Non-Standard Parametric Statistical Inference

Author(s):  
Russell Cheng

This book discusses the fitting of parametric statistical models to data samples. Emphasis is placed on (i) how to recognize situations where the problem is non-standard, when parameter estimates behave unusually, and (ii) the use of parametric bootstrap resampling methods in analysing such problems. Simple and practical model building is an underlying theme. A frequentist viewpoint based on likelihood is adopted, for which there is a well-established and very practical theory. The standard situation is where certain widely applicable regularity conditions hold. However, there are many apparently innocuous situations where standard theory breaks down, sometimes spectacularly. Most of the departures from regularity are described geometrically in the book, with mathematical detail only sufficient to clarify the non-standard nature of a problem and to allow formulation of practical solutions. The book is intended for anyone with a basic knowledge of statistical methods typically covered in a university statistical inference course who wishes to understand or study how standard methodology might fail. Simple, easy-to-understand statistical methods are presented which overcome these difficulties, and illustrated by detailed examples drawn from real applications. Parametric bootstrap resampling is used throughout for analysing the properties of fitted models, illustrating its ease of implementation even in non-standard situations. Distributional properties are obtained numerically for estimators or statistics not previously considered in the literature because their theoretical distributional properties are too hard to obtain theoretically. Bootstrap results are presented mainly graphically in the book, providing easy-to-understand demonstration of the sampling behaviour of estimators.

Author(s):  
Russell Cheng

This book relies on maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of parameters. Asymptotic theory assumes regularity conditions hold when the ML estimator is consistent. Typically an additional third derivative condition is assumed to ensure that the ML estimator is also asymptotically normally distributed. Standard asymptotic results that then hold are summarized in this chapter; for example, the asymptotic variance of the ML estimator is then given by the Fisher information formula, and the log-likelihood ratio, the Wald and the score statistics for testing the statistical significance of parameter estimates are all asymptotically equivalent. Also, the useful profile log-likelihood then behaves exactly as a standard log-likelihood only in a parameter space of just one dimension. Further, the model can be reparametrized to make it locally orthogonal in the neighbourhood of the true parameter value. The large exponential family of models is briefly reviewed where a unified set of regular conditions can be obtained.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 77-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miroslav Prístavka ◽  
Martina Kotorová ◽  
Radovan Savov

AbstractThe tools for quality management are used for quality improvement throughout the whole Europe and developed countries. Simple statistics are considered one of the most basic methods. The goal was to apply the simple statistical methods to practice and to solve problems by using them. Selected methods are used for processing the list of internal discrepancies within the organization, and for identification of the root cause of the problem and its appropriate solution. Seven basic quality tools are simple graphical tools, but very effective in solving problems related to quality. They are called essential because they are suitable for people with at least basic knowledge in statistics; therefore, they can be used to solve the vast majority of problems.


2016 ◽  
Vol 1140 ◽  
pp. 384-391 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Heyder ◽  
Stefan Steinbeck ◽  
Matthaeus Brela ◽  
Alexander Meyer ◽  
Sandra Abersfelder ◽  
...  

Electromagnetic actuators are used in a variety of technical applications especially in the automotive industry. In-line process control methods are an essential component of the Lean and Six Sigma methodology to ensure process quality. However, the current state of the art in process and quality control is largely limited to end-of-line measurements of the force output. Analysing the magnetic stray field is a promising method that can be used to draw conclusions on the properties and defects of the flux-conducting magnetic materials. This phenomenon can potentially be used to identify defects in magnetic actuators thus allowing inline quality-monitoring. In order to realize this feature, patterns in the magnetic stray field of an actuator have to be identified and linked to a specific defect. The resulting challenge is the analysis of large datasets in order to characterize the stray field anomalies. This paper summarizes the results of a study on linear magnetic actuators trying to prove a relationship between parasitic magnetic stray field and the overall force output of an actuator by analysing the data with statistical methods. The findings of this study suggest that certain statistical methods, like regression, are not well suited to build a prediction model for defects in actuators using a similar approach of measuring stray field outside the actuator. This is mainly due to the fact that prerequisites for model building are difficult to full fill within the context of stray field analysis. Nevertheless, the findings also suggest that methods of exploratory data analysis can be used to derive quality relevant information from data of stray field measurements. The paper elaborates on the problem of defining a population, choosing variables for model building, as well as model error.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 205979911982651
Author(s):  
Michael Wood

In many fields of research, null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious concerns about the suitability of p values for this purpose. An alternative approach is to cite confidence intervals for a statistic of interest, but this does not directly tell readers how certain a hypothesis is. Here, I suggest how the framework used for confidence intervals could easily be extended to derive confidence levels, or “tentative probabilities,” for hypotheses. I also outline four quick methods for estimating these. This allows researchers to state their confidence in a hypothesis as a direct probability, instead of circuitously by p values referring to a hypothetical null hypothesis—which is usually not even stated explicitly. The inevitable difficulties of statistical inference mean that these probabilities can only be tentative, but probabilities are the natural way to express uncertainties, so, arguably, researchers using statistical methods have an obligation to estimate how probable their hypotheses are by the best available method. Otherwise, misinterpretations will fill the void.


1975 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 149-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin A. Hamilton ◽  
Gary K. Bissonnette

SUMMARYA standard technique for ascertaining the survival characteristics of bacteria after being environmentally stressed is to incubate the bacteria on both selective and non-selective media and count the colonies produced. Based on these colony counts, indexes of injury and persistence of the bacteria are calculated. To compare the stress of two different environments, a persistence ratio is calculated. In this paper, methods of statistical inference concerning these indexes and ratios are presented. These statistical methods use well-known procedures for analysis of binomial data and 2 × 2 table data, and are appropriate when the colony counts follow a Poisson distribution.


1990 ◽  
Vol 29 (01) ◽  
pp. 41-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Sahai

AbstractThe role of statistical methods is now well recognized in health sciences since these disciplines are concerned with the study of communities or populations where the principles of sampling and statistical inference are clearly applicable. However, many medical and health sciences teachers and students have been slower to perceive the need for knowledge of biostatistical methods, even though all aspects of medical diagnosis and prognosis are governed by the laws of probability. Some of them are still skeptical about the value and importance of biostatistical principles to their fields and raise questions about the meaning, content, and nature of biostatistics and relevance of its teaching to health sciences disciplines. The purpose of this essay is to address some of these issues with the hope to invoke comments and responses from other biostatistics instructors who have encountered similar predicaments in their teaching and consulting roles to health sciences students and professionals.


Author(s):  
Piyushimita (Vonu) Thakuriah ◽  
Ashish Sen ◽  
Siim Sööt ◽  
Ed J. Christopher

Considerable attention has been paid to the presence of nonresponse in large-scale travel surveys on the basis of which urban travel demand models are developed. It has been shown that the effect of nonresponse can be reduced by careful model building, with categorical trip generation models as an example. The same philosophy is extended to logit mode split models and exponential gravity models to show that the usual levels of nonresponse that one encounters in urban travel surveys have virtually no adverse effects on the parameter estimates of these models if the model has been specified correctly. Some simulation results are also presented to show the behavior of logit and exponential gravity model parameter estimates under conditions on nonresponse.


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