scholarly journals Exploring the causality between economic growth, financial development and inflation in sixteen high-income countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (45) ◽  
Author(s):  
José Alberto Fuinhas ◽  
Matheus Koengkan ◽  
Matheus Belucio
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
High Income ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Relationship

This paper examined the relationship between economic growth, inflation, stock market development, and banking sector development for a panel of sixteen high-income countries for the period from 2001 to 2016, by using the mechanism impulse response functions and Granger causality tests derived from a panel vector autoregressive model. The evidence of bidirectional causality between all variables in the model was found. Overall, feedback and supply-leading theories have been confirmed in the literature. A plus sign in the relationship between the development of the banking sector and the stock market with economic growth was found. Therefore, stock market development and banking sector development stimulate the economy.

scholarly journals Financial development and economic growth: panel evidence from BRICS

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (47) ◽  
pp. 113-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biplab Kumar Guru ◽  
Inder Sekhar Yadav
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between financial development and economic growth for five major emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South (BRICS) during 1993 to 2014 using banking sector and stock market development indicators. Design/methodology/approach To begin with, the study first examined some of the principal indicators of financial development and macroeconomic variables of the selected economies. Next, using generalized method of moment system estimation (SYS-GMM), the relationship between financial development and growth is investigated. The banking sector development indicators used in the study include size of the financial intermediaries, credit to deposit ratio (CDR) and domestic credit to private sector (CPS), whereas the stock market development indicators are value of shares traded and turnover ratio. Also, some macroeconomic control variables such as inflation, exports and the enrolment in secondary education were used. Findings The examination of the principal indicators of financial development and macroeconomic variables have shown considerable differences between the selected economies. Results from the dynamic one-step SYS-GMM estimates confirm that in presence of turnover ratio, all the selected banking development indicators such as size of financial intermediaries, CDR and CPS are positively significantly determining economic growth. Similarly, in presence of all the selected banking sector development indicators, value of shares traded is found to be positively significantly associated with economic growth. However, the same is not true when turnover ratio is regressed in presence of banking sector variables. Overall, the evidence suggests that banking sector development and stock market development indicators are complementary to each other in stimulating economic growth. Practical implications A positive association between financial development and growth indicates that the policymakers should take necessary measures toward simultaneous development of both banking sector as well as stock market for inducing growth. Originality/value The present paper attempts to examine the relationship between financial development and growth using both banking sector and stock market development indicators which has not been attempted before for BRICS. Also, most of the existing studies are found in case of developed economies. This paper tries to fill this void by studying five major emerging economies.

scholarly journals RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT, BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE CEE COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Lidiya Yemelyanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stock Market Capitalization

The stock markets of most CEE countries have been actively developing and improving over the past decades but they still do not belong to the developed markets according to MSCI classification, the financial systems of these countries tends towards the bank-oriented type. Does the level of stock market development affect economic growth in CEE countries and do these countries need to develop their stock markets accordingly? The purpose of this article is to identify the direction of the causal link between stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The subject of the research is the relationship between the stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in the CEE countries. Methodology. The research is based on the annual data for two time periods 1999-2012 and 1999-2015 for the 8 and 5 CEE countries, respectively. The study is based on the Granger causality test and linear regression models. According to results of the research the stock market development plays an important role in attracting foreign direct investment and economic growth in CEE countries in the long-run period. There are revealed the channels of indirect influence of the stock market capitalization on the economic growth. Stock market capitalization has impact on the banking sector and gross capital formation, which in turn have impact on the economic growth of CEE countries. There is the impact of both the stock market and the banking sector development on the economic growth in CEE countries during 1999-2015. However, the impact of the stock market size on the economic growth is positive and the impact of domestic credit to private sector is negative. Practical implications. The study proves the reasonable need for the CEE countries to move towards further development of the stock market, improving the market infrastructure and institutional environment in order to expand the size of the stock market and thereby contribute to the economic growth of this countries. Value/originality. The obtained conclusion about the role of the stock market in economic growth and attraction of FDI is of great importance both for Ukraine and other countries with similar trajectory of economic development in general and similar historical aspects of the origin of stock markets in particular and should be taken into account by state leaders when making decisions on the need to create conditions for development of such element of the country’s financial system as the stock market.

scholarly journals SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS OF STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT: ROLE OF TERTIARY EDUCATION

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (Vol 19, No 2 (2020)) ◽  
pp. 224-245
Author(s):  
Md. Thasinul ABEDIN ◽  
Kanon Kumar SEN ◽  
Mohammad Rifat RAHMAN ◽  
Sharmin AKTER
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Tertiary Education ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Level Of Education ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Banking Sector Development

Considering economic growth and banking sector development as economic factors and tertiary level of education as a social factor, this paper explores their effect on stock market development in Bangladesh during the period 1976 to 2015. This paper reveals a significant positive impact of banking sector development and economic growth and an insignificant positive impact of tertiary level of education on stock market development both in the short-run and in the long-run. The positive long-run effect of socioeconomic factors on stock market development suggests that over time the rise in tertiary education, economic growth, and banking sector development contributes into the stock market development. Hence, government should give special attention into the development of tertiary education in addition to accelerating economic growth and banking sector development to ensure broad base stock market.

scholarly journals The macroeconomic drivers of stock market development: evidence from Hong Kong

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sin-Yu Ho ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong during the period 1992Q4-2016Q3. Specifically, it investigates the impact of banking sector development, economic growth, inflation rate, exchange rate, trade openness and stock market liquidity on stock market development. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses quarterly time-series data covering the period 1992Q4-2016Q3, which have been obtained from various reliable sources. The study uses the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure to identify both the long- and short-run macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong. Findings We find that banking sector development and economic growth have positive impacts on stock market development, whereas the inflation rate and the exchange rate have negative impacts on stock market development both in the long and short run. In addition, the results show that trade openness has a positive long-run impact but a negative short-run impact on stock market development. Originality/value Despite the phenomenal growth of stock market in Hong Kong, there are, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, no relevant studies on the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong. Therefore, this paper endeavours to enrich the literature by examining the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong during the period 1992Q4-2016Q3.

scholarly journals Financial development, openness in financial services trade and economic growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 42-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rabia Khatun ◽  
Jagadish Prasad Bist
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Services Trade ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Insurance Sector

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between financial development, openness in financial services trade and economic growth in BRICS countries for the period 1990–2012. Design/methodology/approach An index for financial development has been constructed using principal component analysis technique by including banking sector development, stock market development, bond market development and insurance sector development. For the robustness of the result, the long-run cointegrating relationship amongst the variables has been analyzed. Findings Overall financial development has a positive and significant impact on economic growth. To take the full advantage of openness in financial services trade, countries need to put more emphasis on the development of their stock markets, bond markets and the insurance sector. The result shows that openness in financial services trade has a positive impact on economic growth when the stock market, bond market and insurance sector are included in the system. Research limitations/implications The policy implication of the findings is that policymakers should focus more on developing all four areas of finance to get the full benefit of the financial system on the process of economic growth. Originality/value The authors have constructed the better indicators of financial development in the case of BRICS economies. Most of the studies in BRICS economies have measured the development of the financial sector as either banking sector development or stock market development. However, the present study includes all four areas of finance (banking sector development, stock market development, insurance sector development and bond market development) into account.

scholarly journals Reviewing the Equilibrium and Causal Relationships between Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Jordan

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Eyad M. Malkawi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between stock market development and economic growth has been diversely investigated by many researchers. This paper investigates the equilibrium and causal relationships between stock market development and economic growth in Jordan for the 1980-2018 period. It employs the ARDL approach and the results show evidence of a co-integration and causal relationships between variables. These results are broadly consistent with similar studies carried out for other developing economies.

scholarly journals Effects of Stock Market Development on Economic Growth in Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 87-96
Author(s):  
Krishna Babu Baral
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Simple Regression Model ◽  
Analytical Research ◽  
Ministry Of Finance ◽  
The Relationship

Financial intermediaries and stock markets are important for the economic growth. The relationship between stock market development and economic growth has been extensively studied in the recent years. This study used analytical research design that involves bi-variate analysis by using simple regression model to examine the relationship between stock market development (measured by size and liquidity of the stock market) and economic growth (measured by logarithm of capital GDP at constant price) in Nepal during the period 2007-2017. Secondary data were collected from the official websites of Ministry of Finance (MoF) and Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE). It is assumed that economic growth is the function of stock market development for the purpose of data analysis. Empirical results of this study indicate significant positive relationship between economic growth and stock market development. Moreover, stock market development explained considerable variations in economic growth of Nepal i.e. size of the stock market explained 57.7 percent, and liquidity of the stock market explained 41.6 percent variation in economic growth of Nepal.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From an Institutional Impaired Economy

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 496
Author(s):  
Maku Affor Owen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Test Methodology ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
The Relationship

The research investigated the relationship linking stock market development and economic growth from 1985 to 2018. In measuring growth, Gross domestic product (GDP) was adopted, while stock market was surrogated by turnover ratio, market-capitalization, and value of share- traded, sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Security and Exchange Commission Database. The inclusion of money supply (M3) captured innovation (financial) in the monetary sector. In investigating the aforementioned relationship, the ARDL Bound test methodology was adopted. Empirical results from the investigation confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between stock market development and growth. Similarly, there was a positive relationship between indices of stock market development and growth, albeit statistically insignificant. The study concluded that financial institutions should concentrate on financial innovation in other dimensions in other to boost stock market performance that will result in sustainable growth.

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