scholarly journals The macroeconomic drivers of stock market development: evidence from Hong Kong

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sin-Yu Ho ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong during the period 1992Q4-2016Q3. Specifically, it investigates the impact of banking sector development, economic growth, inflation rate, exchange rate, trade openness and stock market liquidity on stock market development. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses quarterly time-series data covering the period 1992Q4-2016Q3, which have been obtained from various reliable sources. The study uses the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure to identify both the long- and short-run macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong. Findings We find that banking sector development and economic growth have positive impacts on stock market development, whereas the inflation rate and the exchange rate have negative impacts on stock market development both in the long and short run. In addition, the results show that trade openness has a positive long-run impact but a negative short-run impact on stock market development. Originality/value Despite the phenomenal growth of stock market in Hong Kong, there are, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, no relevant studies on the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong. Therefore, this paper endeavours to enrich the literature by examining the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong during the period 1992Q4-2016Q3.

scholarly journals Financial development and economic growth: panel evidence from BRICS

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (47) ◽  
pp. 113-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biplab Kumar Guru ◽  
Inder Sekhar Yadav
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between financial development and economic growth for five major emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South (BRICS) during 1993 to 2014 using banking sector and stock market development indicators. Design/methodology/approach To begin with, the study first examined some of the principal indicators of financial development and macroeconomic variables of the selected economies. Next, using generalized method of moment system estimation (SYS-GMM), the relationship between financial development and growth is investigated. The banking sector development indicators used in the study include size of the financial intermediaries, credit to deposit ratio (CDR) and domestic credit to private sector (CPS), whereas the stock market development indicators are value of shares traded and turnover ratio. Also, some macroeconomic control variables such as inflation, exports and the enrolment in secondary education were used. Findings The examination of the principal indicators of financial development and macroeconomic variables have shown considerable differences between the selected economies. Results from the dynamic one-step SYS-GMM estimates confirm that in presence of turnover ratio, all the selected banking development indicators such as size of financial intermediaries, CDR and CPS are positively significantly determining economic growth. Similarly, in presence of all the selected banking sector development indicators, value of shares traded is found to be positively significantly associated with economic growth. However, the same is not true when turnover ratio is regressed in presence of banking sector variables. Overall, the evidence suggests that banking sector development and stock market development indicators are complementary to each other in stimulating economic growth. Practical implications A positive association between financial development and growth indicates that the policymakers should take necessary measures toward simultaneous development of both banking sector as well as stock market for inducing growth. Originality/value The present paper attempts to examine the relationship between financial development and growth using both banking sector and stock market development indicators which has not been attempted before for BRICS. Also, most of the existing studies are found in case of developed economies. This paper tries to fill this void by studying five major emerging economies.

Macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in South Africa

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 322-342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sin-Yu Ho
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
South African ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Development ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalisation

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in South Africa during the period 1975–2015. Specifically, it examines the impact of banking sector development, economic growth, inflation rate, real interest rate and trade openness on the development of the South African stock market. Design/methodology/approach The author employs autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure that allows the author to empirically investigate both the short- and long-run relationships between the stock market development and its determinants in the context of South Africa. In addition, the author also conducts a sensitivity analysis by accounting for the presence of structural breaks in the underlying series to check for the robustness of the estimation. Findings This paper confirms the findings by other studies that banking sector development and economic growth promote stock market development, while inflation rate and real interest rate inhibit stock market development. In addition, this paper finds an interesting result in the fact that trade openness has a negative impact on stock market development, which is different from the findings of many other studies. Originality/value Currently, while the theoretical and empirical literature presents diverse views on the relationship between each determinant and stock market development, no study has focussed on the South African stock market. Given the significant role that the South African stock market plays in Africa as measured by its market capitalisation and market capitalisation ratio, there is a need for a better understanding of the macroeconomic factors influencing its development.

scholarly journals Financial development, openness in financial services trade and economic growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 42-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rabia Khatun ◽  
Jagadish Prasad Bist
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Services Trade ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Insurance Sector

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between financial development, openness in financial services trade and economic growth in BRICS countries for the period 1990–2012. Design/methodology/approach An index for financial development has been constructed using principal component analysis technique by including banking sector development, stock market development, bond market development and insurance sector development. For the robustness of the result, the long-run cointegrating relationship amongst the variables has been analyzed. Findings Overall financial development has a positive and significant impact on economic growth. To take the full advantage of openness in financial services trade, countries need to put more emphasis on the development of their stock markets, bond markets and the insurance sector. The result shows that openness in financial services trade has a positive impact on economic growth when the stock market, bond market and insurance sector are included in the system. Research limitations/implications The policy implication of the findings is that policymakers should focus more on developing all four areas of finance to get the full benefit of the financial system on the process of economic growth. Originality/value The authors have constructed the better indicators of financial development in the case of BRICS economies. Most of the studies in BRICS economies have measured the development of the financial sector as either banking sector development or stock market development. However, the present study includes all four areas of finance (banking sector development, stock market development, insurance sector development and bond market development) into account.

scholarly journals Stock market development and economic growth in Tanzania: an ARDL and bound testing approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-206
Author(s):  
Saganga Mussa Kapaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Testing Procedures ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contribute to empirical evidence by recognizing the importance of stock markets in the financial system and consequently its causality to economic growth and vice versa. Design/methodology/approach The study used the autoregressive distribute lag model (ARDL) with bound testing procedures, the sample covered quarterly time-series data from 2001q1 to 2019q2 in Tanzania. Findings The results suggest that stock market development have both negative and positive causality for both short-run dynamics and long-run relationship with economic growth. Economic growth is found to only cause and relate negatively to liquidity both in the short-run and in the long-run. The results show predominantly a unidirectional causality flow from stock market development to economic growth and finds partial causality flow from economic growth to stock market development, as represented by stock market turnover which proxied liquidity. Originality/value The use of quarterly data to reflect more realistically the dynamics of the variables because yearly data may sometimes cover-up specific dynamics that may be useful for prediction and policy planning. The study uses indices to capture general aspects within the stock market against economic growth as an intuitive way to aggregate the stock market development effects.

scholarly journals Exploring the causality between economic growth, financial development and inflation in sixteen high-income countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (45) ◽  
Author(s):  
José Alberto Fuinhas ◽  
Matheus Koengkan ◽  
Matheus Belucio
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
High Income ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Relationship

This paper examined the relationship between economic growth, inflation, stock market development, and banking sector development for a panel of sixteen high-income countries for the period from 2001 to 2016, by using the mechanism impulse response functions and Granger causality tests derived from a panel vector autoregressive model. The evidence of bidirectional causality between all variables in the model was found. Overall, feedback and supply-leading theories have been confirmed in the literature. A plus sign in the relationship between the development of the banking sector and the stock market with economic growth was found. Therefore, stock market development and banking sector development stimulate the economy.

Do stock market and banking sectors development promote innovation efficiency?

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 506-521
Author(s):  
Soo-Wah Low ◽  
Ali Albada ◽  
Nurhatiah Ahmad Chukari ◽  
Noor Azlan Ghazali
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
World Intellectual Property Organization ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Innovation Output ◽  
Developed Stock Markets

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impacts of stock market and banking sectors development on a country’s efficiency in transforming its innovation input into output. Design/methodology/approach This study employs a generalized method-of-moments panel estimator to examine the role of stock market and banking development in influencing innovation efficiency. Findings Findings show that a country’s stock market development is positively related to its innovation efficiency ratio. Countries with more developed stock markets have relatively higher efficiency in transforming innovation input into innovation output than those with less developed stock markets. There is no evidence that innovation efficiency is influenced by banking sector development. However, when stock market and banking sectors are modeled together, while stock market development retains its positive influence, the findings indicate that banking sector exerts negative impact on innovation efficiency. Practical implications The findings provide useful insights to guide policy decisions for a country’s innovation agenda in enhancing its innovation performance. The findings imply that stock market development should be embraced as one of the key policy areas in order for a country to be more efficient in transforming its innovation input into innovation output. Originality/value This paper provides first evidence using data sourced from Global Innovation Index report, first available in 2007 and published by Cornell University, INSEAD and the World Intellectual Property Organization.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development And Economic Growth In Hong Kong: An Empirical Investigation

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 795 ◽  
Author(s):  
SY Ho ◽  
NM Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation

This paper examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth using time-series data from Hong Kong. The study uses three proxies of stock market development, namely: stock market capitalisation, stock market traded value, and stock market turnover. Given the weaknesses associated with the traditional co-integration techniques, the current study uses the recently introduced ARDL-bounds testing approach to examine the nexus between stock market development and economic growth in a dynamic setting. The empirical results show that the direction of causality between stock market development and economic growth depends on the proxy used to measure the level of stock market development. When stock market capitalisation is used as a proxy for stock market development, a distinct unidirectional causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is found to prevail, without any feedback. However, when stock market turnover is used, a causal flow from economic growth to stock market development is found to prevail in the short run and in the long run, while a causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is only found in the short run. The causality between stock market traded value and economic growth, however, failed to yield any long-run causal relationship from either direction. Only a short-run causality flow from economic growth to stock market traded value could be detected in this case.

scholarly journals RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT, BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE CEE COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Lidiya Yemelyanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stock Market Capitalization

The stock markets of most CEE countries have been actively developing and improving over the past decades but they still do not belong to the developed markets according to MSCI classification, the financial systems of these countries tends towards the bank-oriented type. Does the level of stock market development affect economic growth in CEE countries and do these countries need to develop their stock markets accordingly? The purpose of this article is to identify the direction of the causal link between stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The subject of the research is the relationship between the stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in the CEE countries. Methodology. The research is based on the annual data for two time periods 1999-2012 and 1999-2015 for the 8 and 5 CEE countries, respectively. The study is based on the Granger causality test and linear regression models. According to results of the research the stock market development plays an important role in attracting foreign direct investment and economic growth in CEE countries in the long-run period. There are revealed the channels of indirect influence of the stock market capitalization on the economic growth. Stock market capitalization has impact on the banking sector and gross capital formation, which in turn have impact on the economic growth of CEE countries. There is the impact of both the stock market and the banking sector development on the economic growth in CEE countries during 1999-2015. However, the impact of the stock market size on the economic growth is positive and the impact of domestic credit to private sector is negative. Practical implications. The study proves the reasonable need for the CEE countries to move towards further development of the stock market, improving the market infrastructure and institutional environment in order to expand the size of the stock market and thereby contribute to the economic growth of this countries. Value/originality. The obtained conclusion about the role of the stock market in economic growth and attraction of FDI is of great importance both for Ukraine and other countries with similar trajectory of economic development in general and similar historical aspects of the origin of stock markets in particular and should be taken into account by state leaders when making decisions on the need to create conditions for development of such element of the country’s financial system as the stock market.

Did Capital Market Development and Financial Depth Contribute to Growth? Evidence from European Financial Integration

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 506-518
Author(s):  
Mazhar Mahmood ◽  
Kashif Ur Rehman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Risk Sharing ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of financial depth and capital market development on the growth of European nations. Financial depth is important if the benefits of financial integration are to be realized. In fact, financial depth is a channel that promotes growth and risk sharing and curbs macroeconomic volatility. Panel data of 17 European nations from 1970 to 2013 were taken and results were obtained through the Pool Mean Group Estimation technique. Our results show that, for European nations, financial depth and stock market development contributed to long-term growth. However, the contribution of financial depth outweighs that of stock market development. Moreover, it was observed that in the case of Hungary and Ireland, capital market development and financial depth contributed to short-term growth. Trade openness was found to be significant for growth in the cases of Austria and Finland while financial depth and trade openness were found to be significant for Germany and Switzerland. In conclusion, in the short-run, financial depth contributed more to growth than stock market development. Therefore, the role of financial depth in enhancing growth can be said to be more persistent than that of stock market development.

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