Stock price movements and trading behaviors around merger and acquisition announcements

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 593-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin Young Yang ◽  
Reuben Segara ◽  
Jingwei Feng
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Wealth Effects ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Announcement Date ◽  
Target Firms ◽  
Price Movements

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between price movements of target firms’ stocks and behaviors of local individual, local institutional and foreign investors in trading target firms’ stocks around mergers and acquisitions announcements in Korea. Design/methodology/approach This study uses event study methodology and cross-sectional regressions for abnormal returns. Findings Results reveal that the average abnormal return becomes significantly positive three days prior to the announcement date and becomes insignificant after the announcement date. Results also show that local individual investors tend to sell more intensely prior to announcements for target firms with larger wealth effects. In contrast, foreign investors tend to buy target stocks with larger wealth effects more intensely prior to the announcement date, and then they sell them more intensely in the post-announcement period. Originality/value This paper provides evidence that foreign investors are able to identify target stocks with large wealth effects prior to the announcement date and they realize short-term profits by selling them following the announcement.

Wealth Effects of Retail Store Closure Announcements

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050013
Author(s):  
Abdul-Rahman Khokhar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Wealth Effects ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Price Reaction ◽  
Stock Market Reaction ◽  
Announcement Date ◽  
Stock Price Reaction ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Sectional Analysis

This is the first study, to the best of our knowledge, to use value- and equal-weighted portfolios of U.S. retail firms to examine the stock market reaction to strategic and nonliquidating store closure announcements. Using event study methodology for a sample of 174 hand-collected store closure announcements during the period 1980–2017, we find a negative and significant stock price reaction on the announcement date. Given the highly competitive nature of the retail industry, we further investigate the market reaction for the closest competitors using a matched sample of 157 competing firms. We report a positive, albeit less significant stock price reaction for competing retail firms on the announcement date. Finally, a cross-sectional analysis shows that the stock price reaction to store closure announcements is positively associated with firm size.

Directors’ trades in UK rights issues: do firms sell overvalued new equity?

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-133
Author(s):  
Heba Ahmed Abbas Ali
Keyword(s):  
Insider Trading ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Seasoned Equity Offerings ◽  
Sign Test ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Timing Hypothesis ◽  
Rights Issues

PurposeThis paper aims to examine the behavioral timing hypothesis in the context of UK rights issues by seeking to establish and investigate inter-relationships between directors’ trading around rights issues as a proxy for stock mis-valuation and post-issue stock price performance.Design/methodology/approachThe cumulative average abnormal returns, the buy and hold abnormal returns, the standardized residual cross-sectionalt-test and the generalized sign test techniques.FindingsThe directors do possess short-term timing ability as they can identify profitable trading situations by buying more often before stock outperformance and by selling more often before stock underperformance. In addition, directors trading prior to the rights offering is found to exert an influence on the long-run abnormal returns of the rights-issuing firm, which supports the story that mis-valuation and behavioral timing are empirical.Research limitations/implicationsOther types of seasoned equity offerings rather than rights issues should be included.Practical implicationsThe research provides a direct testing for the strong form of market efficiency hypothesis, which enables policymakers to take into account market reaction to directors’ trades and how it is affected by corporate events (e.g. rights issues) when addressing insider trading regulations.Originality/valueThis study extends available literature in the context of both developed and emerging equity markets to testing the behavioral timing hypothesis by testing the inter-relationships between directors’ trading around rights issues and post-issue short- and long-run performance. To the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study that examines these inter-relationships in the UK context.

An Empirical Study on Efficient Market Hypothesis with reference to FMCG Sector

GIS Business ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-126
Author(s):  
Nitin Tanted ◽  
Prashant Mistry
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Controversial Issues ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Price Movements ◽  
Run Test ◽  
Stock Price Movements

One of the highly controversial issues in the area of finance is “Efficient Market Hypothesis”. Efficient Market Hypothesis states that, “In an efficient market, all available price information is reflected in the stock prices and it is not possible to generate abnormal returns compared to other investors.” A lot of studies conducted previouslyto test the Efficient Market Hypothesis, confirmed the theory until recent years, when some academicians found it to be non-applicable in financial markets. According to them, it is possible to forecast the stock price movements using Technical Analysis. The results of various studies have been inconclusive and indefinite about the issue. This study attempted to test the efficiency of FMCG Sector stocks in India in its weak form. For the study, closing prices of top 10 stocks from Nifty FMCG index has been taken for the 5-year period ranging from 1st October 2014 to 30th September 2019. Wald-Wolfowitz Run test has been used to test the haphazard movements in the stock price movements. The results indicated that FMCG sector stocks does support the Efficient Market Hypothesis and exhibit efficiency in its weak form. Hence, it is not possible to accurately predict the price movements of these stocks.

Market reactions to the inclusion of people with disabilities

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Araceli Hernández González
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
People With Disabilities ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Research Advance ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis study aims to provide evidence of market reactions to organizations' inclusion of people with disabilities. Cases from financial journals in 1989–2014 were used to analyze the impact of actions taken by organizations to include or discriminate people with disabilities in terms of the companies' stock prices.Design/methodology/approachThis research is conducted as an event study where the disclosure of information on an organization's actions toward people with disabilities is expected to impact the organization's stock price. The window of the event was set as (−1, +1) days. Stock prices were analyzed to detect abnormal returns during this period.FindingsResults support the hypotheses that investors value inclusion and reject discrimination. Furthermore, the impact of negative actions is immediate, whereas the impact of positive actions requires at least an additional day to influence the firm's stock price. Some differences among the categories were found; for instance, employment and customer events were significantly more important to a firm's stock price than philanthropic actions. It was observed that philanthropic events produce negative abnormal returns on average.Originality/valueThe event study methodology provides a different perspective to practices in organizations regarding people with disabilities. Moreover, the findings in this research advance the literature by highlighting that organizations should consider policies and practices that include people with disabilities.

Announced versus canceled bank mergers and acquisitions

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 510-544 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Varmaz ◽  
Jonas Laibner
Keyword(s):  
Mergers And Acquisitions ◽  
Shareholder Value ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Bank Mergers ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
European Bank ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Loan Losses

Purpose This paper aims to empirically analyze the success of European bank mergers and acquisitions (M&As) by an analysis of the shareholder value implications of stock market reactions to announced and canceled M&As in the period from 1999 to 2015. Design/methodology/approach The analysis of a sample of 467 announced and 54 canceled European bank M&As is conducted using event study methodology. The determinants of the shareholder value creations in M&A are observed in cross-sectional regressions. The likelihood of M&As being canceled is estimated in logit regressions. Findings The paper finds that European bank M&As have not been successful in terms of shareholder value creation for acquiring banks, whereas targets experienced significant value gains. Abnormal returns for bidders and targets exhibit the same characteristics upon the announcement of M&As that are canceled at a later date, whereas the results for transaction cancelations deviate. Targets experience negative abnormal returns at a larger size than upon the transaction announcement. The findings for bidders are striking, as they destroy shareholder value upon the transaction cancelation, also, consequently they suffer twice. In particular, banks with higher profitability, higher efficiency and lower liquidity experience negative abnormal returns around the announcement dates. Negative abnormal returns prior to the transaction announcement and provision for loan losses increase significantly the likelihood of M&A cancelation. Originality/value This paper contributes to the literature expanding existing analyses to the shareholder value implications of canceled European bank M&As in a 17-year long time period. The findings reveal the destructive characteristics of canceled bank M&As and provide innovative insights into European capital market reaction to canceled M&As.

Thanks, neighbor! Stock market experience around significant European tax cuts

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huabing Wang ◽  
Anne Macy
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The Other ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Corporate Tax ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Tax Cuts

PurposeThis paper analyzes the effect of corporate tax cuts on the competitiveness of the tax-cutting countries and neighbor countries.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilizes four significant corporate tax reforms among the OECD countries in Europe that offer a one-time tax cut of 6% or more. The short-term event study approach examines the stock index reactions for both the tax-cutting countries and the other countries. Multivariate fixed-effect regressions are employed to study the cross-sectional variations in the non-tax-cut countries.FindingsThis paper finds positive excess returns for Slovakia and Germany around the tax-cut passage. Multivariate analysis of stock market reactions of the non-tax-cutting countries reveals some evidence supporting both the positive spillover effect and the negative competitive loss effect. More advanced countries are more likely to experience higher abnormal returns, while higher tax countries are more likely to suffer lower abnormal returns. Other factors identified that might have influenced the effect of a foreign tax cut include the existing trade flows with the tax-cutting countries, whether the country has a common currency and the export orientation of the economy.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings are subject to sample-size issues. The lack of results for the other two countries is due to complicating events, as suggested by the further investigation of concurrent news events around the event days.Practical implicationsThe simultaneous analysis of the reform countries and the other countries in the region suggests that policymakers need to consider the relative positioning of their country vs the other countries in terms of economic development and current tax burdens when determining the optimal policy for their country or to respond to the tax policy changes in the other countries.Originality/valueThis study offers empirical evidence regarding the effect of corporate tax changes on competitiveness through the lens of stock markets' reactions, which depend on the net results of the spillover gain vs the competitive loss.

The effect of the imposition of a public reprimand on the stock price of companies in Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emie Famieza Zainudin ◽  
Hafiza Aishah Hashim ◽  
Shahnaz Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
A Company

Purpose This paper aims to examine the effect of the imposition of public reprimands on the underlying stock prices of companies in Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach Data on 148 companies that received public reprimands during the period from 2007 to 2013 were collected from the Bursa Malaysia website to analyse the market reactions to the imposition of public reprimands. Findings Based on a market model of abnormal returns, the empirical result showed that the imposition of a public reprimand had a negative impact on a company’s stock price. Moreover, when a market model of average abnormal returns (AAR) was used, the result indicated that companies that had received a public reprimand had a negative AAR value. Research limitations/implications The findings from this study have implications for shareholders in making their investment decisions because they can switch their investments to other companies and markets after a company in which they are interested or have made an investment has received a public reprimand. Originality/value There is limited research on the imposition of public reprimands and the effect that it has on companies in developing countries. Hence, this study contributes to research in this area by providing evidence on the effect of public reprimand on stock price reactions in the context of a developing country, namely, Malaysia.

Financial characteristics of takeover targets: a French empirical evidence

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hicham Meghouar ◽  
Mohammed Ibrahimi
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Target Firms ◽  
Debt Capacity ◽  
Financial Characteristics ◽  
Available Information

PurposeThe purpose of this research is to highlight the financial characteristics of large French targets which were subject to takeovers during the period 2001–2007 and thereafter deduct the implicit motivations of acquirers.Design/methodology/approachUsing a global sample of 128 French listed companies (64 targets and 64 non-targets), the authors carried out Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney testing and logistic regression in order to test nine hypotheses likely to discriminate between the two categories of companies (targets and non-targets).FindingsAccording to the results, target firms are more unbalanced in terms of growth resources and less rich in liquidity than their peers. They have unused debt capacity, offer greater opportunities for growth than firms in the control group and present low levels of value creation.Research limitations/implicationsThe main limitation of this study is regarding the sample size, limited by the exclusive use of large firms (deals of over $100m). The scope of this research could be broadened in future by including medium-sized companies.Practical implicationsThe authors believe that their results have two major implications. First, they enable market investors to achieve abnormal returns by investing in predicted targets through a portfolio of high takeover probability firms. Second, CEO of companies that are potentially targeted can assess their takeover likelihood in order to act and to manage such a situation for the benefit of their shareholders.Originality/valueThis research concerns the last wave of takeover prior to the subprime-mortgage financial crisis (2001–2007), a period that has not been sufficiently covered in empirical studies. This research contributes to the existing literature in two main respects. First, the results of this study improve our understanding of motivations for takeovers, particularly in the French context. Second, the introduction of new accounting and financial variables, not previously tested in the literature, enriches the available information concerning the profile of takeover targets.

scholarly journals Does switching trading venues create value? Evidence from Hong Kong

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johnny K.H. Kwok
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Excess Returns ◽  
Trading Activity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Growth Enterprise Market ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
Hong Kong Stock Market

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to study whether switching trading venues create value in the Hong Kong stock market.Design/methodology/approachBy using an event study, the paper investigates the abnormal returns (AR) earned by firms in the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) relating to switching to the Main Board (MB). Two measures, turnover of the stock and Amihud’s (2002) illiquidity ratio, are used to examine the liquidity effects.FindingsThe switch is accompanied by a long-term increase in stock price for low liquidity firms only. High liquidity firms underperform with persistent negative excess returns after switching, while the transient negative excess returns in low liquidity firms reverse gradually. The results further show a significant increase in trading activity for low liquidity firms following the switch, while there is a significant decline in both trading activity and liquidity in firms with high liquidity. The overall results suggest that moving from GEM to the MB is beneficial to low liquidity firms but detrimental to high liquidity firms.Originality/valueThis study is the first to investigate whether moving from GEM to the MB creates value in the Hong Kong stock market.

Stock market reaction to cash dividends: evidence from the Nigerian stock market

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 366-380
Author(s):  
Friday Kennedy Ozo ◽  
Thankom Gopinath Arun
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Cash Dividend ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Price Reaction ◽  
Stock Market Reaction ◽  
Dividend Announcements ◽  
Stock Price Reaction

PurposeVery little is known about the effect of dividend announcements on stock prices in Nigeria, despite the country’s unique institutional environment. The purpose of this paper is, therefore, to provide empirical evidence on this issue by investigating the stock price reaction to cash dividends by companies listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange.Design/methodology/approachStandard event study methodology, using the market model, is employed to determine the abnormal returns surrounding the cash dividend announcement date. Abnormal returns are also calculated employing the market-adjusted return model as a robustness check and to test the sensitivity of the results toβestimation. The authors also examine the interaction between cash dividends and earnings by estimating a regression model where announcement abnormal returns are a function of both dividend changes and earnings changes relative to stock price.FindingsThe study find support for the signaling hypothesis: dividend increases are associated with positive stock price reaction, while dividend decreases are associated with negative stock price reaction. Companies that do not change their dividends experience insignificant positive abnormal returns. The results also suggest that both dividends and earnings are informative, but dividends contain information beyond that contained in earnings.Research limitations/implicationsThe sample for the study includes only cash dividend announcements occurring without other corporate events (such as interim dividends, stock splits, stock dividends, and mergers and acquisitions) during the event study period. The small firm-year observations may limit the validity of generalizations from these conclusions.Practical implicationsThe findings are useful to researchers, practitioners and investors interested in companies listed on the Nigerian stock market for their proper strategic decision making. In particular, the results can be used to encourage transparency and good governance practices in the Nigerian stock market.Originality/valueThis paper adds to the very limited research on the stock market reaction to cash dividend announcements in Nigeria; it is the first of its kind employing a unique cash dividends data.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document