P6157Indexed coronary volume - A potential novel low-dose CCTA derived predictor for cardiovascular events

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Benetos ◽  
M Goncalves ◽  
E Von Felten ◽  
G Rampidis ◽  
O Clerc ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Low Dose ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Calcium Score ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Lv Mass ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) provides incremental prognostic information over traditional risk factors in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. However, little is known about the long-term predictive performance of CCTA-derived coronary volumes and mid-diastolic left ventricular (LV) mass. Purpose To assess long-term prognostic value of coronary volumes and mid-diastolic LV mass as novel potential imaging predictors derived from low-dose prospectively ECG-triggered CCTA. Methods Consecutive patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease, referred for low-dose CCTA, were included. Patients with previous revascularization were excluded. The following parameters were evaluated: calcium score, segment involvement score (SIS: 1 point for each coronary segment with presence of plaque), coronary volume, mid-diastolic LV mass and coronary volume indexed to LV mass. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and revascularization (PCI or CABG). The association between CCTA measures and the occurrence of events was quantified using cox regression hazard and Kaplan Meier analysis. Results A total of 147 consecutive patients were included in the study. Of them, 93 (63.3%) were male and 79 (53.7%) hat one or more traditional cardiovascular risk factors. There was a weak but statistical significant inverse correlation between indexed coronary volume and both calcium score (R=-0.3, p=0.01) and SIS (R=-0.24, p=0.005). After a median follow-up of 5.8 years 30 MACE occurred in 25 patients, including 3 deaths, 26 revascularizations and 1 non-fatal myocardial infarction. In univariate cox regression hazard analysis calcium score (HR=12.69, 95% CI 2.99–53.83, p<0.001), SIS (HR=1.66, 95% CI 1.43–1.94, p<0.001), LV mass (HR=1.02, 95% CI 1.01–1.03, p=0.007) and indexed coronary volume (HR=0.89, 95% 0.82–0.96, p=0.004) were associated with outcome. In multivariate analysis, indexed coronary volume, remained an independent predictor for MACE when adjusted for traditional risk factors and SIS (HR=0.93, 95% CI 0.87–1.00, p=0.05), while LV mass did not reach statistical significance (p=0.46). By ROC curve analysis, a value of 21.85 mm3/gr was defined as optimal cutoff for indexed coronary volume. In Kaplan Meier plots, patients with low indexed coronary volume (<21.85 mm3/gr) showed higher event rates (log rank p<0.001) compared to high indexed coronary volume (≥21.85 mm3/gr). Conclusions Indexed coronary volume, derived from low-dose CCTA, independently predicts cardiovascular events. Larger studies are mandated to confirm the predictive value of this potential new biomarker.

scholarly journals Prognostic value of ST2 for MACEs and all-cause mortality in patients with coronary artery disease during a long-term follow up

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background: Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 is implicated in the myocardial overload and it was long been recognized as an inflammation marker related to heart failure and acute coronary syndromes, but the data on prognostic value of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 on patients with coronary artery disease remains limited. The study ought to investigate the prognostic value of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 in patients with established coronary artery disease.Methods: In this prospective cohort study, a total of 3641 consecutive patients were included. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p＜0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p＜0.001). The secondary end point was all-cause death. The association between suppression of tumorigenesis-2 and outcomes was investigated using multivariable COX regression.Results: During a median follow up of 6.4 years, there were 775 patients had the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events and 275 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p＜0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p＜0.001). Multiple COX regression models showed that higher level of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 was an independent predictor in developing major adverse cardiovascular events (HR=1.36, 95% CI 1.17-1.56, p＜0.001) and all-cause death (HR=2.01, 95%CI 1.56-2.59, p＜0.001). The addition of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of the composite outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause death (c-statistic, net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p＜0.05).Conclusions: Higher level of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 is significantly associated with long-term all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events. Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risk factors.

scholarly journals Malnutrition Affects Cholesterol Paradox in Coronary Artery Disease: a 41,229 Chinese Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Wang ◽  
Jin Liu ◽  
Shiqun Chen ◽  
Ming Ying ◽  
Guanzhong Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Chinese Cohort ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background: Several studies found that baseline low LDL-C concentration was associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), which was called “cholesterol paradox”. Low LDL-C concentration may reflect underlying malnutrition, which was strongly associated with increased mortality. We objected to investigate the cholesterol paradox in patients with CAD and the effects of malnutrition.Method: A total of 41,229 CAD patients admitted to Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital in China were included in this study from January 2007 to December 2018, and divided into two groups (LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, n=4,863; LDL-C ≥ 1.8 mmol/L, n = 36,366). We used Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses to assess the association between LDL-C levels and long-term all-cause mortality and the effect of malnutrition. Result: In this real-world cohort (mean age 62.94 years; 74.94% male), there were 5257 incidents of all-cause death during a median follow-up of 5.20 years [Inter-quartile range (IQR): 3.05-7.78 years]. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that low LDL-C levels were associated with worse prognosis. After adjusting for baseline confounders (e.g., age, sex and comorbidities, etc.), multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that low LDL-C level (<1.8mmol/L) was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.96-1.24). After adjustment of nutritional status, risk of all-cause mortality of patients with low LDL-C level decreased (adjusted HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.98). In the final multivariate Cox model, low LDL-C level was related to better prognosis (adjusted HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99).Conclusion: Our results demonstrate that the cholesterol paradox persisted in CAD patients, but disappeared after accounting for the effects of malnutrition.

scholarly journals Risks of Recurrent Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in 1-Year Survivors of Acute Myocardial Infarction Implanted with Newer-Generation Drug-Eluting Stents

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (16) ◽  
pp. 3642
Author(s):  
Sungmin Lim ◽  
Eun Ho Choo ◽  
Ik Jun Choi ◽  
Kwan Yong Lee ◽  
Su Nam Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Drug Eluting Stents ◽  
Index Procedure ◽  
Drug Eluting ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors

Current treatments for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have dramatically improved clinical outcomes during the first year after AMI. Less is known, however, about the subsequent risks of recurrent cardiovascular events and mortality in patients who survive 1 year after AMI. The purpose of the present study is to evaluate long-term clinical outcomes in 1-year AMI survivors who were implanted with newer-generation drug-eluting stents (DESs) since 2010. The COREA-AMI (CardiOvascular Risk and idEntificAtion of potential high-risk population in AMI) registry consecutively enrolled AMI patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and patients who received newer-generation DESs since 2010 were analyzed. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Of 6242 AMI patients, 5397 were alive 1 year after the index procedure. The cumulative incidence of MACEs and all-cause death 1 to 7 years after AMI were 28.4% (annually 4–6%) and 20.2% (annually 3–4%), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that uncontrolled systolic blood pressure (SBP) and serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) concentration, as well as traditional risk factors, were associated with MACEs and all-cause death. Recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and bleeding events within 1 year were significantly associated with all-cause death. The risks of adverse cardiovascular events and death remain high in AMI patients more than 1 year after the index PCI with newer-generation DESs. Traditional risk factors, uncontrolled SBP and LDL-C, and non-fatal adverse events within 1 year after the index procedure strongly influence long-term clinical outcomes.

scholarly journals Prognostic value of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (ST2) for cardiovascular events in coronary artery disease patients with and without diabetes mellitus

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diabetes Mellitus ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
End Point ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background: Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (ST2) is implicated in myocardial overload and has long been recognized as an inflammation marker related to heart failure and acute coronary syndromes, but data on the prognostic value of ST2 in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remain limited. This study sought to investigate the prognostic value of ST2 in patients with established coronary artery disease and its predictive value in CAD patients with or without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).Methods: A total of 3641 consecutive patients were included in this prospective cohort study. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The secondary end point was all-cause death. The association between ST2 and outcomes was investigated using multivariable Cox regression.Results: During a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 775 patients had the occurrence of MACEs and 275 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p＜0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p<0.001). Multiple Cox regression models showed that higher level of ST2 was an independent predictor for MACEs developments (HR=1.36, 95% CI 1.17-1.56, p<0.001) and all-cause death (HR=2.01, 95% CI 1.56-2.59, p<0.001). The addition of ST2 to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of the composite outcome of MACEs and all-cause death (C-statistic, net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p<0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that ST2 remained a significant predictor of MACEs and all-cause death in patients with and without T2DM in multivariable models.Conclusions: A higher level of ST2 is significantly associated with long-term MACEs and all-cause death in CAD patients with and without T2DM. ST2 may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risk factors.

Impaired retinal microvascular function predicts long-term adverse events in patients with cardiovascular disease

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
James D Theuerle ◽  
Ali H Al-Fiadh ◽  
Fakir M Amirul Islam ◽  
Sheila K Patel ◽  
Louise M Burrell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Endothelial Dysfunction ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Retinal Vessel ◽  
Light Stimulation ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors ◽  
Flicker Light ◽  
Retinal Arteriolar

Abstract Aims Endothelial dysfunction is a precursor to the development of symptomatic atherosclerosis. Retinal microvascular reactivity to flicker light stimulation is a marker of endothelial function and can be quantified in vivo. We sought to determine whether retinal microvascular endothelial dysfunction predicts long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods and results In a single-centre prospective observational study, patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) or cardiovascular risk factors underwent dynamic retinal vessel assessment in response to flicker light stimulation and were followed up for MACE. Retinal microvascular endothelial dysfunction was quantified by measuring maximum flicker light-induced retinal arteriolar dilatation (FI-RAD) and flicker light-induced retinal venular dilatation (FI-RVD). In total, 252 patients underwent dynamic retinal vessel assessment and 242 (96%) had long-term follow-up. Of the 242 patients, 88 (36%) developed MACE over a median period of 8.6 years (interquartile range 6.0–9.1). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, patients within the lowest quintile of FI-RAD had the highest risk of MACE [odds ratio (OR) 5.21; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.78–15.28]. Patients with lower FI-RAD were also more likely to die (OR 2.09; 95% CI 1.00–4.40, per standard deviation decrease in FI-RAD). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, patients with FI-RAD responses below the cohort median of 1.4% exhibited reduced MACE-free survival (55.5 vs. 71.5%; log-rank P = 0.004). FI-RVD was not predictive of MACE. Conclusion Retinal arteriolar endothelial dysfunction is an independent predictor of MACE in patients with CAD or cardiovascular risk factors. Dynamic retinal vessel analysis may provide added benefit to traditional risk factors in stratifying patients at risk for cardiovascular events.

P1227Remnant lipoprotein is a residual risk of future cardiovascular events in patients with stable coronary artery disease and on statin LDL-cholesterol levels less than 70 mg/dl

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Fujihara ◽  
T Nakamura ◽  
T Horikoshi ◽  
J E Obata ◽  
D Fujioka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Stable Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Density Lipoprotein ◽  
Statin Treatment ◽  
Residual Risk ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background Recent guidelines recommend a target of low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) <70 mg/dL in patients at very high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, a considerable residual risk of CVD persists despite achievement of the LDL-C goal on statin treatment. Purpose This study examined the predictive value of remnant lipoprotein levels for cardiovascular events (CVE) in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) and LDL-C levels <70 mg/dL on statin treatment. Methods Serum levels of remnant lipoproteins (remnant-like lipoprotein particles cholesterol; RLP-C) were measured by an immunoseparation method in 247 consecutive patients with CAD who had on-statin LDL-C levels <70 mg/dL. All the patients were followed prospectively for a period of ≤60 months or until the occurrence of the primary composite endpoint of cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring coronary revascularization, worsening heart failure, peripheral artery diseases requiring endovascular or surgical intervention, aortic events, and ischemic stroke. Results During a mean follow-up period of 38 months, 33 CVEs occurred. Kaplan-Meier estimates in time-to-first-event analysis demonstrated that higher RLP-C levels (>3.9 mg/dL, determined by ROC-curve) resulted in a significantly higher probability for the primary endpoint than did lower RLP-C levels (<3.9 mg/dL) (p<0.01 by log-rank test). Stepwise multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that RLP-C was a significant predictor of the primary endpoint after adjustment for known risk factors and lipid variables including triglycerides (TG), and total apolipoprotein B (ApoB) (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.26–2.07, p<0.01). The c-statistics showed that addition of RLP-C had a significant incremental effect on the predictive value of traditional risk factors (area under curve; traditional risk factors: 0.68 vs. traditional risk factors + RLP-C: 0.77, p=0.02). Category-free NRI and IDI demonstrated the additive value of RLP-C to the traditional risk factors plus non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-C and ApoB levels (NRI 0.52, p<0.01; IDI 0.06, p<0.01). Conclusions RLP-C levels are a residual risk factor for future CVEs in patients with CAD and on-statin LDL-C <70 mg/dL.

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