Reliability analysis and evaluation on member enterprise of manufacturing supply chain based on BP neural network

Author(s):  
Qing-kui Cao ◽  
Juan Li
2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bingjun Li ◽  
Shuhua Zhang

PurposeThe purpose of this study to provide a reference basis for effectively managing the risk of agrometeorological disasters in Henan Province, speeding up the establishment of a scientific and reasonable system of agrometeorological disasters prevention and reduction and guaranteeing grain security.Design/methodology/approachFirstly, according to the statistical data of areas covered by natural disaster, areas affected by natural disaster, sown area of grain crops and output of grain crops from 1979 to 2018 in Henan Province, China. We have constructed an agrometeorological disaster risk assessment system for Henan province, China, which is composed of indicators such as rate covered by natural disaster, rate affected by natural disaster, disaster coefficient of variation and disaster vulnerability. The variation characteristics of agrometeorological disasters in Henan Province and their effects on agricultural production are analyzed. Secondly, the grey relational analysis method is used to analyze the relation degree between the main agrometeorological disaster factors and the output of grain crops of Henan Province. Based on the grey BP neural network, the rate covered by various natural disaster and the rate affected by various natural disaster are simulated and predicted.FindingsThe results show that: (1) the freeze injury in the study period has a greater contingency, the intensity of the disaster is also greater, followed by floods. Droughts, windstorm and hail are Henan Province normal disasters. (2) According to the degree of disaster vulnerability, the ability to resist agricultural disasters in Henan Province is weak. (3) During the study period, drought and flood are the key agrometeorological disasters affecting the grain output of Henan Province, China.Practical implicationsThe systematic analysis and evaluation of agrometeorological disasters are conducive to the sustainable development of agriculture, and at the same time, it can provide appropriate and effective measures for the assessment and reduction of economic losses and risks.Originality/valueBy calculating and analyzing the rate covered by natural disaster, the rate affected by natural disaster, disaster coefficient of variation and disaster vulnerability of crops in Henan Province of China and using grey BP neural network simulation projections for the rate covered by various natural disaster and the rate affected by various natural disaster, the risk assessment system of agrometeorological disasters in Henan is constructed, which provides a scientific basis for systematic analysis and evaluation of agrometeorological disasters.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei He

Inventory control is a key factor for reducing supply chain cost and increasing customer satisfaction. However, prediction of inventory level is a challenging task for managers. As one of the widely used techniques for inventory control, standard BP neural network has such problems as low convergence rate and poor prediction accuracy. Aiming at these problems, a new fast convergent BP neural network model for predicting inventory level is developed in this paper. By adding an error offset, this paper deduces the new chain propagation rule and the new weight formula. This paper also applies the improved BP neural network model to predict the inventory level of an automotive parts company. The results show that the improved algorithm not only significantly exceeds the standard algorithm but also outperforms some other improved BP algorithms both on convergence rate and prediction accuracy.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Yijie Wang ◽  
Peihua Fu

With the enhancement of people’s environmental awareness, improving environmental performance has become an important way for manufacturing enterprises to achieve sustainable development. At present, one of the key challenges facing enterprises in terms of environmental sustainability is to extend it to other supply chain members. In this paper, the author analyzes the integration performance statistics of green suppliers based on fuzzy mathematics and BP neural network. Supply chain integration represents the company’s ability to formulate strategic alliances, integrate resources, establish seamless processes and share information. The empirical results show that it is feasible to evaluate the performance of green logistics enterprise integration. Through reasonable calculation method and model, the effective and reasonable evaluation results can be obtained. Enterprise managers can reasonably evaluate the key links of enterprise management, allocate enterprise resources correctly, completely and reasonably, minimize costs and maximize profits. Therefore, for the green logistics enterprises, should pay attention to the enterprise’s own performance evaluation, timely adjust their own development direction, plan and goal.


2011 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 312-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dao Guo Li ◽  
Zhong Yuan Zhou ◽  
Chen Yang

Based on the complexity of the evaluation index for supplier selection in green supply chain, this paper puts forward the evaluation index system in green supply chain and presents BP neural network model to select supplier with evaluation indexes as BP neural network's input and the outcome of DEA/AHP model as BP neural network's expected output. It can be proved that the model can effectively select suppliers in green supply chain by simulation experiment with LIINGO 9.0 and MATLAB7.0.


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