Remittances growth in Latin America will slow in 2017

Subject The outlook for remittance inflows. Significance Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) was the only region in the world that registered an increase in family remittances last year. Impacts The rise in 'extra' remittances after last year's US presidential election will not be repeated this year. The taxing of remittances could partially reverse many years of efforts to lower sending costs. Increased employment in the US construction sector could help sustain remittances to LAC.

Subject The implications for Japan of the US presidential election. Significance US presidential election campaign rhetoric has sparked serious concerns in Japan about Washington's commitment to the East Asia region in the context of a long-term rise in geopolitical tensions. Republican candidate Donald Trump has publicly questioned the value of the US-Japan alliance, while Democratic Party candidate Hillary Clinton has muted her previous support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, seen as the economic component of the US 'rebalance' to Asia under President Barack Obama's administration. Impacts Doubts about the US commitment to the region work to Beijing's advantage. The US government's likely failure to ratify the TPP will damage perceptions of Washington's commitment to the region. Though occasionally mooted, the idea of developing nuclear weapons is a non-starter in Japan.


Significance He leaves office having failed to achieve his ambition to reform Japan’s constitution, and is widely seen as having mismanaged the most serious public health crisis in decades. Impacts New foreign policy initiatives are unlikely until after the US presidential election. Abe could make a decision before leaving office on whether Japan should acquire pre-emptive strike capabilities. No moves on constitution revision are likely for the next twelve months at least. Japan would be at a disadvantage if a foreign policy crisis were to occur in the next twelve months, and the next few weeks in particular. Whether the Olympics next summer go well will have some influence on whether Suga stays on as leader.


Significance Signs that Democratic candidate Joe Biden is likely to secure a narrow victory in the US presidential election will boost the Commission’s hopes for global consensus and better transatlantic dialogue on digital taxes. Impacts Despite Brexit, the United Kingdom will support EU calls for a digital tax. The list of countries imposing unilateral digital taxes will continue to grow as pandemic-induced recession bites. The precise bipartisan balance of the US Senate will determine the extent of tech-related policy changes under Biden.


Subject 'Brexit' polling. Significance On June 23, the pound swung wildly: final polls on whether the United Kingdom should leave the EU ('Brexit') had shown a 4-percentage-point lead for 'Remain', only for the final result to be the opposite. Pollsters have been criticised for their failure to predict both this result and the 2015 UK general election outcome, even as qualitative analysts have also been criticised for missing the results. Impacts The US presidential election is immune from most polling failures, given its hyper-coverage and the discrete decisions of swing states. US Senate and House of Representatives elections are much more difficult to poll, leading to likely market volatility in early November. Changes in communication methods are sparking debates about how a representative sample of the population can be reached best.


Subject Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2017. Significance President Vladimir Putin and senior Russian officials have hailed Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. Putin acknowledged that repairing bilateral relations would not be easy. Although some of Trump's campaign remarks will have pleased Moscow, the lack of clarity on what he will do in office means that a rapid 'reset' is not in sight. Moscow aspires to being treated as an equal superpower with its own spheres of interest, and has deployed military power and strong rhetoric to win this. The result is a deteriorating relationship with Western governments.


Subject Cybersecurity tensions in the China-US relationship. Significance In the run-up to President Xi Jinping's state visit to Washington later this month, US officials have discussed plans to impose economic sanctions on Chinese organisations and individuals found to have engaged in cyberattacks against US targets. The national security and economic implications of cyber tensions are becoming increasingly manifest while space for an agreement seems to be shrinking. Impacts Cyber affairs will be one of the most important bellwethers for the broader China-US relationship. There is potential for escalation and spillover, particularly given the growing prominence of hawkish voices on both sides. There is a long-term risk of diverging technical standards. The approach of the US presidential election makes compromises more difficult.


Subject Prospects for Iran in 2020. Significance Sanctions and the stand-off between Tehran and Washington will continue until the outcome of the US presidential election become clear. To weather the storm, Iran’s priority for 2020 will be to manage economic pressure and manipulate regional tensions as part of its leverage-building strategy.


Significance Recent events suggest this is about to change. Impacts Washington will press Japan to buy other US equipment after Tokyo cancelled the Aegis Ashore missile defence system. India’s and Australia’s confrontations with China will make them more willing security partners for Japan. A Democrat victory in the US presidential election would likely stabilise the alliance, but not remove US pressure on Japan vis-a-vis China. Japan will seek security cooperation with European partners, which will be more receptive due to their growing misgivings about China.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 5615-5630
Author(s):  
Pauleth Estefanny Peñaloza Veintimilla ◽  
Andrea del Cisne Vega Granda ◽  
Víctor Javier Garzón Montealegre ◽  
Eveligh Prado-Carpio ◽  
Jessica Maribel Quezada Campoverde

Debido a la aparición del nuevo virus llamado covid-19 que se originó en Wuhan-China y que rápidamente se propagó alrededor del mundo, el mismo ocasionó graves problemas en todos los sectores, por lo que los gobiernos decidieron realizar un confinamiento en los primeros meses del 2020, con ello el cierre de los puertos, aeropuertos y fronteras, así como también, la reducción de horas de trabajo, paralización del transporte, entre otros. Las regiones más afectadas por la pandemia fueron América Latina y El Caribe. Los sectores más dinámicos en la economía en Ecuador son: el bananero, camaronero y de las flores, los mismos que en los últimos años han aumentado su contribución al Producto Interno Bruto (PIB). El objetivo del presente artículo es analizar el impacto del covid-19 en las exportaciones de banano, camarón y flores tomando en cuenta los factores preponderantes que han hecho que estos sectores se vean afectados durante el periodo 2020. Se realizó mediante un diseño no experimental, descriptivo, para la sección de resultados se tomó la información de páginas oficiales y seguidamente su análisis de los tres sectores. Se concluye que para el 2020, las exportaciones ecuatorianas fueron positivas, debido a que tuvieron un crecimiento en los productos de banano y camarón; mientras que, las flores fue el sector más perjudicado. Los mercados más importantes para las exportaciones del país son EEUU, la Unión Europea y China.   Due to the appearance of the new virus called covid-19 that originated in Wuhan-China and that quickly spread around the world, it caused serious problems in all sectors, so the governments decided to carry out a lockdown in the first months of 2020, with this the closure of ports, airports and borders, as well as the reduction of working hours, paralysis of transport, among others. The regions most affected by the pandemic were Latin America and the Caribbean. The most dynamic sectors in the economy in Ecuador are: the banana, shrimp and flower sectors, the same ones that in recent years have increased their contribution to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The objective of this article is to analyze the impact of covid-19 on banana, shrimp and flower exports, taking into account the preponderant factors that have caused these sectors to be affected during the 2020 period. It was carried out using a non-experimental design, descriptive, for the results section the information from official pages was taken and then its analysis of the three sectors. It is concluded that for 2020, Ecuadorian exports were positive, due to the growth in banana and shrimp products; while flowers were the most affected sector. The most important markets for the country's exports are the US, the European Union and China.  


Author(s):  
Buğra Zengin

With its engaging spectacle and discussion of key issues, the US presidential election debates draw high viewership of not only Americans but also people of other nationalities through not only US-based television channels but also other mainstream channels around the world. Since many of the viewers are likely to be the learners of English as the most widely used Lingua Franca, who listen for as well as to the content, they should be helped with their processing of what they listen to, given the listening comprehension challenges. The demanding factors of speech rate and vocabulary necessitate the use of transcripts as an aid for listening comprehension. Transcripts facilitate the required vocabulary buildup and allow for semantic mapping through frequency counts of recurrent key words or word strings uncovering linguistic patterns and laying foundation for the enriching listening practices. Therefore, this chapter focuses on using transcripts accordingly.


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