Central Bank Communications

2019 ◽  
pp. 262-286
Author(s):  
J. Scott Davis ◽  
Mark A. Wynne
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Federal Open Market Committee ◽  
Quarter Century ◽  
The Past ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Daily Time

Over the past twenty-five years, central bank communications have undergone a major revolution. Central banks that previously shrouded themselves in mystery now embrace social media to get their message out to the widest audience. The volume of information about monetary policy that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) now releases dwarfs what it was releasing a quarter century ago. This chapter focuses on just one channel of FOMC communications, the postmeeting statement. It documents how this has become more detailed over time. Then daily financial-market data are used to estimate a daily time series of US monetary policy shocks. These shocks on Fed statement release days have gotten larger as the statement has gotten longer and more detailed, and the chapter shows that the length and complexity of the statement have a direct effect on the size of the monetary policy shock following a Fed decision.

scholarly journals Spillovers of US Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies to Russian Financial Markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shigeki Ono
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Federal Funds Rate ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Endogenous Variables ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock

This paper investigates the spillovers of US conventional and unconventional monetary policies to Russian financial markets using VAR-X models. Impulse responses to an exogenous Federal Funds rate shock are assessed for all the endogenous variables. The empirical results show that both conventional and unconventional tightening monetary policy shocks decrease stock prices whereas an easing monetary policy shock does not increase stock prices. Moreover, the results suggest that an unconventional tightening monetary policy shock increases Russian interest rates and decreases oil prices, implying reduced liquidity in international financial markets.

TRANSMISSION OF MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS: DO INPUT–OUTPUT INTERACTIONS MATTER?

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1881-1903
Author(s):  
Aarti Singh ◽  
Stefano Tornielli Di Crestvolant
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Intermediate Goods ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

We examine whether input–output interactions among industries impact the transmission of monetary policy shocks through the economy. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) methods we find evidence of heterogeneity in the output response to a monetary policy shock in both finished goods industries and intermediate goods industries. While output responses in finished goods industries can be related to heterogeneity in industry characteristics, this relationship is not so obvious for intermediate goods industries. For the intermediate goods industries in our sample, we find new evidence of demand-spillover effects that impact the transmission of monetary policy via input–output linkages.

scholarly journals Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Coibion
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Taylor Rules ◽  
The Real ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Historical Contribution

This paper studies the small estimated effects of monetary policy shocks from standard VARs versus the large effects from the Romer and Romer (2004) approach. The differences are driven by three factors: the different contractionary impetus, the period of reserves targeting, and lag length selection. Accounting for these factors, the real effects of policy shocks are consistent across approaches and most likely medium. Alternative monetary policy shock measures from estimated Taylor rules also yield medium-sized real effects and indicate that the historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to real fluctuations has been significant, particularly during the 1970s and early 1980s. (JEL E32, E43, E52)

Macroeconomic Effects of Central Bank Communication: Evidence from the Fed

2010 ◽  
pp. 5-22
Author(s):  
Carlo Rosa ◽  
Tim Breitenstein
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Policy Decisions ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Federal Funds ◽  
Central Bank Communication ◽  
News Shock ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Future Direction

This paper employs exogenous measures of monetary policy shocks directly derived from financial market information to investigate how the economy responds to the surprise component of monetary policy decisions as opposed to central bank announcements about future movements in the policy rate. We find that the U.S. economy strongly reacts to the news shock, the difference between what the central bank announces regarding the future direction of monetary policy and what the market expects it to announce. The responses of output and prices to the unexpected component of policy decisions regarding the federal funds target rate are weak and have implausible signs.

scholarly journals The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles: Some Evidence

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 233-257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordi Galí ◽  
Luca Gambetti
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Equity Premium ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Conventional View ◽  
Varying Coefficients ◽  
Stock Market Bubbles ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Time Varying Coefficients

We estimate the response of stock prices to monetary policy shocks using a time-varying coefficients VAR. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which stock prices end up increasing persistently in response to an exogenous tightening of monetary policy. That response is at odds with the “conventional” view on the effects of monetary policy on bubbles, as well as with the predictions of bubbleless models. We also argue that it is unlikely that such evidence can be accounted for by an endogenous response of the equity premium to the monetary policy shock. (JEL E43, E44, E52, G12, G14)

scholarly journals The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Corporate Dynamic Investment Activity With Financial Heterogeneity

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 215824402098868
Author(s):  
Mahbuba Aktar ◽  
Mohammad Zoynul Abedin ◽  
Anupam Das Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Public Firms ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
The Impact

This article assesses the differential reactions of firms’ investment to monetary policy shocks based on various financial heterogeneity measures, such as leverage and cash holdings. It applies U.S. public firms’ panel data from the sample period 1990Q1 to 2007Q4 and high-frequency event-study approach. Low-leverage and high cash holding firms react more to monetary policy shocks explaining the different investment activities. For the high-leverage and low cash holding firms, the two monetary policy shock variable interactions are statistically insignificant. However, they are statistically significant for the low-leverage and high cash holding firms. During a contractionary monetary policy period, higher cash holding firms improve investment efficiency. This article strengthens the literature of corporate investment behavior which can assist advance and optimize macrocontrol policies.

scholarly journals Polityka pieniężna Narodowego Banku Polskiego od roku 1989

2015 ◽  
pp. 173-192
Author(s):  
Paweł Franka ◽  
Anna Wisz
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Open Market ◽  
The Past ◽  
National Bank

The article discusses the activities of National Bank of Poland during the past twenty-five year and more specifically in the years 1989–2013 with particular emphasis on monetary policy. During this time, the Polish central bank has undergone fundamental change, starting from the position of the so-called monobank, i.e. bank without autonomy in activities, characteristic of planned economy. The article describes the process of transformation of the National Bank of Poland to the role of a central bank operating in a market economy. The paper emphasizes all the important events in the transformation, including building of a two-tier banking system, the gradual replacement of the administrative measures by monetary policy instruments, currency denomination, constitutional guarantees of the role and independence of the National Bank of Poland, creation of the Monetary Policy Council – a departure from the single monetary policy-making in favor of collegiality, changing the monetary policy strategy to direct inflation targeting, bank exchange rates policy, open market operations.

scholarly journals The role of foreign banks in the transmission of monetary policy: Empirical evidence from Tunisia

2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (228) ◽  
pp. 101-122
Author(s):  
Mohamed Gassouma ◽  
Kais Ben-Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Concentration Index ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Credit Supply ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effect of monetary policy shocks on credit supply in Tunisia, using a vector autoregressive model and a nonlinear interactive model. The focus is on the magnitude of these shocks in the presence of foreign banks. The variables of interest are the concentration index of deposit banks, and monetary policy shocks based on the monthly data of 27 universal and business banks covering the period 1993 to 2016. The results support a positive and significant impact of concentration index on credit supply. However, monetary policy shocks appear to have no significant effect when the market is concentrated with the entry of foreign banks. The findings of this study also reveal that the entry of foreign banks neutralises monetary policy shock transmission in the credit supply, which may be offset by market discipline.

scholarly journals Effect of Monetary Policy on Investment in Russian Regions

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (4) ◽  
pp. 31-49
Author(s):  
Andrei Shevelev ◽  
◽  
Maria Kvaktun ◽  
Kristina Virovets ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressions ◽  
Explanatory Factors ◽  
Market Rate ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Regional Product ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy

This paper assesses the effect of monetary policy on investment in Russian regions. In the first stage of the research, we estimate the responses of regional investment to interbank market rate shocks using structural vector autoregressions. In the second stage, we estimate regression models using impulse responses as dependent variables and explanatory factors as independent variables. The regression calculations are performed using the Elastic Net regularisation technique. We find that regions with higher shares of manufacturing, agriculture and construction are more responsive to monetary policy shocks. In addition, we identified the high importance of these sectors in explaining the different effects of monetary policy on investment. The results also show that the larger is the share of the mining and quarrying sector in the gross regional product (GRP) and the greater the imports to GRP ratio, the smaller is the absolute change in investment from a monetary policy shock.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document