Some like it hot, hungry tunas do not! Implications of temperature and plankton food web dynamics on growth and diet of tropical tuna larvae

Restricted to low-productivity environments near their thermal maxima, larval tunas may be threatened by warming global temperatures, yet our understanding of how they are constrained is limited. We examined blackfin tuna (Thunnus atlanticus, presumptive) diet and growth in the context of their prey and predators in the Straits of Florida in 2 years with contrasting summer conditions: low temperature (26.7–28.3°C)–high prey and high temperature (28.4–29.0°C)–low prey. In the cooler, high-prey conditions, larvae had 30% faster growth (0.45 mm d−1), fuller guts from predominantly feeding on calanoid copepods, and were 10× more abundant, dominating the larval fish assemblage. In contrast, in warm, low-prey conditions fewer, younger, and slower-growing (0.35 mm d−1) T. atlanticus fed predominantly on nauplii and had less full guts. Modelling individual growth across years revealed that growth peaked at an optimum of 28.5°C (5°C below known thermal maxima in the field) and high densities of predators selectively consumed slower-growing larvae. Low-prey availability may reduce the thermal optima of larvae, as growth and survival are diminished when low prey and high temperature coincide. Our results illustrate the importance of considering food web dynamics with temperature when predicting the response of organisms to ecosystem variability, particularly ongoing climate change.