scholarly journals Intelligent Machine Learning with Evolutionary Algorithm based Short Term Load Forecasting in Power Systems

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Ibrahim M. Mehedi ◽  
Hussain Bassi ◽  
Muhyaddin J. Rawa ◽  
Mohammed Ajour ◽  
Abdullah Abusorrah ◽  
...  
Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (21) ◽  
pp. 6966
Author(s):  
Stefan Ungureanu ◽  
Vasile Topa ◽  
Andrei Cristinel Cziker

Short-term load forecasting predetermines how power systems operate because electricity production needs to sustain demand at all times and costs. Most load forecasts for the non-residential consumers are empirically done either by a customer’s employee or supplier personnel based on experience and historical data, which is frequently not consistent. Our objective is to develop viable and market-oriented machine learning models for short-term forecasting for non-residential consumers. Multiple algorithms were implemented and compared to identify the best model for a cluster of industrial and commercial consumers. The article concludes that the sliding window approach for supervised learning with recurrent neural networks can learn short and long-term dependencies in time series. The best method implemented for the 24 h forecast is a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) applied for aggregated loads over three months of testing data resulted in 5.28% MAPE and minimized the cost with 5326.17 € compared with the second-best method LSTM. We propose a new model to evaluate the gap between evaluation metrics and the financial impact of forecast errors in the power market environment. The model simulates bidding on the power market based on the 24 h forecast and using the Romanian day-ahead market and balancing prices through the testing dataset.


2021 ◽  
pp. 180-190
Author(s):  
Aijia Ding ◽  
Huifen Chen ◽  
Tingzhang Liu

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1723 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juncheng Zhu ◽  
Zhile Yang ◽  
Yuanjun Guo ◽  
Jiankang Zhang ◽  
Huikun Yang

Short-term load forecasting is a key task to maintain the stable and effective operation of power systems, providing reasonable future load curve feeding to the unit commitment and economic load dispatch. In recent years, the boost of internal combustion engine (ICE) based vehicles leads to the fossil fuel shortage and environmental pollution, bringing significant contributions to the greenhouse gas emissions. One of the effective ways to solve problems is to use electric vehicles (EVs) to replace the ICE based vehicles. However, the mass rollout of EVs may cause severe problems to the power system due to the huge charging power and stochastic charging behaviors of the EVs drivers. The accurate model of EV charging load forecasting is, therefore, an emerging topic. In this paper, four featured deep learning approaches are employed and compared in forecasting the EVs charging load from the charging station perspective. Numerical results show that the gated recurrent units (GRU) model obtains the best performance on the hourly based historical data charging scenarios, and it, therefore, provides a useful tool of higher accuracy in terms of the hourly based short-term EVs load forecasting.


2020 ◽  
Vol 276 ◽  
pp. 115440 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bastian Dietrich ◽  
Jessica Walther ◽  
Matthias Weigold ◽  
Eberhard Abele

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