scholarly journals Visible and real dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ukraine in the spring of 2021

Author(s):  
Igor Nesteruk

The visible and real sizes the last COVID-19 epidemic wave in Ukraine, estimated in March 2021 with the use of generalized SIR-model, are compared with number of cases registered in the spring of 2021. We have used the optimal value of the visibility coefficient in order to estimate the real numbers of accumulated cases, real daily numbers of new cases and real number of infectious persons. The results show that the latest prediction for Ukraine is in rather good agreement with observations, but the daily number of new cases decreases more slowly than theoretical predictions. The large real number of infectious people threatens the emergence of new strains of coronavirus and the beginning of new epidemic waves.

1951 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 130-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Myhill

In a previous paper, I proved the consistency of a non-finitary system of logic based on the theory of types, which was shown to contain the axiom of reducibility in a form which seemed not to interfere with the classical construction of real numbers. A form of the system containing a strong axiom of choice was also proved consistent.It seems to me now that the real-number approach used in that paper, though valid, was not the most fruitful one. We can, on the lines therein suggested, prove the consistency of axioms closely resembling Tarski's twenty axioms for the real numbers; but this, from the standpoint of mathematical practice, is a pitifully small fragment of analysis. The consistency of a fairly strong set-theory can be proved, using the results of my previous paper, with little more difficulty than that of the Tarski axioms; this being the case, it would seem a saving in effort to derive the consistency of such a theory first, then to strengthen that theory (if possible) in such ways as can be shown to preserve consistency; and finally to derive from the system thus strengthened, if need be, a more usable real-number theory. The present paper is meant to achieve the first part of this program. The paragraphs of this paper are numbered consecutively with those of my previous paper, of which it is to be regarded as a continuation.


Author(s):  
Алексеенко ◽  
A. Alekseenko ◽  
Лихачева ◽  
M. Likhacheva

The article is devoted to the study of the peculiarities of real numbers in the discipline "Algebra and analysis" in the secondary school. The theme of "Real numbers" is not easy to understand and often causes difficulties for students. However, the study of this topic is now being given enough attention and time. The consequence is a lack of understanding of students and school-leavers, what constitutes the real numbers, irrational numbers. At the same time the notion of a real number is required for further successful study of mathematics. To improve the efficiency of studying the topic and form a clear idea about the different numbers offered to add significantly to the material of modern textbooks, increase the number of hours in the study of real numbers, as well as to include in the school course of algebra topics "Complex numbers" and "Algebraic structures".


1984 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 343-375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Freiling

Abstract.Banach introduced the following two-person, perfect information, infinite game on the real numbers and asked the question: For which sets A ⊆ R is the game determined?Rules: The two players alternate moves starting with player I. Each move an is legal iff it is a real number and 0 < an, and for n > 1, an < an−1. The first player to make an illegal move loses. Otherwise all moves are legal and I wins iff exists and .We will look at this game and some variations of it, called Banach games. In each case we attempt to find the relationship between Banach determinacy and the determinacy of other well-known and much-studied games.


1953 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Myhill
Keyword(s):  

The purpose of this paper is to prove two theorems and a conjecture (Conjecture II) announced in section 15 an earlier paper of the author's (cited as “CT”), and to compare them briefly with related results of Specker. Familiarity with both papers is assumed; the terminology of the former is used throughout. On two points however clarification of the usage of CT is in order, and to this chore we must first proceed.A half-section is the lower half of a Dedekind cut; if the cut is rational, the half section is to include the rational corresponding to the real defined by the cut. A whole-section is the relation which holds between any member of the lower and any member of the upper half of some Dedekind cut. If the cut is rational the corresponding rational is to be a member of both halves.A real number α is said to be approximate in K to any required number of decimal places if it is possible to define the predicates ‘x < α’, ‘x ≤ α’, ‘x > α’, and ‘x ≥ α’ (x rational) in K. In view of section 7 of CT this will mean that every true inequation between α and a terminating decimal will be provable in K.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Nesteruk

Abstract To simulate how the number of COVID-19 cases increases versus time, various data sets and different mathematical models can be used. In particular, previous simulations of the COVID-19 epidemic dynamics in Ukraine were based on smoothing of the dependence of the number of cases on time and the generalized SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model. Since real number of cases is much higher than the official numbers of laboratory confirmed ones, there is a need to assess the degree of data incompleteness and correct the relevant forecasts. We have improved the method of estimating the unknown parameters of the generalized SIR model and calculated the optimal values ​​of the parameters. It turned out that the real number of diseases exceeded the officially registered values ​​by about 4.1 times at the end of 2020 in Ukraine. This fact requires a reassessment of the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in other countries and clarification of world forecasts.


2003 ◽  
Vol 93 (2) ◽  
pp. 268
Author(s):  
H. Kamarul Haili ◽  
R. Nair

Let $(\lambda_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a sequence of real numbers such that there exists $\delta > 0$ such that $|\lambda_{n+1} - \lambda_n| \geq \delta , n = 0,1,...$. For a real number $y$ let $\{ y \}$ denote its fractional part. Also, for the real number $x$ let $D(N,x)$ denote the discrepancy of the numbers $\{ \lambda _0 x \}, \cdots , \{ \lambda _{N-1} x \}$. We show that given $\varepsilon > 0$, 9774 D(N,x) = o ( N^{-\frac{1}{2}}(\log N)^{\frac{3}{2} + \varepsilon})9774 almost everywhere with respect to Lebesgue measure.


2020 ◽  
pp. 299-327
Author(s):  
Charles McCarty

The chapter features, first, a critical presentation of Brouwer’s intuitionistic doctrines concerning logic, the real numbers, and continuity in the real number system, including his Principle for Numbers and Continuity Theorem. This is followed by a parallel examination of Hermann Weyl’s quasi-intuitionistic views on logic, continuity, and the real number system, views inspired by (but grossly misrepresenting) ideas of Brouwer. The whole business wraps up with an attempt to place Brouwer’s and Weyl’s efforts within the trajectory of informed thinking, during the late 19th and early 20th centuries, on the subjects of continua, magnitudes, and quantities.


2010 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 117-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Ely

This is a case study of an undergraduate calculus student's nonstandard conceptions of the real number line. Interviews with the student reveal robust conceptions of the real number line that include infinitesimal and infinite quantities and distances. Similarities between these conceptions and those of G. W. Leibniz are discussed and illuminated by the formalization of infinitesimals in A. Robinson's nonstandard analysis. These similarities suggest that these student conceptions are not mere misconceptions, but are nonstandard conceptions, pieces of knowledge that could be built into a system of real numbers proven to be as mathematically consistent and powerful as the standard system. This provides a new perspective on students' “struggles” with the real numbers, and adds to the discussion about the relationship between student conceptions and historical conceptions by focusing on mechanisms for maintaining cognitive and mathematical consistency.


Author(s):  
Dzmitry Badziahin ◽  
Yann Bugeaud ◽  
Johannes Schleischitz

Abstract Let $p$ be a prime number. For a positive integer $n$ and a real number $\xi$ , let $\lambda _n (\xi )$ denote the supremum of the real numbers $\lambda$ for which there are infinitely many integer tuples $(x_0, x_1, \ldots , x_n)$ such that $| x_0 \xi - x_1|_p, \ldots , | x_0 \xi ^{n} - x_n|_p$ are all less than $X^{-\lambda - 1}$ , where $X$ is the maximum of $|x_0|, |x_1|, \ldots , |x_n|$ . We establish new results on the Hausdorff dimension of the set of real numbers $\xi$ for which $\lambda _n (\xi )$ is equal to (or greater than or equal to) a given value.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Nesteruk

The COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in Qatar in the second half of May and the first half of June 2021 was compared with the published results of SIR-simulations based on the data from the period April 25 - May 8, 2021. Forecast verification showed very good agreement with the real number of cases (which can exceed the laboratory-confirmed one more than 5 times). The positive effect of mass vaccination became visible in June 2021.


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