China's Xi will see off threats and rivals

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Communist Party ◽  
Xi Jinping ◽  
Political Actor ◽  
Senior Leaders ◽  
State Capitalism ◽  
Content Type ◽  
People's Liberation Army ◽  
People’S Liberation Army ◽  
High Level

Subject Scenarios for a coup against President Xi Jinping. Significance The COVID-19 pandemic has damaged President Xi Jinping’s image, prompting speculation that rivals could seek to topple him. There is no sign of dissent among other senior leaders, but coups are an endemic feature of authoritarian systems and so cannot be ruled out. Impacts A violent power grab would be almost impossible unless China were to fall into total disorder. The People’s Liberation Army, the armed wing of the Communist Party, would be a key political actor in any leadership dispute. High-level purges weaken the ruling party’s legitimacy by undermining its claim to infallibility. A radical new direction is unlikely under a new leader; state capitalism, overseas acquisitions and assertive foreign policy would continue.

Key anniversary raises hopes for China's liberals

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Communist Party ◽  
100Th Anniversary ◽  
Xi Jinping ◽  
Public Display ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Tiananmen Square ◽  
Republic Of China ◽  
Elite Politics ◽  
Policy Direction

Subject Elite politics in China. Significance President Xi Jinping marked the 100th anniversary of the birth of former Communist Party chairman Hu Yaobang last month with exactly the same public display that last year honoured the 110th anniversary of post-Mao China's paramount leader, Deng Xiaoping. Giving the two late leaders equivalent stature is striking because Hu, who was purged by Deng, was the closest the People's Republic of China has ever had to a liberal reformer and his death catalysed the protest movement that was violently crushed in Tiananmen Square in 1989. Impacts Consensus documents such as Plenum communiques give the most authoritative indications of ideological and policy direction. Policy under Xi is not uniformly authoritarian; liberalisation still looks likely in certain areas. Cautious foreign policy and economic liberalisation need not imply support for political openness.

Party Congress will set China's course to 2022

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Communist Party ◽  
Chinese Communist Party ◽  
100Th Anniversary ◽  
Chinese Politics ◽  
Xi Jinping ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Sixth Generation ◽  
The Chinese Communist Party ◽  
Party Congress

Subject China's 19th Communist Party Congress. Significance Preparations are underway for the 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which is likely to be scheduled for October or November. Much political groundwork has been laid in support of President Xi Jinping and for progress on his vision for China. The Congress will set a direction towards the 100th anniversary in 2021 of the founding of the Party and the handover of power to a sixth generation of leaders shortly after. Impacts Beijing will probably be cautious in its foreign policy during the months running up to the Congress. Consolidating his position at the Congress should increase Xi's ability to press his economically reformist, politically illiberal agenda. Bar any serious reversal, Xi will be in a position to dominate Chinese politics after he retires from formal offices.

India-Vietnam security ties will grow

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Communist Party ◽  
Strategic Partnership ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Congress ◽  
Economic Partnership ◽  
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership

Significance Delhi and Hanoi declared a ‘strategic partnership’ in 2007 and a ‘comprehensive strategic partnership’ in 2016. Each is wary of China’s growing power. Impacts Election of new leaders at the Communist Party of Vietnam’s upcoming national congress will have little impact on Hanoi’s foreign policy. India will resist calls to join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. Cambodia and Laos will remain the two ASEAN members most closely aligned with China.

The Chinese Armed Forces and the Challenges of Globalization

2021 ◽  
pp. 49-70
Author(s):  
Andrea Ghiselli
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Armed Forces ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Security Threats ◽  
Territorial Defense ◽  
People's Liberation Army ◽  
The People ◽  
People’S Liberation Army ◽  
Civilian Leadership ◽  
Inter State

How did the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) react to the securitization act initiated by the civilian leadership? This chapter shows that the PLA was relatively hesitant to accept a more inclusive understanding of security beyond traditional territorial defense, and therefore of a broader role for itself in China’s peacetime foreign policy. The PLA’s approach to non-traditional missions was similar to that of other countries’ armed forces, as they did not look favorably on so-called interventionist uses of force. It was in the aftermath of the 2011 Libyan crisis that the position of the PLA changed in an unequivocal way and the soldiers’ attitude towards the expansion of their peacetime portfolio became very similar to that of the civilians. While the soldiers’ natural desire to contribute to the security of the people played an important role in this process, it is important to emphasize how crucial the establishment of a causal link between non-traditional security threats and inter-state conflict was in the debate within the PLA.

Trump-Kim summit would boost Singapore’s reputation

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Regional Security ◽  
Security Architecture ◽  
Content Type ◽  
East Asia Summit ◽  
High Level ◽  
The City

Significance Singapore was chosen to host the meeting because it has ties to both countries, which view it as neutral turf, while the event resonates with the city-state’s foreign policy interests. Impacts ASEAN would view the summit as underscoring its centrality in the regional security architecture. If the summit takes place and is successful, the leaders of Japan and Russia will seek their own high-level meetings with Kim. Trump may be reluctant to travel to Singapore again in November to attend the East Asia Summit.

Foreign policy will rise up Beijing's agenda

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Political Support ◽  
Xi Jinping ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Media ◽  
Peaceful Rise ◽  
Chinese Investment ◽  
Chinese Nation ◽  
Policy Goals ◽  
China’S Foreign Policy

Subject China's foreign policy machinery. Significance China has a more assertive foreign policy doctrine than it had even just ten years ago. Beijing's 1980s-90s maxim of 'hide your light and bide your time' gave way to the 'peaceful rise' of the 2000s. President Xi Jinping has, in turn, refashioned this as part of the 'Great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation'. Impacts Rising Chinese investment and aid will increase favourable views of China and political support for Beijing, but not consistently. If China were better able to clarify its foreign policy goals, fewer people and states would view it with caution. China’s international media presence will improve its image and its influence, though some countries will be more receptive than others.

Japan's foreign policy caution will not last

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
United Kingdom ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Foreign Minister ◽  
Content Type ◽  
South Korean ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
High Level ◽  
Economic Ties

Subject Recent developments in Japanese foreign policy. Significance This month has seen a flurry of high-level diplomatic activity. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has visited Germany, France, Italy, Belgium and the United Kingdom and Russia. Over the same period, Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida visited China, Myanmar, Thailand, Laos and Vietnam. Impacts Except for Washington, G7 governments have more interest in economic ties with Beijing than in Tokyo's concerns about territorial issues. Japan's willingness to engage Russia may draw the West's ire in due course. The process of relocating the Futenma airbase may drag on for another decade. TPP ratification will be slower than Abe wanted, but US politics is the greatest obstacle. A weakened South Korean administration could find itself pushed into a more hostile approach to Tokyo.

New fighting impacts South Sudan peace on two levels

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South Sudan ◽  
Balance Of Power ◽  
Content Type ◽  
People's Liberation Army ◽  
People’S Liberation Army ◽  
Regional Leaders

Significance NAS alleges that the government’s South Sudan People’s Defence Forces (SSPDF) and the peace deal’s other main signatory, Riek Machar’s Sudan People’s Liberation Army-in Opposition (SPLA-IO), are taking part in the ongoing fighting. Reports of an imminent offensive had been circulating for weeks; allegations are now emerging of abuses against civilians. Impacts Criticism from regional leaders, who have already threatened to designate non-signatories as ‘spoilers’, may be muted. The signatories will hope that the offensive will prompt defections, boosting their share of the balance of power. Plans to establish cantonment sites in the areas affected by fighting, for troops party to the deal, could prove a flashpoint.

Party plenum strengthens Xi’s grip on China

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Social Life ◽  
The State ◽  
Senior Leaders ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Role Of The State ◽  
Political Economic

Subject The Communist Party's recent Fourth Plenum meeting. Significance The Communist Party concluded a five-day meeting of senior leaders on October 31. The meeting, called the ‘Fourth Plenum’, focused on institutional and intra-Party affairs. Press statements that followed were short on policy detail, but the meeting appears to have reaffirmed President Xi Jinping's efforts to place the Party and its ideology at the centre of China's political, economic and social life. Impacts Xi’s grip on the Party appears unassailable. There are no signs of Xi lining up a successor; he looks likely to remain leader for a third term. There are no indications that Beijing will compromise on US demands to reduce the role of the state in industry.

The Nanchang Uprising

1962 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 161-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Guillermaz
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Chinese Communist Party ◽  
Political Context ◽  
The Political ◽  
Accurate Assessment ◽  
People's Liberation Army ◽  
Red Army ◽  
People’S Liberation Army ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Chinese Communist Party

August 1, 1927, is one of the big days in the history of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). It marked the opening of a military phase which was to last more than twenty years and was to leave a deep mark on the Party and the present régime both in their outlook and their structure. Symbolically, it is the birthday of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), the Chinese Red Army, and it is as such that it is celebrated every year. It would perhaps be worthwhile after thirty-five years to make an accurate assessment of this event and first to place it in the political context of the time.

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