Evaluation on Safety Performance of Air Traffic Management Based on Fuzzy Theory

Author(s):  
Run-tu Nie ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Jie-hui Dai
2015 ◽  
Vol 44-45 ◽  
pp. 65-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giulio Di Gravio ◽  
Maurizio Mancini ◽  
Riccardo Patriarca ◽  
Francesco Costantino

Author(s):  
H H de Jong ◽  
F Preti ◽  
G W H van Es

This paper outlines a proposal for a framework of indicators developed with the aim to improve European safety performance monitoring of Air Navigation Services. The extension of scope from the usual choice of Air Traffic Management to Air Navigation Services has been made to address the complication that Air Traffic Management is a different service from Communication, Navigation, and Surveillance, but intimately connected with it. The framework considers the potential influence of Air Navigation Services on air traffic safety, and it uses accidents, their causal/contributing factors, and incidents related to these services as source data for the indicators. Those occurrence categories are considered for which Air Navigation Services have the potential to improve risk. This approach is independent of the notion of a service's contribution to occurrences, which is normally used, but which suffers from a considerable degree of subjectivity. In the data flows from air traffic operations to safety performance indicators, weak links are human incident reporting, varying proportions of incidents actually investigated sufficiently well plus different ways to perform the investigations, and differences in interpretation in providing overviews of the resulting safety data on the level of States. In view of these weaknesses, conditions are developed to prevent data of insufficient quality from being used. The paper mentions a number of aspects to consider when using the indicators. Before drawing conclusions, statistical significance and the existence of reporting bias need to be assessed. The paper finishes with a discussion of the relation of the framework with existing targets and indicates how the framework could support deriving appropriate targets and performance of safety assessments.


2004 ◽  
Vol 108 (1085) ◽  
pp. 345-356 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Brooker

AbstractThere is a need for consistency between aviation safety targets – target levels of safety (TLS). Consistent ‘risk philosophy’ ensures that resources can be allocated in areas where they will be most beneficial in reducing the number of potential accidents and fatalities. Many existing aviation targets were devised decades ago, have not been brought up to date to take account of the considerable improvement in the sector’s safety performance, and are not targeted at some specific future year. It appears feasible to construct consistent and up-to-date sets of TLSs covering the full range of aviation needs, in particular for air traffic management. However, this requires significant, more demanding, changes to some TLS values. One caveat to note is that the safety of ‘loosely coupled’ aviation systems may be better described and managed by the Health and Safety Executive version of risk assessment rather than by a TLS approach.


2015 ◽  
Vol 72 ◽  
pp. 351-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giulio Di Gravio ◽  
Maurizio Mancini ◽  
Riccardo Patriarca ◽  
Francesco Costantino

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michaela Schwarz ◽  
K. Wolfgang Kallus

Since 2010, air navigation service providers have been mandated to implement a positive and proactive safety culture based on shared beliefs, assumptions, and values regarding safety. This mandate raised the need to develop and validate a concept and tools to assess the level of safety culture in organizations. An initial set of 40 safety culture questions based on eight themes underwent psychometric validation. Principal component analysis was applied to data from 282 air traffic management staff, producing a five-factor model of informed culture, reporting and learning culture, just culture, and flexible culture, as well as management’s safety attitudes. This five-factor solution was validated across two different occupational groups and assessment dates (construct validity). Criterion validity was partly achieved by predicting safety-relevant behavior on the job through three out of five safety culture scores. Results indicated a nonlinear relationship with safety culture scales. Overall the proposed concept proved reliable and valid with respect to safety culture development, providing a robust foundation for managers, safety experts, and operational and safety researchers to measure and further improve the level of safety culture within the air traffic management context.


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