scholarly journals Forecast verifications for the real COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in Qatar

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Nesteruk
Keyword(s):  
Real Number ◽  
Mass Vaccination ◽  
Forecast Verification ◽  
The Real ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Good Agreement

The COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in Qatar in the second half of May and the first half of June 2021 was compared with the published results of SIR-simulations based on the data from the period April 25 - May 8, 2021. Forecast verification showed very good agreement with the real number of cases (which can exceed the laboratory-confirmed one more than 5 times). The positive effect of mass vaccination became visible in June 2021.

scholarly journals Visible and real dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ukraine in the spring of 2021

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Nesteruk
Keyword(s):  
Real Number ◽  
Sir Model ◽  
Real Numbers ◽  
The Real ◽  
Daily Number ◽  
Optimal Value ◽  
Theoretical Predictions ◽  
Epidemic Wave ◽  
Good Agreement

The visible and real sizes the last COVID-19 epidemic wave in Ukraine, estimated in March 2021 with the use of generalized SIR-model, are compared with number of cases registered in the spring of 2021. We have used the optimal value of the visibility coefficient in order to estimate the real numbers of accumulated cases, real daily numbers of new cases and real number of infectious persons. The results show that the latest prediction for Ukraine is in rather good agreement with observations, but the daily number of new cases decreases more slowly than theoretical predictions. The large real number of infectious people threatens the emergence of new strains of coronavirus and the beginning of new epidemic waves.

scholarly journals An algebraic proof of the real number PCP theorem

2017 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 34-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martijn Baartse ◽  
Klaus Meer
Keyword(s):  
Real Number ◽  
Algebraic Proof ◽  
The Real ◽  
Pcp Theorem

scholarly journals II. On the Number of the Lost Books of Tacitus. By the Lord Mahon

Archaeologia ◽  
1838 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 15-17
Author(s):  
Mahon
Keyword(s):  
Real Number ◽  
The Real

The historical works of Tacitus which remain to us are, as is well known, besides the Life of Agricola, the four first books of the Annals, part of the fifth, the sixth, the eleventh, twelfth, thirteenth, fourteenth, fifteenth, and part of the sixteenth, the four first books of the History, and part of the fifth. It is asserted by Brotier, in his excellent edition, that the total number of books must have been sixteen of Annals and fourteen of History, and this assertion has never yet, so far as I know, been doubted or called in question. I think, however, that there are strong grounds for presuming that the real number of books was eighteen of Annals and twelve of History; and, though the point be of small importance, it may perhaps not be without some interest to the admirers of the greatest of Historians.

scholarly journals A 16-week multicenter observational study of the efficiency and safety of rheumatoid arthritis therapy with methotrexate

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 106-111
Author(s):  
R. M. Balabanova
Keyword(s):  
Rheumatoid Arthritis ◽  
Combination Therapy ◽  
Fasting Glucose ◽  
Morning Stiffness ◽  
Hypolipidemic Effect ◽  
Multicenter Observational Study ◽  
High Doses ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Good Agreement

Objective: to evaluate the efficiency of combination therapy with methotrexate (MTX) and hydroxychloroquine (HC) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in real clinical practice.Patients and methods. The investigation enrolled 430 patients with documented RA who had been followed up for 16 weeks by rheumatologists in different regions of the country. Individual schedules were filled out for the patients, by adding demographic, clinical, and laboratory parameters that made it possible to assess the activity of the disease and to estimate the level of glucose, cholesterol, and low-density lipoproteins (LDL). The results of the investigation were evaluated at the inclusion of patients in it and then at 8 and 16 weeks. Taking into account the insufficient previous effect of MTX, the treatment was enhanced by HC.Results and discussion. By the end of the investigation, the combination therapy with MTX + HC led to significant decreases in the number of swollen and tender joints, the duration of morning stiffness, the severity of pain, and the integrated DAS28 index. The therapy showed a positive effect on the levels of fasting glucose, cholesterol, and LDL. The quality of life improved in patients by Visit 3. The results obtained are in good agreement with the data by foreign and Russian investigators on the greater efficiency of combination therapy with MTX + HC than that of MTX monotherapy and on the pleiotropic (hypolipidemic and hypolipidemic) effect of HC.Conclusion. It is concluded that in Russian practice when monotherapy with MTX shows an insufficient effect or its high doses cannot be administered to enhance the efficacy of RA therapy, it is possible to use a combination of MTX + HC, especially in older patients with comorbidity (hyperglycemia and hypercholesterolemia).

scholarly journals A Stochastic Simulation Model for the Optimization of the Taxi Management System

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 3838
Author(s):  
Aleksander Król ◽  
Małgorzata Król
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Real Number ◽  
Service Level ◽  
Critical Number ◽  
System Behavior ◽  
Taxi Drivers ◽  
The Real ◽  
Incomplete Knowledge ◽  
Stochastic Simulation Model ◽  
Queue Theory

The paper presents a simplified simulation model of the operation of a taxi system. The model retains the main features of a real taxi transportation system and despite its simplicity examines the system behavior in different conditions. It was shown that for every request generation rate a critical number of taxis in disposal could be determined. If the real number of taxis is lower than the critical number, the queue of pending requests grows in an unlimited way. On the other hand, if the real number of taxis is significantly higher, the service level is clearly not better and leads to the waste of taxi drivers’ time and fuel. The presented model can be regarded as a queue system; therefore, the well-known queue theory is used to describe its nature. However, this approach has some practical limitations coming from incomplete knowledge on real transportation demands, which additionally undergo significant fluctuations. A method, which optimizes the assignment of vacant taxis to the pending requests was also introduced. It was proven that this method mitigated the influence of the above-mentioned limitations.

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