic events in the NOAC and in the VKA groups, respectively. The latter finding might be helpful in stratifying the hemorrhagic risk at the beginning of treatment.


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