scholarly journals Is this the beginning or the end of COVID-19 outbreak in India? A data driven mathematical model-based analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anupam Singh ◽  
Jhilik Dey ◽  
Shivam Bhardwaj
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Pessimistic Scenario ◽  
Spread Of Infection ◽  
Model Based Analysis

AbstractIndia has experienced an early and harshest lockdown from 25th March 2020 in response to the outbreak. However, an accurate estimation of the progression of the spread of infection and the level of preparedness to combat this disease are urgently needed. Using a data-based mathematical model, our study has made predictions on the number of cases that are expected to rise in India till 14th June 2020. The epidemiological data of daily cases have been utilized from 25th March (i.e., the first day of lockdown) to 23rd April 2020. In the study, we have stimulated two possible scenarios (optimistic and pessimistic) for the prediction. As per the optimistic approach of modelling, COVID-19 may end in the first week of June 2020 with a total of 77,900 infected cases including 2,442 fatalities. However, the results under the pessimistic scenario are a bit scary as it shows that a total of 283,300 infected cases with 10,180 fatalities till 14th June. To win the battle, 10 weeks of complete lockdown is much needed at least in the infected states and the union territories of India. Alternatively, the isolation of clusters (hotspot regions) is required if India wants a resume of some essential activities.

scholarly journals 27 years of the HIV epidemic amongst men having sex with men in the Netherlands: An in depth mathematical model-based analysis

Epidemics ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela Bezemer ◽  
Frank de Wolf ◽  
Maarten C. Boerlijst ◽  
Ard van Sighem ◽  
T. Deirdre Hollingsworth ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Hiv Epidemic ◽  
Sex With Men ◽  
Model Based Analysis

scholarly journals A mathematical model-based analysis of the time–kill kinetics of ceftazidime/avibactam against Pseudomonas aeruginosa

2018 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 1295-1304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sherwin K B Sy ◽  
Luning Zhuang ◽  
Huiming Xia ◽  
Marie-Eve Beaudoin ◽  
Virna J Schuck ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Pseudomonas Aeruginosa ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Time Kill ◽  
Kinetics Of ◽  
Model Based Analysis

scholarly journals Physiological Association between Limb Ballistocardiogram and Arterial Blood Pressure Waveforms: A Mathematical Model-Based Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peyman Yousefian ◽  
Sungtae Shin ◽  
Azin Sadat Mousavi ◽  
Chang-Sei Kim ◽  
Barry Finegan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Arterial Blood Pressure ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Arterial Blood ◽  
Model Based Analysis

scholarly journals Corrigendum to “27 years of the HIV epidemic amongst men having sex with men in the Netherlands: An in depth mathematical model-based analysis” [Epidemics 2 (2010) 66–79]

Epidemics ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 170
Author(s):  
Daniela Bezemer ◽  
Frank de Wolf ◽  
Maarten C. Boerlijst ◽  
Ard van Sighem ◽  
T. Deirdre Hollingsworth ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Hiv Epidemic ◽  
Sex With Men ◽  
Model Based Analysis

scholarly journals THE QUANTIFICATION METHOD OF FUNCTIONAL AVAILABILITY MILITARY VEHICLES

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamil Przybysz
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Markov Process ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Technical Object ◽  
Quantification Method ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Military Vehicles ◽  
Operational Quality ◽  
Operational Data ◽  
Exploitation System

The availability is one of the most important feature of a technical object which shapes its operational quality. The paper undertakes the issue related to the quantification of functional availability of vehicles, with reference to reliability aspects. The conducted exploitation research paved the way for elaborating methods of determining functional availability for vehicles, in particular focusing on reliability. The essential research was conducted using the developed mathematical model based on the probabilistic, stochastic Markov process, which allowed modelling the process of changes in the exploitation states of vehicles. In view of the above, it is essential to develop methods that enable the most accurate estimation of the functional availability of vehicles. Knowing the values of functional availability, we can estimate the probability of performing assigned tasks and precisely control the vehicle exploitation system, especially in terms of availability, which is important for vehicles. This work presents a method for determining the functional availability of vehicles, taking into account the limitations introduced by the vehicle exploitation system.  Particular attention was paid to the possibility of using probabilistic, stochastic semiMarkov models, whose rules and method of creation were generally described, with regard to the ability to acquire operational data in the vehicle exploitation system.

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